Tag: streetwise interviews

Catalyst Check: Natural Resources Watchlist at Three Months

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The Gold Report: Joe, some of your picks from the Natural Resources Watch list have performed quite well. Do you want to give us some updates?

Joe Mazumdar: Junior mining sector equities in the gold space, as proxied for by the Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ:NYSE.MKT), have outperformed gold since the June Cambridge House conference. The inter-period high for gold was $1,3351,340/ounce ($1,3351.340/oz), about a 7% return. Gold is down about 3% since the conference, on the back of a strong U.S. dollar.

The benchmark Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF experienced an inter-period high of about $45/share, generating a 30%+ return since the conference. But it is currently flat again. On both metrics, the ETF has outperformed the gold price. Our selections averaged an inter-period high of 50%, which included under-performers (+1826%) and some significant outperformers (+70115%). Currently, the average return for our selection since the conference is a more modest 1415%. [NOTE: Figures cited were current 9/30/14.]

TGR: During that panel discussion, you called explorers a lottery ticket and Cayden Resources Inc. (CYD:TSX.V; CDKNF:OTCQX) was a lottery ticket that paid off. What was your other "lottery ticket" pick? Continue reading "Catalyst Check: Natural Resources Watchlist at Three Months" →

Miners' Cost Cutting Set to Deliver in Late 2014

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The Gold Report: The gold price can't seem to climb back above $1,300/ounce ($1,300/oz) despite several geopolitical hotspots making headlines. What's underpinning the price weakness?

Raj Ray: The issue is that despite the geopolitical backdrop, the fundamentals still appear weak. The big drivers demand from India and China and gold exchange-traded fund shave been more or less flat year-over-year. China is still digesting the gold it purchased last year. And, although price premiums have declined in India following the recent Bank of India's move to permit trading houses to import gold again, further relaxation of the import tariffs is not forthcoming. If not for geopolitical conflicts providing support, gold could have moved much lower than $1,300/oz. I don't see a big driver to push gold higher over the next six to eight months.

TGR: India has imposed high tariffs on gold imports and those have resulted in a marked increase in gold smuggling. How is that influencing the gold prices?

"The first time two royalty companies came together to bid for a single project was with True Gold Mining Inc.'s Karma."

RR: I don't think there has been a marked impact on gold prices in India due to smuggling. The World Gold Council says about 250 tons of gold are smuggled into India each year. If you add that to the official gold imports of roughly 800850 tons, you still have a shortfall of around 200300 tons based on average annual imports. What might be something to look out for heading into the wedding season is the rainfall and its impact on food production. Rural India accounts for 6070% of India's gold demand. The rainfall outlook has improved slightly, but a rainfall shortage could make the government reluctant to reduce the import duties anytime soon. It would also mean that people have less money to spend on gold.

TGR: You said China is still digesting its 2013 gold hoard. How long before China is consuming gold as it did in 2013? Continue reading "Miners' Cost Cutting Set to Deliver in Late 2014" →

Five Aussie Companies with Cash Flows, Low Costs and MOUs

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The Mining Report: Australian mining shares had a great July. Was that a one-off or indicative of a trend?

Luke Smith: July tends to be good because the fiscal year-end for most personal investors in Australia is June 30, so there is tax-loss selling up to that date. That said, this July was better than average. The gains slowed down at the end of the month, but we've seen a liftoff again from the middle of August. Hopefully, this trend will continue, and we'll see the revival of Australia's small-resources sector.

TMR: Asian countries such as China and Indonesia are moving toward added-value mining. What implications does that have for Australian mining?

LS: Indonesia is a large supplier globally of tin, nickel and pig iron. The decrease in tin from there is counteracted to some degree by Myanmar becoming a tin producer overnight. The decrease of Indonesian nickel has already been positive for Australian nickel producers and explorers and the nickel price on the London Metals Exchange.

"Syrah Resources Inc. owns the Balama project, which contains close to 1.2 Bt with about 10% total contained graphite."

TMR: Newcrest Mining Ltd. (NCM:ASX), Australia's biggest gold miner, has suffered a lot of bad news lately, including a $2.5 billion ($2.5B) write-down and a class action suit. To what extent do its woes mirror that of Australia's gold industry as a whole? Continue reading "Five Aussie Companies with Cash Flows, Low Costs and MOUs" →

Position Yourself for Fall Fireworks

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The Gold Report: On June 11, on GoldStockTrades.com you wrote, "Some of my charts are showing a potential reversal in the precious metals." What are those charts telling you in late July?

Jeb Handwerger: In early June it appeared that the junior miners tracked by the Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ), which I use as a proxy for the junior gold miners was making an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern between $34 and $35. Then the junior miners had a very strong rally in June, with an intra-day high of $46. Now we're forming what I believe is a potential crossing of the 50-day and the 200-day moving averages a golden cross. This could signal the final turn from a secular bear market to the beginning of an uptrend.

TGR: Is gold close to a golden cross? Continue reading "Position Yourself for Fall Fireworks" →

John Hathaway and Doug Groh: Buy Gold Like It's 1999

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The Gold Report: In a 4th of July investor letter, you wrote that the precious metals complex, both mining shares and bullion, appear to be in the process of completing a major bottom, and you're more comfortable with the proposition that the downside potential has been fully exhausted. What are the signs that it's really turning this time?

John Hathaway: The gold futures chart is showing that we are in the process of a reverse head-and-shoulders pattern, which is a sign that a bottom has been completed. It means that downward momentum has been exhausted. This bottom will be confirmed when gold trades above $1,400/ounce ($1,400/oz), which is a stretch from where we are. At least we can say fairly credibly that it's shaping up to be a bottom, but we may test it over the summer.

Source: International Strategy Investment Group LLC

TGR: Are statistics on money flows telling you that investors are starting to get interested again? Continue reading "John Hathaway and Doug Groh: Buy Gold Like It's 1999" →