How Investors Can Seize Opportunities in NVDA Amid Market Volatility

According to Todd Gordon, the founder of Inside Edge Capital, NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is a strong buy despite a recent pullback. The chart analyst also set a target price of $1,150 for the stock.

“I say that NVDA is just resting its legs gearing up for another move, but this time it's bringing more friends along for the run. There are quite a few different names in the semi-industry setup in a similar fashion telling me that once again the chips are ready to rip,” Gordon said.

Moreover, on March 13, Bank of America maintained its buy rating on NVDA and raised its price target from $925 to $1,100. As per BofA analyst Vivek Arya, Nvidia is expected to dominate the $90 billion accelerator market in 2024, unaffected by Google’s new CPU launch.

Last month, CNBC’s Jim Cramer suggested investors welcome an impending pullback. “I think people are right to expect a pullback here,” Cramer said. “But that’s not a reason to head for the hills. Instead, you want to raise a little cash, watch the market broaden — as it is doing — and then buy your favorite tech stocks when they come down.”

In Particular, Cramer said there may be an attractive opportunity to invest in one of his favorite stocks, NVDA. He hinted at his continued support for the tech giant over the years, even when the stock witnessed significant losses. While some on Wall Street might be growing weary of AI, Cramer emphasized that the future “runs on Nvidia.”

“If you don’t own Nvidia already, you know what? You’re about to get a sale,” he stated. “And if you do own it already, just stick with it, because it’s way too hard to swap out and then swap back in at the right level.”

Shares of NVDA have surged more than 75% year-to-date and nearly 223% over the past year. However, the stock has plunged around 3% over the past month.

Now, let’s discuss in detail factors that could influence NVDA’s performance in the near term:

Fourth-Quarter Beat on Revenue and Earnings

The chip giant reported fourth-quarter 2024 earnings that beat analysts’ expectations. For the quarter that ended January 28, 2024, NVDA’s non-GAAP revenue came in at $22.10 billion, surpassing analysts’ estimate of $20.55 billion. This compared to revenue of $6.05 billion in the same quarter of 2022.

The company posted a record revenue from the Data Center segment of $18.4 billion, up 409% from the year-ago value. NVIDIA achieved significant progress in this business segment. In collaboration with Google, NVDA launched optimizations across its data center and PC AI platforms for Gemma, Google’s groundbreaking open language models.

Further, the company expanded its partnership with Amazon Web Services (AWS) to host NVIDIA® DGX™ Cloud on AWS.

Regarding technological innovations, NVIDIA introduced several groundbreaking solutions, including NVIDIA NeMo™ Retriever. It is a generative AI microservice that enables enterprises to connect custom large language models with enterprise data, delivering highly accurate responses for various AI applications.

Additionally, NVIDIA launched NVIDIA MONAI™ cloud APIs, facilitating the seamless integration of AI into medical-imaging offerings for developers and platform providers.

The company’s Gaming revenue for the quarter was $2.90 billion, up 56% year-over-year. Talking about recent developments in the Gaming division, NVIDIA launched GeForce RTX™ 40 SUPER Series GPUs, starting at $599, featuring advanced RTX™ technologies such as DLSS 3.5 Ray Reconstruction and NVIDIA Reflex for enhanced gaming experiences.

The company also introduced microservices for the NVIDIA Avatar Cloud Engine, enabling game and application developers to integrate state-of-the-art generative AI models into non-playable characters, enhancing immersion and interactivity in virtual worlds.

NVIDIA’s non-GAAP operating income increased 563.2% year-over-year to $14.75 billion. Also, the company’s non-GAAP net income grew 490.6% from the previous year’s period to $12.84 billion. It reported non-GAAP earnings per share of $5.16, compared to the consensus estimate of $4.63, and up 486% year-over-year.

Furthermore, the company’s non-GAAP free cash flow was $11.22 billion, an increase of 546.1% from the previous year’s quarter. Its total current assets stood at $44.35 billion as of January 28, 2024, compared to $23.07 billion as of January 29, 2023.

During a call with analysts, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang addressed investor concerns regarding the company's ability to sustain its current growth or sales levels throughout the year.

“Fundamentally, the conditions are excellent for continued growth” in 2025 and beyond, Huang told analysts. He added that the continued demand for the company’s GPUs would persist, driven by the adoption of generative AI and an industry-wide shift from central processors to Nvidia's accelerators.

For the first quarter of fiscal 2025, NVIDIA expects revenue of $24 billion. The company’s non-GAAP gross margin is expected to be 77%.

Recent Announcement of AI Chips During Nvidia GTC AI Conference

NVDA announced a new generation of AI chips and software tailored for running AI models during its developer's conference at SAP Center on March 18 in San Jose, California. This announcement underscores the chipmaker’s efforts to solidify its position as the go-to supplier for AI companies.

The new generation of AI graphics processors is named Blackwell. The first Blackwell chip is the GB200 and is anticipated to ship later this year. It will also be available as an entire server called the GB200 NVLink 2, combining 72 Blackwell GPUs and other Nvidia parts designed to train AI models. NVIDIA is enticing customers by offering more powerful chips to spur new orders.

The announcement comes as companies and software makers still scramble to get their hands on the current “Hopper” H100s and similar chips.

“Hopper is fantastic, but we need bigger GPUs,” Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said at the company’s developer conference.

Further, the tech giant unveiled revenue-generating software called NIM, which stands for Nvidia Inference Microservices, to its Nvidia enterprise software subscription. NIM simplifies using older Nvidia GPUs for inference or running AI software and will enable companies to leverage the hundreds of millions of Nvidia GPUs they already own.

According to Nvidia executives, the company is transitioning from primarily being a mercenary chip provider to becoming more of a platform provider, like Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) or Apple Inc. (AAPL), on which other firms can build software.

Analysts at Goldman Sachs retained a buy rating of NVDA stock and raised their price target to $1,000 from $875. They expressed “renewed appreciation” for Nvidia’s innovation, customer and partner relationships, and vital role in the generative AI space after the company’s keynote.

“Based on our recent industry conversations, we expect Blackwell to be the fastest ramping product in Nvidia’s history,” the analysts said. “Nvidia has played (and will continue to play) an instrumental role in democratizing AI across many industry verticals.”

Bottom Line

NVDA surpassed Wall Street’s estimates for earnings and sales in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2023. The chipmaker has significantly benefited from the recent technology industry obsession with large AI models, which are developed on its pricey graphics processors for servers.

Moreover, sales reported in the company’s Data Center business comprise most of its revenue. NVDA’s Data Center platform is driven by diverse drivers like demand for data processing, training and inference from large cloud-service providers, GPU-specialized ones, enterprise software, and consumer internet companies.

Further, vertical industries, led by automotive, financial services, and healthcare, are now at a multibillion-dollar level.

The data center GPU market is projected to be worth more than $63 billion by 2028, growing at a staggering CAGR of 34.6% during the forecast period (2024-2028). The increasing adoption of data center GPUs in enterprises should bode well for NVDA.

Analysts expect NVDA’s revenue and EPS for the fiscal 2025 first quarter (ending April 2024) to increase 237.7% and 405.9% year-over-year to $24.29 billion and $5.51, respectively. Moreover, the company has topped consensus revenue and EPS estimates in all four trailing quarters, which is remarkable.

Furthermore, for the fiscal year ending January 2025, the company’s revenue and EPS are expected to grow 83% and 92.1% from the prior year to $111.49 billion and $24.89, respectively.

NVDA has achieved significant progress across its business divisions, and this year, it will bring new product cycles with exceptional innovations to help boost its industry forward.

Since the AI boom began in late 2022, catalyzed by OpenAI’s ChatGPT, Nvidia’s stock has been up fivefold, and its total sales have more than tripled. The company’s high-end server GPUs are essential for training and deploying large AI models. Notably, tech companies like MSFT and Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) have spent billions of dollars buying these chips.

Recently, the chipmaker announced a new generation of AI chips and software for running AI models, giving customers another reason to stick to Nvidia chips over a growing field of competitors, including Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) and Intel Corporation (INTC).

While NVDA’s stock has declined nearly 3% over the past month, several analysts affirmed their bullish sentiment toward the stock and see a significant upside potential, owing to its booming AI business and new innovative launches to maintain its leading position in the face of rising competition.

Given these factors, investors could consider buying NVDA for potential gains.

AMD vs. Nvidia: The Battle for Trillion-Dollar Dominance in AI

The trillion-dollar club, boasting only Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN), Alphabet Inc. (GOOG), and Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) as its only members, is incredibly exclusive. However, the landscape might soon shift, with another company on the brink of joining the ranks within the next decade.

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD), being a stalwart force in driving innovation for over 50 years, particularly in high-performance computing, graphics, and visualization technologies, has now emerged as a formidable contender to NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) in the AI chip market, signaling a potential shake-up in the industry's hierarchy.

AMD's Growth and Expansion Ventures

AMD stands to benefit significantly from its expansion initiatives, evidenced by the recent unveiling of its MI300 lineup. These data center chips, catering to AI workloads, offer two configurations: the pure GPU MI300X and the combined GPU-CPU MI300A, directly challenging NVDA's dominance.

With NVDA struggling to meet chip demand, AMD has a prime opportunity to capture market share. This sentiment was echoed at the "Advancing AI" event, where industry giants showcased their use of AMD's Instinct MI300X accelerators for cloud and enterprise AI infrastructure, reflecting growing adoption and trust in AMD's offerings.

Moreover, AMD's efforts to expand its AI software ecosystem, exemplified by the ROCm™ 6 software stack optimized for generative AI, have garnered support from key players like Databricks and OpenAI. The collaboration could position AMD as a preferred choice for AI solutions, further enhancing its competitive edge.

The company's commitment to innovation further extends to hardware, with the integration of neural processing units (NPUs) in its Ryzen 8040 Series mobile processors. The advancement, delivering up to 1.6x more AI processing performance, has garnered interest from leading PC OEMs, with new laptops featuring AMD Ryzen 8040 Series processors set to hit the market soon.

Additionally, strategic partnerships, including the one with Microsoft Corporation (MSFT), underscore AMD's role in enabling new services and computing capabilities across various domains, including cloud computing and AI-capable PCs. Such collaborations validate AMD's technology prowess and ability to drive transformative business outcomes.

Furthermore, its collaboration with JR Kyushu Railway Company highlights its foray into AI-driven automation, revolutionizing traditional track inspection methods with the AMD Kria™ K26 System-on-Module.

The deployment highlights AMD's commitment to innovation and its potential to address real-world challenges with AI-powered solutions, further solidifying its position as a critical player in the evolving tech landscape.

AMD’s Robust Financial Performance

AMD's fiscal 2023 fourth quarter showcased remarkable growth across its Data Center and Embedded segments, driven by significant developments. Notably, the company achieved record Data Center segment annual revenue and robust overall growth, buoyed by the rising adoption of Instinct AI accelerators and strong demand for EPYC server CPUs across cloud, enterprise, and AI sectors.

The company’s revenue for the fourth quarter surged by 10% year-over-year to $6.17 billion, fueled by substantial double-digit growth in both the Data Center and Client segments. The remarkable $1.2 billion increase in annual revenue for the Data Center and Embedded segments is of particular significance, which collectively contributed over 50% of the total revenue for 2023.

This surge underlines AMD's success in capturing server market share, driven by the launch of next-generation Instinct AI accelerators and its continued leadership in adaptive computing solutions.

In addition, the company's fourth-quarter non-GAAP gross profit grew 10% year-over-year to $3.13 billion, while operating income was up 12% from the year-ago value to $1.41 billion. Similarly, its non-GAAP net income and non-GAAP EPS grew 12% from the prior year's period to $1.25 billion and $0.77, respectively.

AMD and NVDA Growth Comparison

AMD's recent strides toward securing a spot in the trillion-dollar club spell trouble for its rival, NVDA. AMD's robust growth trajectory seems poised to challenge and potentially surpass NVDA in the market. This is primarily due to the recent events in the stock market, which have raised eyebrows.

NVDA's stock took a significant hit last week, tumbling into correction territory with a 10% decline from its recent peak. This downturn comes at a crucial juncture, highlighting potential vulnerabilities for the market darling.

Adding to NVDA's woes is the persistent supply constraint plaguing its H100 GPU chips. Despite soaring demand, the company has struggled to meet supply requirements for months, leading to significant challenges in fulfilling orders. The severity of this supply-demand mismatch was underscored by Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) CEO Elon Musk's admission that even TSLA couldn't acquire the chips quickly enough.

Furthermore, the lackluster performance of NVDA's stock from July 2023 to October 2023, as highlighted by Evercore ISI strategist Julian Emanuel, serves as a cautionary tale. This stagnant period failed to generate momentum for NVDA and catalyzed broader market downturns, impacting the S&P 500 index.

In light of AMD's upward trajectory and NVDA's recent setbacks, it's evident that the competitive landscape in the semiconductor industry is undergoing a significant shift, with AMD emerging as a formidable challenger to NVDA's dominance.

Furthermore, in a Texas federal court, NVIDIA was sued for trademark infringement by the financial technology company Modulus Financial Engineering over the chipmaker's Modulus artificial intelligence software.

Modulus Financial asked the U.S. District Court for the Western District of Texas to force NVDA to stop using the Modulus name, which it said would create consumer confusion with its AI-related software.

Bottom Line

Investor interest in AI has reached a fever pitch, driving substantial gains in the stock market throughout 2023 and 2024. With the global AI market valued at $515.31 billion in 2023 and projected to reach $2.74 trillion by 2032, the industry's growth trajectory is undeniable.

The surge in AI is fueled by several factors, including the proliferation of AI applications, increased partnerships, the emergence of small-scale AI platforms, and the evolving needs of businesses to navigate complexities. AMD, recognizing the immense potential, is heavily investing in the sector and forging lucrative partnerships to solidify its position in the AI landscape.

Moreover, with potent AI accelerator designs and leveraging third-party manufacturing solutions, AMD is poised to capture significant market share in the AI space, potentially elevating its status in investor discussions alongside NVDA.

Further, AMD's discounted valuation compared to NVDA presents an attractive investment opportunity, further bolstering its appeal as a solid buy in the market. Regarding forward EV/Sales, AMD is trading at 10.15x, 47.5% lower than NVDA's 19.34x. Also, the stock’s trailing-12-month Price/Sales and Price to Book are 11.62x and 4.72x compared to NVDA's 35.74x and 50.56x, respectively.

Against this backdrop, AMD stands well-positioned to make it into the trillion-dollar club and surpass NVDA with its innovative product launches, strategic investments and partnerships, and market dominance.

Is Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) The Backbone of AI Chip Manufacturing?

The semiconductor industry is experiencing an unprecedented buzz at the moment. In March, KPMG unveiled its 2024 Global Semiconductor Industry Outlook after surveying 172 executives in the field. A staggering 85% of these individuals projected a double-digit increase in the industry’s revenue in 2024.

The automotive industry, artificial intelligence (AI), and microprocessors remain the primary catalysts for growth in the semiconductor sector. Notably, NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), a leading vendor of graphics processing unit (GPU) components essential to powering cutting-edge AI systems, has emerged as a prominent beneficiary due to its strong market position.

Another tech stock, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM), also seems well-positioned to ride the AI wave. Also known as TSMC, the company is the largest contract semiconductor foundry globally, with a market cap of $705.69 billion. It oversees production for many renowned chip designers, such as NVDA, Apple Inc. (AAPL), and Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD).

TSM is dominant in the third-party chip manufacturing sector, claiming over 50% of the market share. This immense power grants the company significant influence within the semiconductor industry, particularly in the realm of AI chips. TSM takes charge of approximately 90% of advanced chip production for third-party companies, making its role crucial for AI models reliant on such technology.

Furthermore, TSM is currently overcoming a previous downturn in the semiconductor sector and experiencing an upturn in growth, aided by advancements in artificial intelligence. On March 8, the company disclosed a consolidated revenue of NT$181.65 billion ($5.68 billion) for February 2024, representing a rise of 11.3% from February 2023.

Moreover, TSM’s January through February 2024 revenue reached NT$397.43 billion ($12.43 billion), showcasing a noteworthy surge of 9.4% compared to the corresponding period in 2023.

In addition, as of December 31, 2023, the company's cash and cash equivalents amounted to $47.66 billion, up 9.1% year-over-year. Moreover, as of December 31, 2023, total assets grew 11.4% year-over-year to $179.93 billion. TSM’s strong liquidity position provides resilience, flexibility, and opportunities for growth and value creation, enhancing the company’s financial health and competitiveness in the market.

Strategic Investments and Expansion Plans

TSM has been actively investing in strategic initiatives to fortify its global dominance in producing cutting-edge semiconductor chips. It boasts a staggering 90% share in manufacturing these highly coveted chips, integral to the functionality of various devices, including smartphones and AI technology.

Although there may be a few geopolitical uncertainties impacting TSM, with the company having its headquarters in Taiwan, which China asserts as part of its territory, it is actively expanding its operations beyond Taiwanese borders.

Recently, TSM unveiled its inaugural fabrication plant in Kumamoto, Japan. Plans are also underway to inaugurate two $40 billion facilities dedicated to producing advanced microprocessors in Phoenix, Arizona. Additionally, TSM has committed $3.80 billion to establish a fabrication plant in Dresden, Germany, marking its first establishment in Europe.

Furthermore, NVDA plans to introduce advancements to its H100 and GH100 models in the second quarter of 2024 - the H200 and GH200. It has also debuted the B100/B200 and GB200 on its Blackwell platform during GTC. These chip offerings will significantly enhance operations for NVDA’s AI GPU’s sole maker -TSM.

AMD predicts that the market for AI GPUs will reach $400 billion by 2027, with a CAGR of 70%. TSM has already committed substantial capital expenditures to increase its production capacity and meet customer demands in this expanding market.

TSM’s management anticipates that the fiscal 2024 first-quarter revenue will range from $18.0 billion to $18.8 billion. The company’s gross profit margin could fall between 52% and 54%, while its operating profit margin is expected to range from 40% to 42%. Its 2024 CapEx guidance of $28 billion to $32 billion indicates a strategic shift where the rate of capital spending growth is stabilizing as TSMC capitalizes on its growth opportunities.

TSM plans to manage its capital with a focus on several key objectives: funding organic growth, ensuring profitability, maintaining financial flexibility, and delivering sustainable and increasing cash dividends to shareholders. Owing to diligent capital management, TSM's Board of Directors authorized in November 2023 to increase the cash dividend for the third quarter of 2023 from NT$3 ($0.09) to NT$3.50 ($0.11) per share.

From now on, this will be the new minimum quarterly dividend level. The cash dividend for the third quarter of 2023 will be paid out in April 2024.

Moreover, TSM’s shareholders received a cash dividend of NT$11.25 ($0.35) per share in 2023, and they will receive a minimum of NT$13.5 ($0.42) per share in 2024. In the coming years, the company anticipates a shift in its cash dividend policy, moving from maintaining sustainable dividends to steadily increasing cash dividends per share.

Bottom Line

Investors aiming to capitalize on the AI boom should prioritize investing in companies that play an indispensable role in developing and promoting AI technologies. Focusing on foundational players in the chip industry is crucial as these companies are well-positioned to drive and benefit from AI advancements in the long term. One such promising industry player is TSMC.

Though TSM does not immediately appear as an AI staple, its role in the AI pipeline is paramount and arguably on par with any other enterprise. Data centers rely heavily on GPUs, which serve as the neural center of AI computing systems. The process heavily relies on TSM's exceptional manufacturing processes and the semiconductors that it produces for its client companies.

TSMC’s chief executive officer, C.C. Wei, foresees the company’s AI-centric chip revenue to expand at a CAGR of 50%. By 2027, he projects AI chips to make up a high-teens portion of the company’s revenue.

With its operations well-suited to leverage the ongoing AI wave, TSM’s stock has surged more than 57% over the past six months. Positioned firmly with a proven track record of success, strategic investments, and a flourishing market for AI-based chips, TSM presents an appealing opportunity for investors seeking substantial returns.

Intel Backed Astera Labs Goes Public: What Investors Need to Know

In 2020, Intel Capital, the global investment arm of Intel Corporation (INTC), made a significant move by unveiling a momentous investment initiative of $132 million. This injection of funds fueled the growth of 11 cutting-edge technology startups, each driving innovation in Artificial Intelligence (AI), autonomous computing, and chip design.

Among these 11 disruptive startups, Astera Labs, Inc. emerged as a key player, ready to redefine connectivity solutions and spearhead transformative industry shifts. Established in 2017, Astera quickly made waves in the semiconductor realm with its state-of-the-art connectivity solutions tailored for AI and cloud applications.

Notably, last year, the chip startup made a significant announcement regarding its entire product portfolio. The company revealed that its products are now equipped to fast-track cloud-scale workloads with unprecedented scaling capabilities.

This development comes at a time when the global cloud AI market is projected to experience substantial growth. It is estimated to reach $647.61 billion by 2030, growing at an impressive CAGR of 39.6% from 2023 to 2030.

Astera’s innovative approach to data center connectivity, bridging accelerators, CPUs, GPUs, memory, and networking, is proving vital in supporting the expansion of cloud infrastructure for AI and data-driven applications at scale.

Thad Omura, SVP of Business and Corporate Development at Astera Labs, underscored the prowess of the company's hardware-optimized PCIe, CXL, and Ethernet connectivity portfolio. He emphasized that these solutions have been meticulously crafted with a software-defined approach, enabling them to deliver unprecedented scale for AI infrastructure and cloud connectivity.

Moreover, encouraged by the prevailing AI frenzy, the chip startup recently announced its plans to transition into a publicly traded entity, set to trade under the ticker symbol “ALAB” on NASDAQ.

The company is gearing up to offer 17.80 million shares priced between $27 and $30 each, aiming to raise to $534 million. Following the completion of the deal, there will be 150.50 million outstanding shares, potentially valuing the company at $4.50 billion at the upper end of that range.

Morgan Stanley and J.P. Morgan have taken on the role of lead joint book runners for this Initial Public Offering (IPO). Additionally, Barclays, Deutsche Bank Securities, Evercore ISI, and Jefferies are also serving as book runners. Meanwhile, Needham & Company, Stifel, Craig-Hallum Capital Group, Roth Capital Partners, Loop Capital Markets, and Siebert Williams Shank have stepped in as co-managers.

The funds raised from this IPO will be allocated towards working capital and general corporate purposes, with the potential for utilization in acquisitions if suitable opportunities emerge. In a letter included in the filing papers, the three founders of Astera, Jitendra Mohan, Sanjay Gajendra, and Casey Morrison, share their unwavering commitment to the transformative power of AI.

The three founders kickstarted their venture in a garage. Their brainchild, Astera Labs, birthed three product families, each tackling crucial bottlenecks in AI infrastructure.

Aries, designed to enhance CPUs and GPUs, facilitates the scaling of data input/output bandwidth. Taurus focuses on providing AI servers with accelerated network bandwidth. Meanwhile, Leo enables the seamless scaling of memory bandwidth and capacity for CPUs and GPUs.

Astera projects its total addressable market (TAM) to skyrocket to nearly $27.40 billion by 2027, up from approximately $17.20 billion in 2023. In addition, the company boasts an impressive clientele, counting chip industry giants like INTC, NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), and Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD).

Riding the wave of strong chip demand, the company witnessed a solid year-over-year topline growth in fiscal year 2023. In its Form S-1 filing, Astera reported revenue of $115.79 million, marking a robust 44.9% year-over-year growth. The company also saw a notable uptick in its gross profit, climbing to $79.83 million from $58.68 million the previous year.

On the other hand, as a result of making substantial investments in the design and development of new products and platform enhancements, the company remains unprofitable in 2023, incurring a net loss of $26.26 million and $0.71 per share. Yet, this reflects an improvement compared to fiscal year 2022, where the net loss was $58.35 million and $1.71 per share.

Bottom Line

Astera Labs has positioned itself as a frontrunner in the semiconductor industry, driven by its innovative connectivity solutions tailored for AI and cloud applications.

Backed by a significant investment initiative from INTC and boasting impressive financial growth, the company’s transition into a publicly traded entity signifies its confidence in its products and growth potential.

Furthermore, Astera’s IPO announcement arrives amid a perfect storm of opportunity. With the demand for semiconductor chips, especially those powering AI applications, soaring to new heights, the stage is set for Astera's ascent. For instance, NVDA’s stock has surged dramatically, seemingly unstoppable in its ascent.

Meanwhile, the shares of AMD and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TSM) have also witnessed significant rises, reflecting the broader trend of robust demand for semiconductor chips.

That said, with a strategic focus on addressing critical bottlenecks in AI infrastructure and a solid client base, including industry giants, Astera is well-poised to capitalize on the booming demand for semiconductor chips. Despite remaining unprofitable in fiscal year 2023, the company’s continuous investments in product development reflect its commitment to unlocking AI's full potential.

Moreover, the funds infusion from the IPO will provide Astera with a substantial financial boost, empowering the company to enhance its operational capabilities and drive strategic growth initiatives.

Overall, Astera’s IPO represents a significant milestone in its journey toward becoming a major player in the semiconductor landscape, with promising prospects for future growth and expansion. Keeping all these factors in mind, Astera emerges as a strong investment candidate.

 

Nvidia vs. Netflix- Which Is the #1 Growth Stock to Buy in March?

With the S&P 500 soaring roughly 8% year-to-date, stocks have experienced a solid start in 2024, with investors reaping the rewards of putting their money in high-growth stocks. This positive momentum is expected to persist throughout the rest of the year and beyond.

Amid this market rally, chip giant NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) and entertainment powerhouse Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) have emerged as beacons of growth, capturing investor’s bullish sentiment.

Although operating in distinct industries with unique business models, these titans share striking parallels in their journey to success. Their unwavering commitment to excellence, combined with strategic flexibility, has catapulted them to the forefront of their respective industries.

Therefore, let’s explore the fundamentals of NVDA and NFLX to unveil the ultimate growth contender of the month.

Last Reported Quarterly Results

In the fiscal fourth quarter that ended January 28, 2024, NVDA witnessed a staggering 265.3% year-over-year surge in its topline, totaling $22.10 billion. The company’s non-GAAP net income surged to $12.84 billion and $5.16 per share, marking a remarkable increase of 490.6% and 486.4% from the prior-year quarter, respectively.

As of January 28, 2024, NVDA’s cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities stood at $25.98 billion.

Conversely, for the fourth quarter that ended December 31, 2023, NFLX’s revenue rose 12.5% year-over-year to $8.83 billion. The company also experienced significant growth in net income and EPS compared to the previous year’s quarter, amounting to $937.84 million and $2.11, respectively. As of December 31, 2023, NFLX held $7.12 billion in cash and cash equivalents.

Growth Trajectory

NVDA, the reigning chip powerhouse, is currently one of the market's most sizzling stocks. Since its inception in 1993, NVDA has spearheaded cutting-edge computer chip technology, pushing the boundaries of graphics-heavy video games to unparalleled heights.

However, with the emergence of Artificial Intelligence (AI), these chips have swiftly ascended to newfound prominence, reflecting NVDA's enduring innovation and strategic adaptability. The company stands as a global giant in the production of Graphics Processing Units (GPUs) renowned for their ability to handle complex mathematical operations, powering captivating visuals across devices.

These advanced chips have become indispensable for training state-of-the-art AI programs such as ChatGPT and Gemini, underscoring NVDA’s pivotal role in driving the AI revolution forward. Leveraging AI to its advantage, NVDA’s earnings reports have managed to exceed expectations throughout 2023.

Furthermore, NVDA’s shares soared roughly 200% over the past year, buoyed by the company’s stellar earnings performance and solid demand for its AI chips. This surge attracted both institutional and retail investors, driving up share prices. With a market cap of around $2 trillion, NVDA has now claimed the title of the world's third most valuable company.

On the other hand, commanding a market cap of over $268 billion, NFLX stands as a pioneer in the streaming entertainment space, revolutionizing how audiences consume content worldwide. With a vast library of original programming and a global subscriber base, NFLX enjoys unrivaled dominance in the industry.

In a recent conference, NFLX’s CFO Spencer Neumann elaborated on NFLX’s trajectory under its revamped Co-CEO structure and its ambitious vision for future expansion. Neumann emphasized the smooth transition to the new leadership structure and NFLX’s dedication to broadening its entertainment repertoire, spanning films, TV series, gaming endeavors, and live content experiences.

Over the last few years, the tech company has adopted several strategic approaches to bolster its financial health. NFLX’s growth strategy hinges significantly on its substantial investment in content, with an annual expenditure projected at approximately $17 billion.

In addition, Netflix is venturing into new revenue avenues, including the introduction of an ad-supported subscription tier and measures aimed at bolstering monetization, such as combating password sharing.

Moreover, despite its risky move of cracking down on password sharing, NFLX’s latest earnings report revealed a surge of 13 million new subscribers in the final quarter of 2023, marking its most substantial growth since 2020. While initially met with resistance, the strategic move has been designed to counteract declining subscribership.

Greg Peters, NFLX’s Managing Director, emphasized during the earnings call that the company's top priority regarding ads is scalability. He highlighted a 70% quarter-on-quarter growth in the last quarter, following a similar growth trend in the previous quarter, indicating a positive growth trajectory for the company.

Competitive Landscape

In the dynamic worlds of technology and entertainment, both NVDA and NFLX are fiercely vying for supremacy in their domains.

The soaring popularity of generative AI owes a significant debt to NVDA and its groundbreaking GPUs. With skyrocketing demand and tight supply, NVDA's GPU H100 has emerged as a highly sought-after and premium-priced commodity, propelling NVDA to trillion-dollar status for the very first time.

With tech giants such as Microsoft Corporation (MSFT), Meta Platforms Inc. (META), OpenAI, Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN), and Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) heavily relying on NVDA’s GPU chips to power their generative AI planforms, these companies have started developing their own AI processors.

In addition, NVDA faces stiff competition from other chip makers like Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) and Intel Corporation (INTC), all striving to release the newest, most efficient, and potent AI chips to dominate the market.

Meanwhile, NFLX confronts fierce competition from fellow FAAMG (Meta (formerly Facebook), Apple Inc. (AAPL), Amazon, Microsoft, and Alphabet’s Google) heavyweights. The streaming arena is now brimming with contenders like Apple TV+, Amazon Prime Video, and YouTube Premium, launched by Apple, Amazon, and Google, respectively.

This fierce rivalry compels NFLX to perpetually innovate and enrich its content library to retain its crown as the streaming kingpin. Furthermore, the mounting expenses of content licensing and the delicate balance between original productions and licensed content present enduring hurdles for NFLX to overcome.

Bottom Line

As evidenced by their latest quarterly results, both NVDA and NFLX continue to deliver impressive performances, standing as formidable players in their respective industries, with their growth trajectories reflecting their strategic prowess and market dominance.

NVDA's cutting-edge GPU chips have propelled it to the forefront of the AI revolution, with staggering earnings growth and market capitalization making it a top contender in the tech landscape.

Fueled by these promising prospects, NVDA’s shares soared to unprecedented heights last month, with its market cap skyrocketing by a Jaw-dropping $267 billion in a single day. This remarkable surge nearly matched the entire market cap of NFLX, reflecting immense investor confidence in NVDA’s prospects.

NFLX, on the other hand, dominates the streaming entertainment space with its vast content library and global subscriber base. Despite facing stiff competition from tech giants and emerging streaming platforms, NFLX remains focused on expansion and innovation, which is evident in its ambitious growth strategies and robust financial health in the last reported quarter.

While challenges and competition persist, NVDA and NFLX demonstrate resilience, adaptability, and a relentless drive for success, making them compelling options for investors seeking growth opportunities in the dynamic worlds of technology and entertainment.

However, NVDA’s shares are trading at a much higher valuation than NFLX. For instance, in terms of forward Price/Sales, NVDA is trading at 19.37x, 178.7% higher than NFLX’s 6.95x. Likewise, NVDA’s forward Price/Book ratio of 24.32 is 116.2% higher than NFLX’s 11.25x.

The higher valuation of NVDA compared to NFLX indicates investor confidence in NVDA's future growth potential, leading investors to be willing to pay a premium price for its shares. However, it also signals that NVDA's anticipated growth might already be factored into its stock price, potentially dimming its attractiveness compared to NFLX.

Furthermore, while NVDA’s ascent captivates the stock market and propels the S&P 500 Index to unprecedented highs, Barclays research analyst Sandeep Gupta anticipates that demand for AI chips will stabilize once the initial training phase concludes.

Gupta underscores that during the inference stage, the computational demand is lower compared to training, suggesting that high-powered PCs and smartphones could suffice for local inference tasks. Consequently, this scenario may reduce the urgency for NVDA’s expanding GPU facilities.

As a result, investors might be banking on future growth that could potentially fail to materialize. With that being said, NFLX may emerge as a more promising growth stock compared to NVDA.