Tag: Guest Bloggers

How Volatility Affects The Options and Binary Options Markets

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Market volatility comes in two forms, implied volatility and historical volatility, both which can affect an investor’s ability to be successful in trading Binary Options. Implied volatility is similar to a financial security as it fluctuates with market sentiment and is an estimate of how much options trader perceives a financial security or index will move over a specific period of time on an annualized basis. Historical volatility is the actual past movement of a security and can be defined as the standard deviation of a time series, reflected in percentage format.

Implied volatility affects the price of a Binary Option, but it influences standard vanilla options much more than it effects Binary Options. Implied volatility changes as market sentiment changes. Generally as fear and trepidation increase, implied volatility increases, while increases in complacency are generally highly correlated to declines in implied volatility.  Continue reading "How Volatility Affects The Options and Binary Options Markets" →

U.S. Stock Market, Profits & Policy

Posted on by The INO.com Team

U.S. stocks generally remain on bullish trends in all time frames.  Further, the Debt Ceiling (and Government shutdown) theater seems to be playing out in the usual way that these events play out; the stock market has been correcting in an orderly way and seems to be waiting for an inevitable compromise between the White House and Republican leaders.  This of course would spur a next leg up if the usual script plays out.  That is how it looks, with a traditional bull catalyst (heavy media rotation of an Armageddon-like political event) in play.

Yet there is a negative in play that actually matters, as corporate forward profit guidance is degenerating.  Or is it really a negative?  Graph from Sentimentrader.com: Continue reading "U.S. Stock Market, Profits & Policy" →

Gold Chart of The Week

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Each Week Longleaftrading.com will be providing us a chart of the week as analyzed by a member of their team. We hope that you enjoy and learn from this new feature.

Weekly Gold Report (October 7th through October 11th)

Week two of the US Government Shutdown has officially begun and it appears that we are no closer to a resolution than we were when last weeks business concluded. Despite the fact that there are a few noteworthy economic figures and speeches being brought to the markets this week, all eyes will continue to follow news from Washington throughout the next five trading days.

In an effort to not bore readers with the same information that headlines every financial publication each day, I will spare you the details of the US Governments sophomoric behavior over the debt ceiling and suggest that traders should expect this debate to continue to weigh on the markets. If the last five years have taught us anything about the US Government and the big decisions and deadlines, we should probably expect some form of compromise in the eleventh hour on October 17th. While it is certainly a possibility that a resolution could be struck in advance of that date, I would not bet the farm on it. Continue reading "Gold Chart of The Week" →

How social media sentiment can affect markets

Posted on by The INO.com Team

On a daily basis over 140 million users of micro-blogging service - Twitter are generating a collective 340 million small text messages. This abundance of data contains a multitude of patterns hidden within. But can this data predict whether the stocks go up or down? Can it really assist traders on making calculated, informed and successful trades?

I think it is a fact that the media, both online and offline are able to influence the financial market and generate both positive and negative outcomes on market price. It is also said that investors are not the only subject to the sentiment of related news articles but also the public opinions.

The challenge is how to quantify such sentimental information to predict the movement of the stock markets, so say the researchers who mined the twitter data anyway. Continue reading "How social media sentiment can affect markets" →

Weekly Futures Recap w/Mike Seery

Posted on by The INO.com Team

We’ve asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Cotton Futures-- Cotton futures in New York this week continued their bullish trend settling last Friday at 86.63 going out this Friday at 87.47 about 85 points higher hitting a 6 week high and still trading above its 20 and 100 day moving average which I consider a bullish technical indicator. I have been recommending buying cotton futures in the December contract last Friday when it broke out above 85.80 but cotton is very large contract with heavy risk so trade only 1 contract while placing a stop below the 10 day low at 84.07 risking around $800 per contract at the time if you are wrong and the trend changes to the downside. The chart structure in cotton is excellent at this point which has allowed you to place a tight stop if you’re looking to get involved into this market, however traders are keeping an eye on next week’s crop report which definitely will have an impact on short-term price direction as I still do believe cotton prices will fill that gap at 89 in the coming weeks possibly if next week’s report is very bullish. TREND: HIGHER –CHART STRUCTURE: EXCELLENT Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap w/Mike Seery" →