Palantir Joins the S&P 500: Is It Time to Buy Before the AI Surge?

Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) is set to join the S&P 500 index on September 23, 2024, alongside Dell Technologies Inc. (DELL) and Erie Indemnity Co. (ERIE), in the latest quarterly rebalancing by S&P Dow Jones Indices. Being included in the S&P 500 will likely enhance Palantir’s visibility and appeal to a broad range of institutional investors.

The inclusion in the S&P 500 will mark a significant milestone for PLTR, a data analytics and artificial intelligence (AI) leader. But the question now arises: is this the right time to buy Palantir stock, especially with the growing momentum around AI technology?

Palantir’s AI Growth Potential

PLTR’s solid position in the AI space makes it a compelling investment opportunity. The company has long been a leader in data analytics, working with government agencies, defense contractors, and large enterprises. With the recent AI boom, Palantir’s capabilities in machine learning (ML), predictive analytics, and AI-driven systems are more relevant than ever.

Recently, PLTR was recognized as a leader in AI/ML software platforms by renowned research and advisory firm Forrester. Palantir AI platform (AIP) offers an end-to-end architecture that powers real-time, AI-driven decision-making. With Palantir Foundry and Palantir Apollo, AIP forms the foundation of the “AI Mesh” architecture, which is becoming the benchmark for enterprises aiming to deliver composable, interoperable, and scalable value through AI.

From public health initiatives to battery production, organizations rely on Palantir to safely, securely, and effectively leverage AI — driving tangible operational outcomes across industries.

Grand View Research report suggests that the global AI market was valued at $196.63 billion in 2023 and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 36.6% from 2024 to 2030. PLTR’s specialized AI software platforms make it a key player in this rapidly expanding market.

Strategic Partnerships and Investments

This month, Palantir and bp p.l.c. (BP) announced an enterprise agreement that will extend their strategic relationship and introduce new AI capabilities with PLTR’s AIP software. The new contract will expand upon a decade of close collaboration, which has established a strong foundation for BP’s oil and gas production operations, utilizing Palantir’s industry-leading software.

Also, on August 8, PLTR and Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) announced a major enhancement to their partnership, aiming to deliver advanced and secure cloud, AI, and analytics capabilities to the U.S. Defense and Intelligence Community.

This first-of-its-kind, integrated suite of technology will enable critical national security missions to leverage Microsoft’s top-tier Large Language Models (LLMs) through Azure OpenAI (AOAI) Service within Palantir’s AI Platform (AIP) within Microsoft’s government and classified cloud environments. Through this collaboration, Palantir will deploy its suite of products – Foundry, Gotham, Apollo, and AIP – in Microsoft Azure Government and the Azure Government Secret (DoD Impact Level 6) and Top Secret clouds.

AI Momentum Lifted Sales and Guidance

PLTR generated $678.13 million in revenue for the second quarter that ended June 30, 2024, up 27.1% from the prior year’s quarter. That is compared to the consensus revenue estimate of $652.42 million. The company’s U.S. commercial revenue grew 55% year-over-year to $159 million, and its U.S. government revenue increased 24% year-over-year to $278 million.

The software company’s adjusted income from operations was $253.57 million, an increase of 87.8% from the prior year’s period. PLTR’s adjusted EBITDA rose 82.4% year-over-year to $261.62 million. Further, its adjusted free cash flow grew 54.8% from the year-ago value to $148.66 million.

Palantir posted a net income of $134 million for the second quarter, the largest quarterly profit in the company’s twenty-year history. Its adjusted EPS came in at $0.09, an increase of 80% year-over-year. That surpassed the consensus EPS estimate of $0.08.

Palantir CEO Alex Karp said the outstanding second-quarter results reflected the “unbridled demand for and understanding of the capabilities of our software.” Karp added, “The growth of our business has been re-accelerating steadily, and we see an unprecedented opportunity ahead to capture and build on that momentum.”

Amid the AI boom, the management raised full-year revenue guidance. For the third quarter of 2024, PLTR expects revenue of between $697-$701 million. The company’s adjusted income from operations is expected to be $233 million to $237 million.

For the full year 2024, the enterprise software company raised its revenue guidance to between $2.742-$2.750 billion. Palantir also increased its U.S. commercial revenue guidance to in excess of $672 million, representing a growth rate of at least 47%. Also, the company raised its guidance for adjusted income from operations to between $966-$974 million.

Bottom Line

PLTR’s inclusion in the S&P 500 index marks a significant milestone for the company, enhancing its visibility and appeal among institutional investors. This move, combined with Palantir’s strong foothold in the rapidly growing AI sector, positions it for further growth. The software giant’s innovative platforms like AIP, Foundry, and Apollo place it at the forefront of AI-driven transformations across industries.

The combination of Palantir’s expanding partnerships, increased revenue guidance, and impressive financial performance makes it an attractive investment. The stock has skyrocketed more than 112% year-to-date and around 128% over the past year, driven by surging demand for its AI-driven software platforms. Further, analysts issued a bullish outlook for Palantir.

BofA Securities analyst Mariana Perez maintained a Buy rating on PLTR and raised the price target on the stock from $30 to $50. Moreover, Daniel Ives from Wedbush maintained an Outperform rating on Palantir, with a price target of $38.

So, if you're looking to capitalize on the current AI boom, PLTR’s sound fundamentals and promising long-term outlook may present a golden opportunity for solid returns.

Taiwan Semiconductor's 10% Dip: Is It Time to Buy?

With a $897.58 billion market cap, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) plays a crucial role in the global semiconductor ecosystem by leading in the production of advanced chips used across several industries, including consumer electronics, automotive, telecom, and artificial intelligence (AI).

As one of the world’s largest independent semiconductor foundries, TSM’s expertise in advanced process technologies, such as 3nm and 5nm nodes, has made it a critical supplier for major tech companies, such as NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD), and Apple Inc. (AAPL).

Recently, the stock has dipped by around 10% from its all-time highs, making many investors wonder whether this pullback offers a prime buying opportunity. Let's assess whether long-term investors should capitalize on TSMC’s discounted price.

TSMC’s Technological Leadership

Taiwan-based TSMC’s role in advancing manufacturing chip technology has solidified its position as a critical player in the high-tech ecosystem, particularly in industries such as AI, 5G, automotive, and data centers. One of the company’s greatest strengths is its leadership in advanced node technology.

As a global chip leader, TSM provides the most advanced and comprehensive portfolio of dedicated foundry process technologies, including A16, 2nm, 3nm, 5nm, 7nm, and more. The company’s 3nm process is the industry’s leading semiconductor technology, providing the best power, performance, and area (PPA) and represents a full node advance from the 5nm generation.

TSMC continuously expands its 3nm technology portfolio to cater to diverse customer needs. Last year, the chip giant added new members to its industry-leading 3nm technology family, including the N3X process, designed specifically for high-performance computing (HPC) applications, and N3AE, facilitating an early start for automotive applications on the most advanced silicon technology.

Moreover, TSMC’s 2nm technology employing nanosheet transistors continues to make significant progress in terms of yield and device performance and is expected to commence production in 2025.

Earlier this year, at its 2024 North America Technology Symposium, TSMC introduced its latest semiconductor process, advanced packaging, and 3D IC technologies, showcasing its silicon leadership in driving the next generation of AI innovations.

With TSMC's cutting-edge N3E technology now in production and N2 slated for production in the second half of 2025, the company unveiled A16, the next technology in its roadmap. A16, set for production in 2026, integrates TSMC’s Super Power Rail architecture with nanosheet transistors. It enhances logic density and performance by allocating front-side routing resources to signals, making it well-suited for HPC products.

Also, the chip company introduced its System-on-Wafer (TSMC-SoW™) technology, a groundbreaking solution designed to deliver exceptional performance to the wafer level in addressing the future AI needs of hyperscaler data centers.

TSMC Surpasses Second-Quarter Earnings Expectations Amid AI Chip Boom

TSMC’s revenue and earnings beat analyst expectations in the second quarter of 2024 as demand for advanced chips used in AI applications continues to surge. In the quarter that ended June 30, 2024, the company’s net revenue rose 40.1% year-over-year to $20.82 billion. That surpassed analysts’ revenue estimate of $20.09 billion.

CEO C.C. Wei, in an earnings call, said business during the quarter was supported by robust demand for its industry-leading 3nm and 5nm technologies. TSMC’s shipments of 3-nanometer accounted for 15% of total wafer revenue, 5-nanometer constituted 35%, and 7-nanometer made up 17%. Advanced technologies, defined as 7-nanometer and more advanced technologies, accounted for 67% of total wafer revenue.

TSMC’s non-GAAP income from operations rose 41.9% year-over-year to $8.86 billion. Its net income and earnings per ADR were $7.66 billion and $1.48, increases of 36.3% year-over-year, respectively. Its earnings per ADR compared to the consensus estimate of $1.42.

“Moving into third quarter 2024, we expect our business to be supported by strong smartphone and AI-related demand for our leading-edge process technologies,” said Wendell Huang, Chief Financial Officer of TSMC.

Based on the company’s current business outlook, TSMC’s management expects revenue between $22.40 billion and $23.20 billion for the third quarter of 2024. The company’s gross profit margin is projected to be between 53.5% and 55.5%, and its operating profit margin is anticipated to be between 42.5% and 44.5%.

Why TSMC's Stock Dip May Be a Buying Opportunity

TSMC's leadership in advanced chip manufacturing, coupled with the growing demand for advanced chips across AI, 5G, and high-performance computing sectors, positions the company for long-term growth. Management has projected third-quarter revenue to be $22.40-$23.20 billion, compared to $17.30 billion reported in the previous year’s quarter.

Meanwhile, analysts appear highly bullish about the company’s earnings growth. Street expects TSMC’s revenue and EPS for the current quarter (ending September 2024) to grow 38.8% and 37.9% year-over-year to $23.44 billion and $1.78, respectively.

For long-term investors, TSMC's recent 10% decline may present an opportunity to buy into a company at the forefront of technological innovation. While short-term market fluctuations and geopolitical concerns may persist, the company's technological leadership and strong growth outlook make it a compelling choice for those looking to benefit from the continued evolution of AI and semiconductor technology.

Bottom Line

TSMC's recent stock dip presents a potential buying opportunity for long-term investors seeking exposure to a global leader in semiconductor innovation. With its industry-leading 3nm and 5nm process technologies, TSMC is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for advanced chips, particularly in AI, 5G, and high-performance computing (HPC) industries.

While geopolitical risks and market volatility may pose challenges in the near term, TSMC’s strong earnings outlook and continuous innovation in semiconductor manufacturing suggest that this dip could be a strategic entry point.

Will GameStop's ‘Retro’ Strategy and Credit Termination Pay Off?

GameStop Corporation (GME), a retailer specializing in video games, consumer electronics, and gaming merchandise, has unveiled a bold new strategy centered around “retro” gaming to reclaim its foothold in the gaming industry. Last month, GameStop announced the opening of various retro locations that sell old consoles and hardware, as well as software discs.

In a post on X, formerly known as Twitter, GME shared the logo for its upcoming retro stores, accompanied by a banner featuring video game consoles, including the Super Nintendo, Game Boy, Sega Genesis, Dreamcast, and several others.

In an era where the digital marketplace dominates, GameStop is seeking to revitalize its retail presence by tapping into the growing nostalgia for classic video games and consoles. This shift, coupled with a significant financial move—the termination of its $250 million credit facility—signals a transformation in the company’s business model and approach to liquidity.

A Strategic Shift Towards Retro Gaming

At the core of GME’s new strategy is its decision to focus on retro gaming, a market fueled by renewed interest in classic, older video games. The company plans to transform select stores into dedicated “GameStop Retro” locations, emphasizing iconic consoles from gaming’s golden age, including the Nintendo Entertainment System (NES), Super Nintendo Entertainment System (SNES), and Sega Genesis.

These retro-themed stores aim to offer a tangible in-store experience that is difficult to replicate in the digital age. Customers will have access to classic consoles and a curated selection of vintage titles such as Super Mario Bros., The Legend of Zelda, and Sonic the Hedgehog. In addition, GameStop Retro locations will feature rare games, limited-edition memorabilia, and nostalgic collectibles like posters, action figures, and vintage gaming magazines.

This strategic move is designed to differentiate GameStop from its online competitors, providing an experience that appeals to both seasoned gamers seeking nostalgia and new enthusiasts curious about the classics. In an industry increasingly dominated by digital sales, GME’s retro gaming initiative could offer a fresh reason for gamers to visit brick-and-mortar stores.

Financial Strategy: Terminating the Credit Facility

Alongside its pivot to retro gaming, GME recently made a significant financial decision by terminating its $250 million asset-based revolving credit facility. This move represents a major shift in the company’s financial strategy, signaling confidence in its ability to generate sufficient revenue internally.

By prioritizing operational cash flow and cash in hand as its primary sources of liquidity, GameStop is moving away from reliance on external credit. However, this decision raises concerns about how the company will manage potential cash flow challenges, particularly in an industry prone to rapid shifts in consumer demand.

GameStop’s confidence in its financial health comes after a period of volatility. Following the unprecedented surge in its stock price during the 2021 meme stock frenzy, GameStop has been navigating a path to long-term stability. GME’s stock price performance has been promising, with shares up more than 40% over the past six months and around 17% year-to-date, reflecting growing investor optimism around the potential for growth in the retro gaming market.

Market Potential and Challenges

The retro gaming market has steadily grown in recent years, driven by nostalgia and a renewed interest in physical gaming products. Older gamers who grew up with these consoles are eager to relive their childhood experiences, while a new generation of gamers is discovering the charm of classic games. It presents an opportunity for GameStop to carve out a unique niche in the gaming market.

However, the success of this strategy will depend on several factors. The ability to continuously source and supply vintage collections is crucial, as is GME’s capacity to engage with the community and offer a dynamic shopping experience beyond mere transactions. This initiative could also inspire competitors to explore similar opportunities in niche markets, adding to the competitive pressure on GameStop.

Bottom Line

GME’s new profound focus on retro gaming and its shift towards relying on internal cash flow rather than external credit represents a transformative moment for the company. By tapping into the sentimental appeal of retro gaming, GameStop is seeking to provide a unique retail experience that stands out in an increasingly digital landscape.

Ultimately, the long-term success of this strategy will depend on GameStop’s ability to maintain customer interest in retro gaming, continuously source vintage collections, and create engaging in-store experiences. If successful, this could mark a new chapter in the video game retailer’s journey toward stability and growth.

This week, GME released its much-anticipated second-quarter 2024 results. For the quarter that ended August 3, 2024, the retailer reported an adjusted net income per share of $0.01, surpassing the analysts’ loss per share estimate of $0.09. That compared to an adjusted net loss per share of $0.03 in the prior year’s quarter.

However, the company’s second-quarter net sales came in at $798.30 million, missing the consensus estimate of $895.67 million. The revenue compared to $1.16 billion posted in the same quarter of 2023. Also, GME’s gross profit declined 18.7% year-over-year to $248.80 million.

GameStop must address ongoing revenue headwinds while implementing its retro gaming strategy. Ultimately, for GME’s business transformation, the retailer must balance its new retro gaming strategy with solid financial performance and operational efficiency.

Is Abercrombie’s 150% Stock Gain Justified?

Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (ANF), a digitally-led, omnichannel specialty retailer of apparel and accessories, has shown outstanding growth, with the stock surging nearly 150% over the past year despite a challenging macroeconomic environment. This substantial rise in value has drawn attention to whether the company’s growth trajectory justifies its current stock price or if a correction is on the horizon.

By analyzing ANF’s earnings, revenue growth, and future sales forecasts, we can evaluate whether the company is positioned to sustain these gains and remain a compelling investment in the retail sector.

Solid Second-Quarter Earnings and Revenue Growth Despite Retail Headwinds

ANF’s recent financial performance has exceeded analysts’ expectations, positioning it as a leading player in the retail sector. For the second quarter that ended August 3, 2024, the company reported record net sales of $1.13 billion, representing a 21% increase year-over-year with comparable sales growth of 18%. That surpassed analysts’ revenue estimate of $1.09 billion.

The strength of Abercrombie’s brand portfolio and enhancements to its global capabilities drove broad-based growth across regions, brands, and channels. The Americas led its performance in the last quarter, with net sales growth of 23%, building on the previous year’s 19% growth. Meanwhile, its EMEA region also delivered solid results, with a 16% rise in net sales.

By brand, Abercrombie saw a remarkable 26% year-over-year growth, matching last year’s performance, while Hollister experienced a strong rebound, achieving 17% growth thanks to better-than-expected summer and back-to-school selling. The retailer’s gross profit rose 26% from the year-ago value to $736.26 million.

Further, ANF’s operating income was $175.63 million for the quarter, a sharp improvement from $89.84 million a year prior, reflecting strong operational efficiency. Its net income was $135.38 million, an increase of 130.5% from the prior year’s quarter. The company posted net income per share of $2.50, compared to the consensus estimate of $2.22, and up 127.3% year-over-year.

ANF’s impressive financial performance contrasts sharply with the broader retail environment, where many companies are struggling with weak consumer demand and supply chain disruptions.

Retail giants like Macy’s, Inc. (M) and The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) have lowered their annual sales forecasts, citing slower discretionary spending. In contrast, Abercrombie has managed to buck this trend by revamping its merchandise and focusing on clearer brand identities. The introduction of dressier apparel and fashion-forward items like cargo pants has resonated with shoppers, helping the retailer expand its customer base and attract fashion-conscious buyers.

Moreover, ANF recently expanded the Abercrombie Kids with Haddad Brands partnership. The company’s partnership with Haddad Brands will focus on creating new distribution channels for the brand and expanding the product line by introducing infant and toddler categories, complementing the existing assortment for children aged 5 to 14.

Raised Full-Year 2024 Guidance

Abercrombie’s remarkable second-quarter performance led the company to raise its full-year sales forecast. It now expects net sales growth between 12% and 13%, up from its previous guidance of 10%. The company also raised its operating margin in the range of 14% and 15%. This upward revision is notable given the broader retail sector’s challenges, including inflationary pressures and shifts in consumer behavior.

Fran Horowitz, ANF’s CEO, said, “We delivered a strong first half of the year, and we are increasing our full-year outlook. Although we continue to operate in an increasingly uncertain environment, we remain steadfast in executing our global playbook and maintaining discipline over inventory and expenses. We are on track and confident in our goal to deliver sustainable, profitable growth this year, while making strategic long-term investments across marketing, digital and technology and stores to enable future growth.”

Moreover, Horowitz emphasized Abercrombie’s focus on disciplined execution, particularly managing inventory and expenses while investing in marketing, digital channels, and store expansion. This strategy appears to be paying off as the company continues to post record results and improve profitability.

Analysts’ Optimism and Future Potential

Analysts remain bullish on Abercrombie’s stock, with several raising their price targets following the company’s latest earnings report. Citigroup recently upgraded their rating on ANF stock from Neutral to Buy. Also, Jefferies analyst Cory Tarlowe reiterated a “Buy” rating on ANF, increasing the price target from $215 to $220.

In addition, Dana Telsey from Telsey Advisory Group maintained an “Outperform” rating on the stock, with a price target of $208, while CFRA analyst Zachary Warring upgraded ANF from “Hold” to “Buy,” raising its price target to $198. These price targets suggest that analysts see further upside potential, driven by the company’s strong brand momentum, successful digital marketing strategies, and robust balance sheet.

Bottom Line

ANF’s around 150% stock gain is more than just a reflection of short-term market vitality; it is backed by solid earnings growth, impressive revenue expansion, and a positive outlook in a challenging retail environment. The company’s ability to revamp its product offerings, focus on profitability and raise its full-year guidance demonstrates that it is well-positioned to continue outperforming its peers.

While the stock experienced a nearly 17% drop following its last earnings report, this can largely be attributed to investor expectations of an even larger guidance increase. However, the fundamentals remain strong, and Abercrombie’s strategic initiatives and disciplined execution suggest that the stock’s rally could have more room to run.

With its robust brand positioning, expanding customer base, and operational efficiency, ANF could be an attractive buy for investors seeking exposure to the retail sector.

Should Stellantis Investors Be Concerned About Long-Term Profitability?

Stellantis N.V. (STLA) announced a massive recall of over 1.2 million Ram 1500 pickups due to a software glitch that could potentially disable the electronic stability control (ESC) system. According to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA), the recall affects specific 2019 models and 2021 through 2024 Ram 1500 trucks, as reported by CNN.

Stellantis stated that the issue was uncovered during a “routine review of customer feedback,” which led to an internal investigation. This revealed that certain Ram 1500 trucks might be equipped with ABS module software prone to inadvertently disabling the ESC system.

The malfunction could cause the anti-lock brake system (ABS) to disable the ESC, posing a higher risk of crashes if the driver continues to operate the vehicle without the system's support. However, Stellantis assured that the brakes would still function normally, and drivers would be alerted to the problem with indicator lights for ABS, ESC, Adaptive Cruise Control, and Forward Collision Warning upon starting the vehicle.

Though no accidents or injuries have been reported due to the defect, the company emphasized that U.S. safety standards require ESC to function during nearly all driving conditions. Stellantis plans to update the software to resolve the issue at no cost to owners, with notification letters expected to be sent out beginning October 3.

In addition to this recall, the company addresses potential instrument panel failures in certain 2020-2024 Jeep Gladiator and 2018-2024 Jeep Wrangler models caused by an internal short circuit. It isn't the first time Stellantis has dealt with software-related recalls, either.

Earlier in June, the company recalled nearly 158,000 Ram 2500 pickups due to a similar issue with the stability control system. The total recall in June impacted over 211,000 vehicles, including the 2022 Dodge Durango and Ram 2500 and 3500 models. It was reported that more than 53,000 Dodge Durangos and 524 Ram 3500s were included in the recall.

Following the recall, Stellantis, which manages a portfolio of 16 international brands, moved quickly to address the problem and prioritize customer safety. Vehicle owners were urged to act promptly on the recall notice to ensure their vehicles remained safe for use.

Financially, the recall comes at a challenging time for Stellantis. For the first half of the year ending June 30, the automaker’s revenues decreased 13.6% year-over-year to €85.02 billion ($94.24 billion). Operating income took an even steeper hit, falling 50.9% to €6.64 billion ($7.36 billion).

Moreover, Stellantis reported a 48% drop in net profit for the six-month period, amounting to €5.65 billion ($6.26 billion). This sharp decline was primarily due to decreased sales volumes, ongoing production challenges, and a shrinking market share in North America. The company’s adjusted earnings per share also fell 34.6% year-over-year to €2.36.

CEO Carlos Tavares acknowledged that the company’s performance lagged behind expectations, citing both industry-wide challenges and internal hurdles such as inventory mismanagement and manufacturing inefficiencies. Nevertheless, Tavares remains optimistic about Stellantis’ strategic vision, which includes launching 20 new models and focusing on affordable electric vehicles (EVs).

Despite these setbacks, Stellantis is holding firm on its 2024 financial targets, which include achieving a double-digit operating income margin and returning significant capital to investors. The company is doubling down on new model launches, addressing specific issues in the U.S. market, and considering aggressive measures like price cuts and potential layoffs to improve its bottom line.

However, investor sentiment has been lukewarm, with STLA’s shares dropping more than 33% year-to-date, reflecting ongoing concerns over the company’s declining market share in North America and a 16% drop in U.S. sales.

While the recent recall and financial challenges may seem concerning, analysts maintain a cautiously optimistic outlook for Stellantis. Despite facing short-term headwinds, such as the cost of repairs and potential regulatory fines, the company’s global footprint and diversified operations could help mitigate the long-term financial impact.

Street expects STLA’s revenue and EPS to increase 5% and 10.3% year-over-year to $198.42 billion and $5.23, respectively. These projections suggest that while the recall may cause some immediate turbulence, the company remains positioned for steady growth in the coming years.

Citi analyst Harald Hendrikse maintains a “Hold” rating on the stock and has slightly raised the target price from $23.58 to $23.74, representing a potential upside of over 52% from current levels. Jefferies analyst Philippe Houchois has also issued a “Hold” recommendation, reflecting the overall sentiment that Stellantis, despite current issues, could deliver in the long run.

Investors must consider that the automaker operates across multiple regions and sectors, with a robust presence in EV production and a broad portfolio of brands. This global diversity helps cushion the blow from challenges in individual markets, such as the recall in the U.S. while allowing the company to tap into high-growth areas like EVs and emerging markets. With that in mind, it could be wise for investors to wait for a better entry point in this stock now.