We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.
Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.
Wheat Futures
Wheat futures in the December contract settled last Friday in Chicago at 4.82 a bushel while currently trading at 4.65 down about $0.17 for the trading week reacting to a very bearish USDA crop report which was released yesterday sending prices down $0.20. Ending wheat stocks were stated at 933 million bushels, but expectations were around 901. That coupled with the excellent growing conditions pushed wheat prices to lows that we haven't seen since June 12th. There is major support around the 4.50/4.60 level as we traded in that area for several months before rallying on fears of drought in the Dakotas and the state of Montana. I have been looking at a bullish position in this market, but I will avoid the grains for now as they still look like they are headed lower in my opinion. Wheat prices are trading under their 20 and 100-day moving average telling you that the trend is to the downside as the chart structure is poor, so look at other markets with a better risk/reward scenario.
TREND:LOWER
CHART STRUCTURE: POOR
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