No-Brainer Stock For A Hawkish Fed

The multi-decade high inflation has kept the stock market under pressure since the beginning of the year. The Federal Reserve has been busy trying to tame persistent inflation through aggressive interest rate hikes.

After raising the benchmark interest rate six times this year, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has cautioned that the final level of interest rates would be higher than expected.

Despite the overall macroeconomic uncertainty, leading foodservice retailer McDonald's Corporation (MCD) reported impressive financials for the third quarter ended September 30, 2022. The company operates and franchises McDonald’s restaurants with nearly 40,000 locations in over 100 countries.

MCD beat the consensus EPS and revenue estimates in the last reported quarter. Its EPS and revenue were 3.9% and 3% above analyst estimates, respectively. The company’s global comparable sales rose 9.5% year-over-year, while the U.S. comparable sales increased 6.1%. According to Placer.ai., visits to the Chicago-based chain’s U.S. restaurants rose 6.2% in September, compared to the traffic to the quick-service restaurant space rising just 0.8%.

The company’s impressive comparable sales and profit were supported by higher menu prices and increased restaurant traffic. Surging commodity and labor costs led to the company raising the prices of its burgers and fries, but customers flocked to the fast-food chain for its value meals.

MCD Chief Financial Officer Ian Borden said, “We’re gaining share right now among low-income consumers” in the United States. Borden expects the company to ride out the expected recession next year by relying on digital orders and delivery.

MCD’s President and CEO Chris Kempczinski said, “Our third quarter 2022 performance demonstrated broad-based business momentum as global comparable sales increased nearly 10%. I remain confident in our Accelerating the Arches strategy as our teams around the world continue to execute at a high level.”

“As the macroeconomic landscape continues to evolve and uncertainties persist, we are operating from a position of competitive strength. I also want to thank our franchisees, who have done a tremendous job navigating this environment, while providing great value to our customers,” he added.

MCD’s strong fundamentals allowed it to raise dividends for 46 consecutive years. Its dividend payouts have increased at a 6% CAGR over the past three years and an 8% CAGR over the past five years. Its current dividend yield is 2.27%, while its four-year average yield is 2.27%.

The stock has declined 0.1% in price year-to-date, while it has gained 5.9% over the past year to close the last trading session at $267.84. Continue reading "No-Brainer Stock For A Hawkish Fed"

1 Retail Stock To Avoid This Holiday Season

Shares of sporting goods retailer DICK’S Sporting Goods, Inc. (DKS) have declined 24.4% over the past year and 11.2% year-to-date. However, it has gained 4.2% over the past three months to close the last trading session at $102.17.

DKS Chart

Source: MarketClub

Recently DKS announced the launch of DSG Ventures, a $50 million in-house fund to invest in innovative sports-related companies like itself.

Ed Stack, DKS’ Executive Chairman, said, “DSG Ventures will enable us to give back and help support entrepreneurs achieve their dreams through our connections, experience, and support. We know that DSG Ventures (and our partners) will bring innovative products, services, and experiences to athletes worldwide.”

However, the macroeconomic headwinds could mar DKS’ business growth. Amid the sky-high inflation and rising recession possibilities, consumers are hesitant to spend on discretionary items even before the holiday season.

Leo Feler, the chief economist at market researcher Numerator, said, “It's food, it's medical care, it's housing and shelter costs. It's essential services such as veterinary care, and child care. All of these things come first before consumers buy holiday gifts."

Furthermore, U.S. holiday sales are expected to rise at a slower pace this year. The National Retail Federation (NRF) forecast holiday sales, including e-commerce, to rise between 6% and 8% compared to a 13.5% jump last year and a 9.3% increase in 2020 when supply chain issues and pandemic-related uncertainties weighed on.

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Continue reading "1 Retail Stock To Avoid This Holiday Season"

1 Stock You Should Think Twice About Buying

E-commerce and tech giant Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) guided a slowdown in sales growth for the holiday season, making investors anxious. The company expects net sales between $140 billion and $148 billion for the year's final quarter, below analysts’ expectations, representing a year-over-year improvement of as little as 2%.

“We are seeing signs all around that, again, people’s budgets are tight, inflation is still high, energy costs are an additional layer on top of that caused by other issues,” Amazon Chief Financial Officer Brian Olsavsky said. “We are preparing for what could be a slower growth period, like most companies,” he added.

AMZN’s shares plunged substantially following the gloomy forecast and are hovering around its 52-week low. The stock has slumped 46% year-to-date to the last trading session at $89.98, well below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages of $116.72 and $130.19, respectively.

AMZN Chart

Source: MarketClub

AMZN’s market cap recently slipped below $1 trillion.

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AMZN has been trying to navigate the macroeconomic headwinds and hosted two cornerstone sales events in a year: Prime Day in July and the Prime Early Access Sale last month. Continue reading "1 Stock You Should Think Twice About Buying"

One Stock to Get Excited About Again

After two quarters of subscriber declines and slowing growth, streaming major Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) bounced back in some fashion as it added more subscribers than analysts estimated in the third quarter. NFLX reported a net gain of 2.41 million subscribers, which was considerably higher than the average 1.1 million additions expected by analysts.

Amid rising competition from other streaming platforms, NFLX reported a subscribers decline of roughly 200,000 in the first quarter and 970,000 in the second quarter, leading its shares to nosedive.

The higher-than-expected subscriber addition in the third quarter surprised the market. NFLX shares jumped after the company’s results were announced on October 18, 2022.

NFLX Chart

Source: MarketClub

NFLX has had a torrid time this year, with its stock declining 55.3% in price year-to-date to close the last trading session at $269.06. However, its shares have gained 12.6% over the past month.

The company comfortably beat Wall Street revenue and earnings estimates in the last reported quarter. Its revenue and EPS beat the estimates by 1.1% and 43.1%, respectively.

After a poor first half where The Walt Disney Company (DIS) overtook NFLX as the market leader, the company took up massive changes, such as introducing ad-supported streaming and cracking down on shared accounts. The company is also considering a cloud-gaming service.

In its letter to its shareholders, the company said that it expects 4.5 million new subscribers in the fourth quarter and expects its revenue to grow to $7.78 billion. Its subscriber guidance is higher than analysts’ estimates of 4 million. Continue reading "One Stock to Get Excited About Again"

Don't Fall Victim to These 2 EV Stocks

With increasing climate change concerns, rising costs of fossil fuels due to geo-political turbulence and ever-depleting supplies, and growing inclination toward lower operational and maintenance costs, the global automotive industry is fast transitioning toward e-mobility.

Including electric vehicles, charging networks, infrastructure, and energy storage, the global electric mobility ecosystem is projected to grow at 23.7% CAGR between 2022 and 2029. The following chart illustrates the key milestones in the impressive growth trajectory of electric vehicles.

EV Sales Milestones

Source: wri.org

While high input and borrowing costs amid record-high inflation and an increasing interest rate environment impeding the EV industry’s growth, EVs are expected to keep replacing Internal combustion engine vehicles at an increasing rate each year.

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However, since the EV industry is expected to bear the brunt of the macroeconomic headwinds in the near term, investors are advised to exercise caution and not to bottom fish NIO Inc. (NIO) and Blink Charging Co. (BLNK), as some technical indicators point to further downside in these stocks. Continue reading "Don't Fall Victim to These 2 EV Stocks"