Into Thin Air...

Into Thin Air is a best-selling non-fiction book of the 1996 Mt. Everest Disaster written by Jon Krakauer. His book was later made into a movie called Everest which gives a chilling visual account of events that took place on the world's tallest mountain. The phrase "into thin air" refers to the altitude and the lack of oxygen at the summit of Mount Everest. Humans can only stay at the summit of Mount Everest for a brief amount of time before the lack of oxygen will cause them to die.

That is sort of how I feel about the markets right now and this particular rally. The major indices without oxygen (in this case, super bullish news) are going to fail. That is how I feel now, but overriding any emotional feeling I have will be the non-emotional Trade Triangles. At the moment, both the Dow and the S&P 500 are indicating a sidelines position. Only the NASDAQ has both the weekly and monthly Trade Triangles indicating a downtrend. Continue reading "Into Thin Air..."

If It Walks Like A Duck, Quacks Like A Duck, It's A Duck!

Hello MarketClub members everywhere! As the month of February rapidly comes to an end in just three trading days, I thought it would be interesting to look at where the markets closed at the end of January, which as you know was a very volatile month.

So here the closing values of the major indices, gold and crude oil on January 29th: Continue reading "If It Walks Like A Duck, Quacks Like A Duck, It's A Duck!"

Reality Comes Back With A Vengeance

The recent rally abruptly came to an end yesterday as the market reversed down from key resistance levels. It takes a lot to reverse a major trend in any market and that's why I have been bearish for quite some time on many of the big stocks. Based on the Trade Triangle technology, I feel that we are going to see continued downward pressure on the markets.

One of the outstanding features of a bear market is that they don't let you out easily. Anyone who bought stocks in the last few days thinking that the market was going to go back up to the highs are now trapped holding losing positions. Continue reading "Reality Comes Back With A Vengeance"

Sometimes No Position Is The Best Position

What do I mean by that?

To put it simply, sometimes being on the sidelines in a cash position can be beneficial to your portfolio. There are times in the market when trends are very clear, whether it be up or down. At the moment when you look at the DOW Index, the Trade Triangle technology is indicating that you should be on the sidelines as the major trend remains down while the intermediate-term trend is positive. Over at the NASDAQ and the S&P 500, you should still be negative on those indices, providing the 4,636.93 and 1947.20 levels are not breached to the upside.

Today could be a very interesting day, we could see the recent upward momentum reverse back down and witness a pullback in the major indices and many stocks that have recently rallied against their longer-term negative trends.

Here are a few of the stocks I'm covering today. Continue reading "Sometimes No Position Is The Best Position"

Get Ready For A Buying Opportunity In Gold

Hello MarketClub members everywhere!

Gold

Is this pullback in gold a buying opportunity or a watching opportunity? I think it's the latter, and here are the reasons why.

Gold (FOREX:XAUUSDO) has had a remarkable rally from early December in 2015 to just a couple of weeks ago when the price of gold peaked at $1260 in the spot market. There are two things that I'm looking at in this market; one is for further consolidation and the second is that I believe that a major cyclic low will be occurring in the near future.

Looking at a chart of gold for the past 12 months you can see that gold had low periods in March, July and December. If that same rhythmic pattern holds true, the next low period should be coming up in April. I expect to see gold remain choppy until that time period.

The major reason why I want to pay close attention to gold is that I believe it is in a longer-term bullish cycle. One area to pay close attention to is the 50 support line on the RSI indicator. You also want to pay particular attention to the monthly RSI, which still remains below the 50 line indicating that it's not fully into a strong upward momentum cycle for gold. I believe that we will see further consolidation below the RSI line before it's broken on the upside. Continue reading "Get Ready For A Buying Opportunity In Gold"