Gold & Silver: Get Ready For A Final Shot

Chart 1. Gold 4-Hour

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Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

Gold has already booked more than $20 from the low established on the 28th of September at the $1181. Now, there is no doubt that the pullback I mentioned in the middle of September has been in progress.

After hitting the $1209 area, gold halted its move to the upside and started a consolidation. I marked that move as the AB segment (up blue arrow). I always mention the tricky nature of corrective structures as it may vary on the fly. The shape of consolidation could be as a counter-trend zigzag, could fit into a rectangle or form a triangle. The latter has been shaped in our chart above as the combination of lower peaks and higher troughs. I highlighted it with the converging trendlines (orange). Continue reading "Gold & Silver: Get Ready For A Final Shot"

Gold Bounced as Silver Broke Downtrend

Both triggers were pulled in the precious metals since my last post about gold and silver. I hope it is interesting for you to see how you voted about the metals price action in that article.

Let’s start with the gold votes below.

Gold Bounced

Most of you (54%) thought that gold would resume the drop. It was a slight edge over the other option where you chose the completion of the pullback. Let’s check in the chart below to see what actually happened with the gold price since then.

Chart 1. Gold Daily: Second Leg Of A Pullback

Gold Bounced
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

The price of gold has finished the consolidation highlighted with the thin red down arrows in the earlier chart between the B and the C points of the blue AB/CD segments. The simple measurement pointed at the $1180 level, where I said the CD segment should start. Indeed, the gold has hit the $1181 low within the BC part and then bounced up towards the end of the last week to close at the $1191. This is the magic of simple math, which occurs in the charts again and again. Continue reading "Gold Bounced as Silver Broke Downtrend"

Gold Struggles While Silver Doesn't

In this post, I will take a deep dive into the chart structure of the precious metals as prices approach crucial triggers but on the opposite sides of each metal.

Let’s start with gold as it struggles to gain a foothold above $1200.

Chart 1. Gold Daily: Pullback

Gold Struggles
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

The votes were split almost evenly in the poll in my earlier post about the gold’s outlook. Half of the readers chose the trigger of the upside resistance at the $1218 and the rest thought that the market would drop to retest the $1122. The metal price then was just a little bit lower than these days at the $1186.

Almost one month has passed since then, and to my surprise, none of the triggers were pulled although we were very close to the $1218 point, the market couldn’t push above the $1214 at the end of the August and then retreated below $1200. This month we could see the increasing activity as investors are back from their summer holidays. There was another attempt to clear the resistance last week, but it stalled at the $1213 and the significant level again remained untouched. Continue reading "Gold Struggles While Silver Doesn't"

Gold & Silver: Hard Ground or Quicksand?

I know that most of the readers don’t like when I post bearish outlooks for the top metals as even if there are dozens of downloads, still nobody pushes the “like” button. It could be a fascinating research subject for behavioral finance or at least an excellent contrarian indicator.

Frankly speaking, I keep an unbiased stance and share my view of the structures that develop in the market. I just read signals that the market sends us all the time. From the start of the year, there are totally bearish outlooks were posted as we had strong signs in the charts and we can see that they proved to be right and one could make good money.

In this post I would like to address the question that arises these days, is this recent bounce a reversal or just another correction?

Let’s start with gold.

Gold Weekly Chart: Market Eyes $1122 To Complete The Structure

Gold Weekly Chart
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

Before we start I recommend that you check out this earlier gold chart to see the price and triggers’ position before the drop and signals, which I outlined in that post to refresh your memory as more than six months passed. Continue reading "Gold & Silver: Hard Ground or Quicksand?"

Silver Looks Into The Dark Abyss

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals - Silver


I hadn't updated the silver chart since February when I warned you that the metal dangerously approaches the support of the Triangle pattern. After that, I posted a gold update as I found an amazing historical similarity there.

There’s been so much water under the bridge since February, but nothing had changed in the precious metals markets until the end of last month when the crucial trigger was pulled.

Below is an updated chart of the silver that I would like to share with you these days as it contains an excellent trading opportunity.

Silver Weekly Chart: Triangle Was Broken Down

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Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

Silver could escape from that troubled situation which I pointed out in February as the price briefly punctured the downside of the Triangle pattern (orange) and then happily reversed higher on the back of broad dollar weakness. Continue reading "Silver Looks Into The Dark Abyss"