Tag: Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Gold & Silver: Time Machine

Posted on by Aibek Burabayev

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


The Time Machine is the dream of many (especially those who bet on sports) and I’m excited to see if we will be able to travel through time shortly as physics scientists confirmed that it is possible. In the meantime, we could profit or at least be prepared for the future using the market’s time machine.

Last week a textbook example of a “Flash Crash” occurred in the silver market when the price dropped almost 2 dollars (10%) within a minute! It’s amazing that gold was untouched by this event creating an arbitrage opportunity as all discrepancies are subject to speculative trading. That’s why I put the silver analysis first this time to show the map for a possible gold move. By the way, it is quite often that silver is the principal instrument for market movement as it has less liquidity and therefore more opportunities for market “gangsters” or “pirates” to attack it.

Chart 1. Silver Daily

Daily Silver Chart
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

After silver breached the previous major low established last December at the $15.64 mark the map has changed. What was tagged as a first move up turned out to be a tiny countertrend conjunctive move within the small complex correction contoured with the red downtrend. The Flash Crash drop almost reached the downside of the red channel, which could finish that small complex correction. Continue reading "Gold & Silver: Time Machine" →

The Gold Clone: Time's Up

Posted on by Aibek Burabayev

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Last week time ran out for the clone of the previous consolidation in the gold chart that I posted in April. I’ve updated the chart with a snapshot of the experiment’s result.

Snapshot Of The Experiment’s Results: Good, But Not Ideal

Gold
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

All experiments are some sort of magic as we have an idea in our mind and try to apply it in the real world through an uncountable series of experiments to reach the desired result. But any result is a step forward to better understand what is going on in the real world. And the many side effects can bring us something genuinely new, especially when the experiment brings you an unexpected result. Continue reading "The Gold Clone: Time's Up" →

Gold Faces Multi-Year Resistance Again

Posted on by Aibek Burabayev

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Monthly charts show major price development and are crucial in determining the long-term trends. It is slow to change and I update it once the price reaches the important level or makes a breakout or reversal. The last time I updated the monthly chart was last August when the price reached the multi-year trendline resistance.

I had assumed three possible scenarios of price action and the least interesting second scenario of consolidation plan worked. I had set the margins of consolidation within the $1100-1400 range and some readers thought it was too wide, but as you can see now it played out perfectly – the actual range is $1122-1367 for the past period.

The trendline resistance falls lower and lower in the long run and now the price meets it again. That’s why added an updated monthly chart below.

Chart. Gold Monthly: Crossroads

Monthly Gold ChartChart courtesy of tradingview.com

This time we have the same situation as in the past year. Last July the price had tried to push through the black resistance line, but failed and there was hope that in the next month the breakup could be done and we all know what happened next. Last month the price also tried to overcome the barrier but failed. Nevertheless, the hope is still there as always in such situations. This month’s candle tells us that the price first dropped down from the open at $1267 to $1214 low and is now reversing losses and is yet to cover them all. Continue reading "Gold Faces Multi-Year Resistance Again" →

Gold Bugs Should Think About Buying Stocks

Posted on by Aibek Burabayev

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Some things become more obvious when you change your point of view. Some decisions are easier to make when we change the measure of value. And today I would like to share with you the gold bug’s view of the stock market.

Chart 1. The S&P 500 Monthly In Grams Of Gold

S&P 500 Monthly In Grams Of Gold
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

The chart above represents the price dynamics of the S&P 500 in grams of gold. I used grams not ounces to make the chart more readable. You can do the same by dividing the S&P 500 value to the price of gold in troy ounces and then multiplying it by 31.1035. Continue reading "Gold Bugs Should Think About Buying Stocks" →

Gold & Silver: History May Repeat

Posted on by Aibek Burabayev

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


People record history from ancient times only to find that nothing is new in this world and everything repeats in cycles, waves, high and low tides, and therefore it is quite useful to have those historical records to project the future as it is another human propensity.

It is always a big challenge to be the first in doing something as you face uncertainty, and those who go next can learn from the achievements and mistakes of the pioneers. A few days ago, my eyes caught an interesting similarity in the chart history of gold’s price, which could give us a clue of an upcoming price development and I am happy to share it with you below.

As you may already notice from time to time I post different experimental charts, which use a variety of uncommon approaches in analyzing the markets to expand the scope of our vision. In this post I used the clones of the historic moves, which could shed light upon future moves.

I squeezed the charts to let both legs of the current upside move to fit in the snapshots, that’s why I would recommend you to open both graphs in a separate window for a comfortable view. Continue reading "Gold & Silver: History May Repeat" →