What The Syrian Crisis Means For Oil Prices

By: David Goodboy of Street Authority

For a brief time in 1991, there was no question that I was going to earn a fortune.

By making a few lucky stock and option trades, I had accumulated a modest sum of trading capital in my brokerage account. Knowing that the United States was about to invade Iraq, I had no doubts that the markets would plunge as fears of Iraq's weapons and military capacity reached a fever pitch around the globe.

I decided to short the market with all of my meager funds. Knowing that the U.S. would invade any day, buying put options on the SP 100 index provided the most return for when the market plunged. As fate would have it, my timing on the invasion was dead on -- the U.S. launched the first airstrike the day after I purchased the put options. Continue reading "What The Syrian Crisis Means For Oil Prices"

Gold Chart of The Week

Each Week Longleaftrading.com will be providing us a chart of the week as analyzed by a member of their team. We hope that you enjoy and learn from this new feature.

Weekly Gold Report (September 16th through September 20th)

Out of the fifty-two weeks each year, this upcoming week is one that I personally look forward to the most. Since the financial crisis several years ago, this week has been a standout year after year. There are several reason for all the hype, which I will share in the next few paragraphs.

First and obviously most important is the fact that the September FOMC Policy Statement is shared on Wednesday afternoon. We will hear about the FED’s decision on Interest Rates and whether or not they plan to taper their Bond Purchase Program (QE) from 85 Billion, or if they feel it is necessary to stay the course. Without having the ability to sit in this important meeting, traders will either begin speculating on the outcome before Wednesday afternoon, or they will keep the proverbial powder dry until after the announcement is made. Either way, I expect steady volume to return to the markets leading up to, and after Wednesdays disclosure. Continue reading "Gold Chart of The Week"

The Middle Third

By: Bill Poulos of Profits Run

Today, I'm going to share one of the best 'mind shifts' I've ever discovered when it comes to trading the markets.

Now, let’s look at going after profits in the middle one-third of a trend. So take a look at this chart where I’ve zoomed in on a nice uptrend.

Now here’s what most people think you have to do to create wealth trading the markets. They think you have to buy at the very bottom of a trend as seen here, and then sell at the very top. Anything less than that is perceived as a failure.

Well, one of the greatest traders of the 20th Century, Bernard Baruch, who was a multi-millionaire and who also went on to become a presidential advisor, had this to say about trying to capture the entire trend. He said:

"Don’t try to buy at the bottom and sell at the top. It can’t be done, except by liars. I can’t help making money. I just wait for the market to bottom. Then I buy on the way up, and then I sell before the top. I'm satisfied with the middle one-third of the move."

Now this is a very, very profound concept, and I want to emphasize this again. Baruch said, "I just wait for the market to bottom, and buy on the way up. Then I sell before the top. I’m satisfied with the middle one-third of the move."

That’s the secret: the middle one-third. If that doesn’t make sense to you, here’s another way to look at it. Babe Ruth, Hank Aaron, and Barry Bonds are all masters of the middle one-third. They understood that all you need to do to hit the most homeruns, over time, is to hit the ball one out of every three times you step up to the plate.

What do you think would have happened if Babe Ruth had given up early in his career because he didn’t hit the ball 100% of the time? Of course, we wouldn’t be talking about him right now.

Just like Bernard Baruch and just like many of the rich, all three of these homerun kings were satisfied with the middle one-third. So let's look at what Baruch was talking about in a little more detail, so you can implement this concept yourself.

This is the same chart we just saw, but applying Baruch’s philosophy to it. This is what the middle one-third looks like. Now, you might be thinking: "Well, what about the rest of the move? I'd be paying too much if I miss the bottom or I'd be selling too low if I miss the top."

Well, that’s how the middle class thinks. They think you need to capture it all, but some of the wealthiest people on the planet, like Baruch, figured out long ago that the middle one-third of a trend is much easier to take advantage of.

All you need to do is wait for a trend to develop, hop on board, and then sell before it ends. Now, in practice, what we actually end up doing is selling a few days after a trend peaks, and that’s why the sell arrow points to the spot on the other side of the trend.

Do you see how that works? It's easy and it's what the rich do every day to keep and grow their wealth.

This is just one of 4 steps to achieving market mastery that I teach on my new training website for free. To learn the other 3, click here...

Weekly Futures Recap w/Mike Seery

We’ve asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Soybean Futures-- Soybean futures had a wild trading week ending lower by $.13 this Friday at 13.83 but having a very bullish USDA crop report despite the fact that we are going to have the 4th largest crop in U.S history, but the carryover level dropped from 220 bushels all way down to 150 million bushels which now means the carryover in soybeans is tight again which should keep prices high for quite some time. We thought the carryover number was going to be 295 million bushels earlier in the summer and that’s how much this figure has dropped and if you go into the next report with possibly an even lower crop than 3.14 billion bushels and a carryover of 100 million prices could really move to the upside in my opinion. The grain complex in general is still in a bearish trend except for soybeans as the spread price between corn and soybeans is right near record levels as there is still huge demand for soybeans and I wonder what the next crop report is going to say as this was a disappointing crop year in my opinion. This year’s crop is only 3% higher than last year’s drought stricken crop which is amazing in my opinion but we just had too many bad things happen this year with cool & wet weather and then hot & dry with a very sporadic weather pattern causing the poor crop this year as now we start to enter Brazil’s planting season which is expected to be another record crop. TREND: HIGHER –CHART STRUCTURE: IMPROVING Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap w/Mike Seery"

Chart to Watch - October Sugar

We've asked our friend Jim Robinson of profittrading.com to provide his expert analysis of charts to our readers. Each week he'll be analyzing a different chart using the Trade Triangles and his experience.

Today he is going to take a look at the technical picture of the October Sugar (NYBOT_SB.V13.E).

I hope you are having a GREAT week !

This week we will take a look at October Sugar futures.

When trading futures with the MarketClub system we use the weekly Trade Triangles to tell trend and the daily Trade Triangles for timing.

Sugar has put in a daily (not shown on this chart) and weekly green MarketClub Trade Triangle, which means the MarketClub system is long Sugar right now. Continue reading "Chart to Watch - October Sugar"