Chart of The Week - 30 Year Treasury Bonds

Each Week Longleaftrading.com will be providing us a chart of the week as analyzed by a member of their team. We hope that you enjoy and learn from this new feature.

This week's focus turns to the September 30 Year Treasury Bond Futures. The S&P 500 stock index has closed in the green 6 out of the past 7 trading sessions and many investors feel it may be time for stocks to partake in a minor correction. Typically, gold futures will receive a lot of the flight to safety bid in this case. Due to the recent break of consolidation in gold futures with the path of least resistance pointing down, 30 Year Treasury Bond Futures look to be the candidate to receive this bid.

On the technical side, September 30 Year Treasury Bond Futures have held a perfect bullish market structure since early April. Since the trend has been established, the market has held on every test making higher highs and higher lows. Since establishing a new high print of 138.10 last week, we have once again seen a retracement towards the original trend-line as the market looks for support. Continue reading "Chart of The Week - 30 Year Treasury Bonds"

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the August contract finished down for the 5th straight trading session finishing lower by 45 dollars this week at 1,245 an ounce continuing its bearish trend trading below its 20 and 100 day moving average as I remain bearish gold prices as I think there’s a high probability of a retest of 1,200 and if that level is broken look at a re test near the contract low of 1,180 as prices look very bearish in my opinion. You have to ask yourself at this time would you rather own gold or stocks as investors are choosing to sell their gold and are buying stocks and it seems like on a daily basis. The problem with gold right now is everybody’s buying the S&P 500 which hit another all-time high today as there is a very little interest in purchasing gold at the current time especially with bond yields continuing to move lower as the money is going into bonds and stocks and out of gold. Gold futures are still higher by about $60 in the year 2014 but traded as high as 1,390 earlier in the year and has given back much of this year’s gains that it had and I do think the trend continues to the downside and if you took my original recommendation place your stop above the 10 day high minimizing risk in case the trend does change. Gold is famous for having large washout days meaning it will sell off $50 in one day and volatility will spike as I said in yesterday’s blog & I sense one of those days is coming as the trend seems to be getting stronger.
TREND: LOWER
CHART STRUCTURE: SOLID

Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery"

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the June contract basically traded unchanged for the trading week with very little volatility as this market has gone sideways over the last 7 weeks and is looking to breakout soon in my opinion. If you look at the daily chart we are starting to form a tight wedge and I do think if prices break the critical level of 1,265 the bear market will continue however if prices break out above 1,310 a bottom might be in place and time will only tell so at this point I’m sitting on the sidelines as there is no trend in this market, however this is starting to become an interesting chart, so keep a close eye on those 2 price levels as the longer we consolidate the more powerful the breakout becomes. Gold futures are trading just an eyelash below their 20 and 100 day moving average as volatility is extremely low at the current time so if you’re bullish this market I would look at bull call option spreads because the premiums are relatively cheap and if you’re bearish this market I would look at bear put spreads limiting your risk to what the premium costs as gold certainly will become extremely volatile once again it’s just a matter of time.
TREND: SIDEWAYS
CHART STRUCTURE: EXCELLENT

Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery"

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the June contract are trading right at their 20 and 100 day moving average which doesn’t happen very often telling you that this market has basically been going sideways over the last 2 months with very little volatility is as prices seem to be bottoming out around the 1,270 – 1,280 at the current time I’m sitting on the sidelines in this market as there is no current trend but a breakout seems to becoming in my opinion as I do think with low interest rates remaining for quite some time that gold prices are currently bottoming out.

If you’re looking at buying this market at today’s price of 1,294 I would place your stop loss below the 4 week low 1,275 an ounce risking around $20 per contract or $2,000 if you’re looking at a bearish position I would sell at today’s price while placing my stop above the 10 day high which stands at 1,310 risking around $1,700 per contract as the gold chart has excellent chart structure allowing you to place tight stops. The story this week was a lot of money going into the U.S treasuries as investors think the U.S could be slipping into a recession and if that is true you would have to assume that gold prices will benefit from bad economic news so keep a close eye on this market.
TREND: SIDEWAYS
CHART STRUCTURE: OUTSTANDING

Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery"

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the June contract settled last Friday at 1,309 while going out today around 1,290 down by about $20 for the trading week as the Ukrainian situation has stalled sending gold prices back down into the recent trading range. Gold futures are trading below their 20 but right at their 100 day moving average as prices have been consolidating in the last 5 weeks trading in a $30 range as I’ve been sitting on the sidelines waiting for a better chart pattern to develop but if you are looking to get into this market on the long side I would buy at today’s prices placing my stop at the 10 day low of 1,365 risking around $2,500 per contract and if you’re looking to get short this market I would sell at today’s price while putting my stop loss at 1,310 risking around $2,000 as the chart structure is relatively tight at the current time. Gold prices rallied from 1,180 all the way up near $1,400 an ounce 2 months ago so this is basically the 50% retracement and I think you will see a consolidation for quite some time so keep a close eye on this chart as it appears to me that a breakout is looming.
TREND: MIXED
CHART STRUCTURE: EXCELLENT

Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery"