Gold & Silver: Silver Is The First Up

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Those who hope tell themselves - one day the tide will turn. I think a lot of people are either long or they’re not and were waiting for the rise of the top metals. Below are fresh charts which could help us to understand where we are and when the tide will turn higher.

Chart 1. Gold Daily: Watch The Breakup For Reversal

Daily Gold Chart W/RSI
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

I’ve written quite a lot in my previous posts about the tricky nature of corrective structures which have unpredictable outcomes. But the more time we spend inside of it, the higher are the chances that the situation becomes clearer. Continue reading "Gold & Silver: Silver Is The First Up"

Pendulum Experiment No.2 Snapshot: The Majority Is Wrong So Far!

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


At the start of July, I reviewed the result of the first Pendulum experiment where the loser metal Palladium could beat the supercharged Japanese Nikkei stock index. The same day at the end of the post I proposed to push the Pendulum again. This time we entered into competition the faded Nikkei index versus the matchless metal silver. Below is the graph of the bets you placed.

Chart 1. Nikkei Vs. Silver: Voting Results:

INO.com Poll

This vote clearly shows the biases of the readers as in the second experiment like in a first one the odds were in favor of the metal, at the first time it was palladium and this time it was silver. Only one person added to my voice in favor of the Nikkei as I am acting as an experimenter and chose the success of the Pendulum effect betting on the stock index to break the shutout.

Well, you will be surprised looking at the chart below as the majority’s bet is wrong so far. Continue reading "Pendulum Experiment No.2 Snapshot: The Majority Is Wrong So Far!"

Silver Price Could be Headed to $12

Written by: Octafinance.com

Even though we are long-term bullish on gold and silver we are negative medium-term. The Silver chart shows a technical setup with a possible target of a $12 per ounce.

Long-Term Silver Price Chart Still Positive

There is so much to see on the silver chart that we feel obligated to share our interpretations for the future price movement. We will start with the big picture. The whole move of 180%+ from $18 to $50 between 2010 and 2011 had only a minor correction. When the price crossed the upper channel of the long-term chart going back to 2002, it alerted us that silver is out of sync with normal markets.

Source: Rightedgesystems + Octafinance Interpretations

Of course as with any parabolic movement, the trend was not sustainable. Silver couldn’t break $50 per ounce barrier and sellers' came. The CME also increased the margins which forced all longs to cover (sell), as the sentiment was more than positive “98% of all traders were bullish silver” according to the Daily Sentiment Index (DSI). What happened after that is obvious from the chart, silver experienced a few technical setups that all broke down, reverting the parabolic movement to the upside down. Now based on the long-term support line formed during the last 13 years, we have a support around $11-$12 per ounce. Continue reading "Silver Price Could be Headed to $12"

Gold and Silver: Catch The Wave Up

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Gold

4H Gold Chart
Chart courtesy of Tradingview.com

Last week, the Gold short trade was stopped above $1200. Price immediately broke back above the head and shoulders neckline beyond $1200 and that was it. Stops are a good risk management instrument, they should be set at once and should be tight to protect your capital.

Today I prepared for you a totally new idea with a fresh look. I combined a classic trend model with the Elliott Wave technique and it is shown according to the long-term model posted at the start of this month.

Gold charted a good upside impulse wave 1 (of A) from the March low at $1142 up to the intermediate high at $1224. Then a correction wave 2 emerged and price retraced down to the 50% Fibonacci area at $1184. Usually, the 2nd wave corrects down to 61.8%-99% of the 1st wave, but this time we have had only half of it which means that the market accumulated enough bullish momentum to continue higher. Continue reading "Gold and Silver: Catch The Wave Up"

Gold and Silver: Short "Short" Play

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Gold

4H Gold Chart
Chart courtesy of Tradingview.com

As seen in the above 4-hour chart, Gold has finished shaping a short term reversal pattern we've seen before, called a Head And Shoulders pattern. This pattern was confirmed on the RSI where the model is even more bearish as consequent lower highs were shaped.

The vertical neckline, highlighted in black, has been broken today below $1197 and this is a good sell signal. The target is the distance from the top of the head to the neckline, subtracted below the neckline. So the market aims for $1159 (highlighted in the red dashed horizontal line), which is $35 down from the current price at $1194. Continue reading "Gold and Silver: Short "Short" Play"