Tag: Robert Boslego

World Oil Supply And Price Outlook, June 2021

Posted on by Robert Boslego

The Energy Information Administration released its Short-Term Energy Outlook for June, and it shows that OECD oil inventories likely peaked at 3.210 billion in July 2020. In May 2021, it estimated stocks rose by 4 million barrels to end at 2.901 billion, 298 million barrels lower than a year ago.

The EIA estimated global oil production at 95.02 million barrels per day (mmbd) for May, compared to global oil consumption of 96.22 mmbd. That implies an undersupply of 1.20 mmb/d, or 37 million barrels for the month. Given the increase in OECD stocks, non-OECD stocks dropped by 41 million barrels.

For 2021, OECD inventories are now projected to draw by net 149 million barrels to 2.877 billion. For 2022 it forecasts that stocks will build by 80 million barrels to end the year at 2.957 billion.

OECD Global Oil Inventories

The EIA forecast was made incorporates the OPEC+ decision to cut production and exports. According to OPEC’s press release June 1, 2021: Continue reading "World Oil Supply And Price Outlook, June 2021" →

U.S. Crude Production Rebounds In March 2021

Posted on by Robert Boslego

The Energy Information Administration reported that March crude oil production gained 1.401 million barrels per day, averaging 11.184 mmbd. This follows a drop of 1.273 mmb/d in February due to the freeze in Texas. The March 914 figure compares to the EIA’s weekly estimates (interpolated) of 10.968 mmbd, a figure that was 216,000 lower than the actual 914 monthly estimate.

Crude

Gains in production were experienced in Texas (990,000), New Mexico (172,000), the Gulf of Mexico (107,000), Oklahoma (87,000), and North Dakota (14,000 b/d). Continue reading "U.S. Crude Production Rebounds In March 2021" →

World Oil Supply And Price Outlook, May 2021

Posted on by Robert Boslego

The Energy Information Administration released its Short-Term Energy Outlook for May, and it shows that OECD oil inventories likely peaked at 3.210 billion in July 2020. In April 2021, it estimated stocks dropped by 26 million barrels to end at 2.897 billion, 215 million barrels lower than a year ago.

The EIA estimated global oil production at 94.04 million barrels per day (mmbd) for April, compared to global oil consumption of 96.18 mmbd. That implies an undersupply of 2.14 mmb/d or 64 million barrels for the month. That implies non-OECD stocks dropped by 33 million barrels.

For 2021, OECD inventories are now projected to draw by net 168 million barrels to 2.858 billion. For 2022 it forecasts that stocks will draw by 22 million barrels to end the year at 2.873 billion.

OECD Global Crude Oil Inventories

The EIA forecast was made incorporates the OPEC+ decision to cut production and exports. According to OPEC’s press release on April 27, 2021: Continue reading "World Oil Supply And Price Outlook, May 2021" →

Texas Freeze Impacts Crude Oil Production

Posted on by Robert Boslego

The Energy Information Administration reported that February crude oil production fell by 1.197 million barrels per day, averaging 9.862 mmbd. This follows a dip of 42,000 b/d in January. The freeze in Texas accounted for the majority of the downturn. The February 914 figure compares to the EIA’s weekly estimates (interpolated) of 10.368 mmbd, a figure that was 506,000 higher than the actual 914 monthly estimate.

Monthly US Crude Oil Production

Drops in production were experienced in Texas (836,000), New Mexico (105,000), Oklahoma (98,000), North Dakota (82,000 b/d), and lesser amounts in many states.

Given the huge reduction last May, production dropped by 2.884 mmb/d over the past 12 months. This number only includes crude oil. Continue reading "Texas Freeze Impacts Crude Oil Production" →

World Oil Supply And Price Outlook, April 2021

Posted on by Robert Boslego

The Energy Information Administration released its Short-Term Energy Outlook for April, and it shows that OECD oil inventories likely peaked at 3.208 billion in July 2020. In March 2021, it estimated stocks dropped by 19 million barrels to end at 2.932 billion, 32 million barrels lower than a year ago.

The EIA estimated global oil production at 93.47 million barrels per day (mmbd) for March, compared to global oil consumption of 96.0 mmbd. That implies an undersupply of 2.53 mmb/d or 78 million barrels for the month. That implies non-OECD stocks dropped by 59 million barrels.

For 2021, OECD inventories are now projected to draw by net 149 million barrels to 2.877 billion. For 2022 it forecasts that stocks will draw by 1 million barrels to end the year at 2.876 billion.

OECD Global Oil Inventories

The EIA forecast was made incorporates the OPEC+ decision to cut production and exports. According to OPEC’s press release April 1, 2021: Continue reading "World Oil Supply And Price Outlook, April 2021" →