Is This a Bubble About to Pop or a New Bull Market?

By: Michael J. Carr of Street Authroity

The SP 500 has now closed higher seven weeks in a row. We need to consider the possibility that we are at the start of another bull market.

Stocks Are Bullish, but Not Bubbly

After gaining 0.42% last week, SPDR SP 500 (NYSE: SPY) is now up seven weeks in a row. While that gain may seem small, it is actually more than three times larger than the typical one-week gain in SPY. Since January 2001, the ETF has delivered an average one-week gain of 0.12%. Continue reading "Is This a Bubble About to Pop or a New Bull Market?"

Indicator Shows Gold Could Finally Be Bottoming

By: Michael J. Carr of Street Authority

Stocks moved up the fourth week in a row and have delivered a large gain in the first 10 months of the year. For now, there is no reason to expect a reversal in the trend.

Stocks Continue Setting New Highs SPDR SP 500 (NYSE: SPY) added another 0.15% last week and is now up 25.55% for the year, including dividends.

To put this performance into perspective, we can review data for the SP 500 index going back to 1928. This year's performance would be the 22nd best year out of 86. After such a strong performance, many investors expect a decline, and the question becomes, "How bad will the decline be?" Continue reading "Indicator Shows Gold Could Finally Be Bottoming"

3rd-Quarter Earnings Season: What To Watch For

Throughout the summer, investors were treated to a steady drumbeat of sobering news.

Retail sales were flattening out. China and other emerging markets appeared set to consume less of our exports. The steady implementation of the budget sequester was leading to a drop in government spending on technology and services. And many companies showed a lot more interest in buybacks and dividends than capital spending, which is a sure a sign of CEO pessimism.

So how do you explain the surprisingly robust profit picture being delivered in the current earnings season? Continue reading "3rd-Quarter Earnings Season: What To Watch For"

Timing Is Everything

By: Sean Hyman of StreetAuthority

Your whole life, you've heard "Timing is everything." You've probably also heard people say to "be in the right place at the right time."

When we do something has a whole lot to do with how successful we'll be at it. It's great to buy a home and hold it over time... unless you did it in late 2007. Tech stocks are great... unless you bought them in 2000.

I think you get my point. There's a right and wrong time to buy almost any asset out there.

The investing masses are known for buying in at the worst times and shying away during the best times to be a buyer. Why? They buy in the wrong phase of the market. Continue reading "Timing Is Everything"

The 'Smart Money' Is Pouring Billions Into The 'Next China'

By: Bristol Voss of Street Authority

Did you miss out on China's unprecedented growth?

In the past decade and a half, China has sailed past Germany, France, Great Britain and Japan before settling in as the world's second-largest economy behind the United States.

If you missed out on that growth, were you put off from investing while many experts dithered about the reliability of official Chinese government data?

It would have been nearly impossible for an individual investor to get in on China in 1998. The Xinhua China 25 Index (NYSE: FXI) made its debut in 2004 as the first Chinese exchange-traded fund (ETF), but it has had considerable downsides, including its fees and a high concentration in the financial space. Continue reading "The 'Smart Money' Is Pouring Billions Into The 'Next China'"