Yellen States Gradual Hikes Should Continue

Hello Traders everywhere. The U.S. dollar rose to a one-month high as Republicans rolled out their U.S. tax reform plan and after Yellen's speech on Tuesday.

Despite slowing inflation, Fed Chair Janet Yellen stated on Tuesday that she believes that the Federal Reserve needs to continue gradual rate hikes. Yellen delivered a speech in Cleveland to the National Association for Business Economics on Tuesday in which she stated, "that the Fed may have "misspecified" its models for inflation, and "misjudged" key facts like the underlying strength of the labor market and whether inflation expectations are as stable as they seem, and central bankers need to remain open to that possibility as they decide on policy".

Still, recent low inflation was likely a reflection of factors that would fade over time and despite uncertainties, it "would be imprudent to keep monetary policy on hold until inflation is back to 2%."

"Without further modest increases in the federal fund's rate over time, there is a risk that the labor market could eventually become overheated, potentially creating an inflationary problem down the road that might be difficult to overcome without triggering a recession," she said.

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Tech Drags Down NASDAQ

Hello Traders everywhere. A drastic selloff in tech stocks has dragged the NASDAQ by more than 1% on today countering the gains made in the energy sector. North Korea's latest warnings are adding to the downbeat mood on Wall Street and in Washington as well.

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Crude oil is up over 3% on the day and trading above $52 a barrel for the first time is several months. This rise is due in part to news that The Permian Basin of Texas and New Mexico holds 60 billion to 70 billion barrels of yet-to-be pumped crude oil, according to a study by IHS Markit Ltd. That's enough oil to supply every refinery in the U.S. for 12 years and have a market value of about $3.3 trillion at current prices.

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Stock Market Slips On Threats From North Korea

Hello Traders everywhere. North Korean Minister of Foreign Affairs Ri Yong Ho said Thursday that the country may consider testing a hydrogen bomb in the Pacific Ocean. If Korea does indeed conduct the test, it would be North Korea's first nuclear test beyond its borders. That statement has left traders with an uneasy feeling heading into the weekend.

Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) continues to be a drag on the DOW as it looks to close out the 3rd straight week of declines with a -5.5% loss on the week. This is by far their worst weekly performance ahead of a major product launch since the original iPhone was released back in 2007.

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Crude oil can't make up its mind and is trading in a tight range right above the $50 mark for the week. This sidelines action comes after an OPEC gathering concluded with no decision on an extension or deepening of supply cuts.

Key levels to watch next week: Continue reading "Stock Market Slips On Threats From North Korea"

Stocks Hesitate Ahead Of Fed Announcement

Hello Traders everywhere. The Federal Reserve and Fed Chair Janet Yellen are stuck between a stronger global economy and a lull in U.S. inflation; the Fed is expected to announce whether it will raise interest rates for a third time this year or back off until prices rise to a level that they are comfortable with.

The Fed also is likely to announce a scheduled reduction of its approximately $4.2 trillion in holdings of bonds and mortgage-backed securities, most of it accumulated in response to the 2007-2009 financial crisis and recession.

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Crude Oil is on the rise and trading above the $50 level today. The significant move today comes on the hell of news that gasoline stockpiles are at a new 22-month low and exports of crude and fuels surged.

Key levels to watch this week: Continue reading "Stocks Hesitate Ahead Of Fed Announcement"

Stock Market Trades At Record Highs

Hello Traders everywhere. Wall Street has extended its record setting gains into Monday. The gains today come on the heels of a record close last week where we saw the all three indexes close at record highs. The U.S. Dollar halted a two-day drop and Treasuries slipped as investors remain bullish on the American economy ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting this week.

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The markets focus now turns to the Fed meeting this week. While the central bank is widely expected to keep the benchmark rate unchanged, close attention will be paid to the chance of an increase later in the year and on whether officials will announce the start of a reduction in the bank’s $4.5 trillion balance sheet.

If you haven't read it yet, check out INO Contributor George Yacik's latest blog post where he shares his view on the coming Fed meeting.

Key levels to watch next week: Continue reading "Stock Market Trades At Record Highs"