Gold & Silver: Time Machine

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


The Time Machine is the dream of many (especially those who bet on sports) and I’m excited to see if we will be able to travel through time shortly as physics scientists confirmed that it is possible. In the meantime, we could profit or at least be prepared for the future using the market’s time machine.

Last week a textbook example of a “Flash Crash” occurred in the silver market when the price dropped almost 2 dollars (10%) within a minute! It’s amazing that gold was untouched by this event creating an arbitrage opportunity as all discrepancies are subject to speculative trading. That’s why I put the silver analysis first this time to show the map for a possible gold move. By the way, it is quite often that silver is the principal instrument for market movement as it has less liquidity and therefore more opportunities for market “gangsters” or “pirates” to attack it.

Chart 1. Silver Daily

Daily Silver Chart
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

After silver breached the previous major low established last December at the $15.64 mark the map has changed. What was tagged as a first move up turned out to be a tiny countertrend conjunctive move within the small complex correction contoured with the red downtrend. The Flash Crash drop almost reached the downside of the red channel, which could finish that small complex correction. Continue reading "Gold & Silver: Time Machine"

Pendulum Experiment No.3: An Early Victory!

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


In the blink of an eye, we have reached the middle of the year, and it’s time to see how our third Pendulum experiment worked out.

I’ll start with the poll results from 6 months ago that show your bets.

Chart 1. Poll results

INO Poll Results
Graph courtesy of INO.com

The majority of you bet on Silver, and you won as you can see in the chart below. It looks like the Nikkei index is not your star whatsoever. Continue reading "Pendulum Experiment No.3: An Early Victory!"

Silver Monthly: Symmetric Triangle

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


It’s amazing how an updates’ timing can coincide with an interesting chart pattern that’s shaping up or trendline reactions. This time I spotted a Symmetric Triangle pattern as I was preparing this monthly update. I am happy to share it with you in the chart below.

Chart 1. Silver Monthly (Zoomed): Symmetric Triangle

Silver Monthly ChartChart courtesy of tradingview.com

The market got stuck for more than one year inside of the black Symmetric Triangle pattern. It shows that neither bulls nor bears could change the balance of the market as price volatility on the monthly chart faded and we reached the apex of the triangle where the trendlines converge. Continue reading "Silver Monthly: Symmetric Triangle"

Silver Update: The Backup Plan

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


In this post I’ve updated the charts to reflect the recent dramatic changes in the silver market.

Chart 1. Silver Weekly: Triple Support

Weekly Silver Chart
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

On the weekly chart above, there is a mixture of reconstructed trend lines (gray lines) set in the previous update and newly added lines, which highlight the important support levels nearby.

The silver price has passed the double support (gray former resistance + gray support) set at the $17.5 mark like a hot knife through butter two weeks ago. The three red bearish weekly candles from the top erased all of the earlier gains and even broke below the previous low at the $16.84 mark. Continue reading "Silver Update: The Backup Plan"

Silver Update: The Time Is Up

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


This post is dedicated to silver as the projected period of consolidation set in my previous Gold & Silver post finished last week on Tuesday, the 18th of April. Let’s see the result of that “Cloning” experiment below.

Chart 1. Snapshot Of Experiment Result: Good Range Wrong Timing

Silver Chart
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

The chart above is a snapshot of the projected graph within the “Cloning” experiment posted earlier. As we see the price didn’t follow the red down arrow and reversed higher up to the top of the rectangle where it was blocked successfully. And the anticipated down move started right at the end of projected period missing the time target. Continue reading "Silver Update: The Time Is Up"