Tag: The Federal Reserve

Will They Or Won't They?

Posted on by The INO.com Team

The Federal Reserve will release their minutes from April's FOMC meetings on Wednesday at 2 p.m. The notes should shed some light on whether they are leaning towards raising interest rates or leaving them as is again.

Even though there hasn't been any recent public comments from Fed Chair, Janet Yellen, or Stanely Fischer, several regional Fed presidents have said as recently as last week that a move could be possible in June or July. Keep an eye out as Yellen speaks at Harvard University on May 27th and Fischer delivers remarks Thursday in New York.

What do you think?

Will the Fed raise interest rates in June?

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Please take a moment to vote and leave a comment about the Federal Reserve's coming decision.

Key levels to watch this week:
S&P 500 (CME:SP500): 2,099.89
Dow (INDEX:DJI): 18,084.66
NASDAQ (NASDAQ:COMP): 4,915.00
Gold (FOREX:XAUUSDO): 1,264.34
Crude Oil (NYMEX:CL.M16.E): 45.75
U.S. Dollar (NYBOT:DX.M16.E): 95.10

Every Success,
Jeremy Lutz
INO.com and MarketClub.com

The Head Of The ECB Speaks - What Did He Say?

Posted on by The INO.com Team

After a wild day in the markets yesterday, Mario Draghi, president of the European Central Bank, was at center stage this morning. What he said was almost incomprehensible to most people, including me. The clear takeaway was that European interest rates will not be going higher anytime soon. He was also asked what instruments the ECB have left to fight the current impasse in the markets. His answer was classic mumbo-jumbo Central Bank talk and did not address the question at hand.

It seems to this observer that the ECB and the Fed are literally out of ammo and have no clue what to do next. Fed chairwoman Janet Yellen's decision to raise interest rates here in the United States was, in my opinion, too late to have the desired effect. Should the markets head south as it looks like they may be doing, does the Federal Reserve have a backup plan or do they move rates back down again to stimulate the economy with another QE? Continue reading "The Head Of The ECB Speaks - What Did He Say?" →

Are Investors Secretly Turning Bearish On The Dollar?

Posted on by Lior Alkalay

Lior Alkalay - INO.com Contributor - Forex


Less than two weeks into 2016 and history has already been made. This January will go down in the record books as Wall Street’s worst in decades. China is losing control, the Middle East is boiling over and the Emerging Markets are in dire straits. All of which has led stocks to shed more than a trillion dollars in value.

It’s the classic boiling-to-the-brim pot which suggests we’re ready to push the dollar higher, right? Instead, dollar strength has really been rather tame which, on the face of it, is quite puzzling. That is unless investors have secretly been turning bearish on the greenback. The question is, are they? Continue reading "Are Investors Secretly Turning Bearish On The Dollar?" →

Will 2016 Bring A Turnaround In FX?

Posted on by Lior Alkalay

Lior Alkalay - INO.com Contributor - Forex


The year 2015, no doubt, has been a year to remember. Markets saw the first Fed rate hike in years which pushed the Dollar ever higher. In the Eurozone, the ECB's QE pushed the Euro to lows it hasn't seen in years. And in China, the Yuan, too, is being pushed to record lows as China's economy gets squeezed.

Now, with 2016 practically knocking at the door, the question is will 2016 be the year of a turnaround? Or will the themes of 2015 continue to dominate? Here are some major areas to focus on which can help us figure it all out. Continue reading "Will 2016 Bring A Turnaround In FX?" →

Fed At Odds With Markets Over Oil

Posted on by Lior Alkalay

Lior Alkalay - INO.com Contributor - Forex


At long last, the market finally got their long awaited Federal Reserve rate increase. Yesterday, the Fed hiked the Fed Funds rate by 25 basis points, from 0.25% to 0.5%. The Fed's famously watched "dot plot" revealed that most members expect at least four rate hikes in 2016. And investors? If interest rate swaps are any indication, then investors expect no more than two rate hikes next year.

So who is right then? The Fed? Or the market? Continue reading "Fed At Odds With Markets Over Oil" →