Tag: Relative Strength Index (RSI)

All Aboard The Gold Train

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Yesterday, the Trade Triangles issued a green weekly Trade Triangle for gold. Gold (FOREX:XAUUSDO) now has three green Trade Triangles indicating that it's ready for the next upward leg in this long-term bull market.

As I have pointed out before, this quarter is the highest-rated quarter with an 83% success rate for gold trades using the Trade Triangles. Let me just be clear that this does not mean that this particular trade is guaranteed to be successful, but the odds are heavily in your favor.

I've added two charts below, a daily chart and a quarterly chart to illustrate the last time gold was in a prolonged bull market. That bull market started in Q1 of 2009 and continued for 11 quarters ending in April 2011. On the quarterly chart, you will see that every quarter for those 11 quarters the market closed higher than the previous quarter. If that same scenario plays out again, gold has 9 quarters to go.

Quarterly Chart of Gold (FOREX:XAUUSDO)

Key To Quarterly Chart

1) The start of the 11-quarter bull market
2) The RSI indicator moves to its highest levels in 3 years
3) Gold is 2 quarters into a long-term bull market

While the quarterly chart gives us a view of the big picture of how gold has acted in the past, the daily chart shows you how to use the Trade Triangles. For intermediate-term trading, you use the weekly Trade Triangle, which we just had a signal with yesterday, as the trend indicator and the daily Trade Triangle for exit and entry signals. If you are a long-term trader, then you want to rely on the monthly Trade Triangle, which has been positive for quite some time. Continue reading "All Aboard The Gold Train" →

Yellen, Yahoo and Yikes!

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Hello MarketClub members everywhere, it's the last day of trading for the week and it has been quite a week.

Yesterday, Janet Yellen, the head of the Federal Reserve Board, came out late in the day and said that things were getting stronger economically and that the job picture was improving. It was a rare appearance by Ms. Yellen as normally the head of the Federal Reserve does not come out to make any statements, except official ones. That one statement alone was enough to evaporate most of yesterday's losses in overnight trading. It is all about free money folks and the Federal Reserve has no more rabbits to pull out of its hat.

MarketClub's Mid-day Market Report

Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE:VZ) indicated that it plans to make a bid for Yahoo! Inc. (NASDAQ:YHOO). I find it interesting that the Trade Triangles picked up that something that was going on with Yahoo on March 29th, 10 days before the Verizon news came out. This is one of the big secrets in the market, someone (and insider) always knows what’s going on. Because of this inside knowledge, they see an opportunity to make money and they buy either options or shares in that company, in this case, Yahoo. That translates into market movement and plays into the algorithm used for the Trade Triangle technology. Yahoo is up this morning in early trading and I believe that this stock can move higher from current levels.

It seems as though 100 point swings in the Dow have become the norm at least for the moment. However, as you know, I tend to look at the bigger picture and what's going on. I do that by looking at how the markets are closing compared to last Friday's closing. Continue reading "Yellen, Yahoo and Yikes!" →

But They Said To Never Do This Trade?!

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Conventional wisdom says that counter-trend trading is a losing game. I agree if you're using conventional tools! Using leading indicators that anticipate price movement allows you to construct high reward, low-risk entries. Join me as you take you through this options trade in the Russell 2000 ETF "IWM."

Learn more about TradingAnalysis.com here.

Plan Your Trade, and Trade Your Plan,
Todd Gordon

A Very Massive Recession Is Coming

Posted on by The INO.com Team

This past weekend, Donald Trump, the leading Republican candidate for the Presidency of the United States, predicted in a Washington Post interview that we are headed for "a very massive recession." His prognostication goes against what most analysts are forecasting and the fact that the stock market is within 500 points of its all-time high.

Now, Donald Trump is many things. But, he is not stupid and we should not rule out anything in today's marketplace. You don't become a billionaire by doing stupid things and certainly I think he has an interesting take on the current economic environment. Just as he has tapped into the anger of the average American citizen and his unlikely rise to the top of the Republican Party, don't dismiss what he is saying because you may or may not like him personally.

MarketClub's Mid-day Market Report

What has been fueling this market to the upside is free money from the Fed. It certainly hasn't been corporate profits. Most corporations have wrung out the last few vestiges of efficiency in their companies expenses.

Having said all that, I'm not totally convinced the market is going to go a lot higher. At the moment, the major indices are giving mixed signals, the Dow and the S&P 500 are positive while the NASDAQ is in a broad trading range. All three indices are very overbought and are due for some form of correction, in my opinion.

NEVER BUY STOCKS ON A MONDAY... Continue reading "A Very Massive Recession Is Coming" →

Investors Should Watch Out For This Breakout Stock

Posted on by Daniel Cross

Daniel Cross - INO.com Contributor - Equities


If you're an advocate of EMH (Efficient Market Hypothesis), then you likely assume that markets are rational and bargain pickups are hard to come by. Stocks that take off without notice shouldn't happen since investors, whether institutional or everyday, have access to the same information. However, there are some cases that simply defy the rules.

Stealthy stocks that are relatively unknown can surprise investors. These types of companies might have few or no analysts covering its stock letting it easily slip through investors sights. But once it starts hitting new highs, it makes waves.

Many have immortalized investors like Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett. The value investor style of stock trading has been a winner for decades, but a look back at recent history tells a different story. It's growth stocks that have outperformed value stocks over the past decade. Advances in technology and a the globalization of the world's financial markets have led to an aggressive bull market that undervalued stocks just haven't been able to keep up with. Continue reading "Investors Should Watch Out For This Breakout Stock" →