We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.
Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.
Crude Oil Futures
Crude oil futures have been very volatile in the last couple of weeks as prices are up $.30 this Friday afternoon in New York currently trading at 93.15 a barrel in the October contract as I am now recommending a short position when prices closed below 92.50 earlier in the week while placing your stop loss above the 10 day high which currently stands at 96.00 a barrel risking around $3,500 per contract as the chart structure is awful at the current time but I still do believe that the trend is lower despite the fact that prices traded as low as 90.43 before rallying severely in the last couple of days. Crude oil prices are trading below their 20 & 100 day moving average as the U.S dollar continues to make new highs against the Euro currency and I think that will be the main factor of lower prices, however problems with Iraq in Syria are propping up prices once again but continue to play this to the downside and sell any rally making sure you use the proper stop loss as the 10 day high will start to come down dramatically on a daily basis starting next week so the risk reward situation will be better than it is at the current time. The 10 year note is hitting a 5 week high yielding 2.56% and that is also a negative influence on commodity prices as well as oil as the United States is becoming an exporter as we are not so reliant on Middle East oil and that’s why prices have not been skyrocketing due to the all ISIS nonsense which is now controlling 2 countries.
TREND: LOWER
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