Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Wheat Futures

Wheat futures in the December contract settled last Friday in Chicago at 4.82 a bushel while currently trading at 4.65 down about $0.17 for the trading week reacting to a very bearish USDA crop report which was released yesterday sending prices down $0.20. Ending wheat stocks were stated at 933 million bushels, but expectations were around 901. That coupled with the excellent growing conditions pushed wheat prices to lows that we haven't seen since June 12th. There is major support around the 4.50/4.60 level as we traded in that area for several months before rallying on fears of drought in the Dakotas and the state of Montana. I have been looking at a bullish position in this market, but I will avoid the grains for now as they still look like they are headed lower in my opinion. Wheat prices are trading under their 20 and 100-day moving average telling you that the trend is to the downside as the chart structure is poor, so look at other markets with a better risk/reward scenario.
TREND:LOWER
CHART STRUCTURE: POOR

Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery"

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the December contract settled last Friday in New York at 1,275 an ounce while currently trading at 1,268 down slightly for the trading week after hitting a six week high earlier this week. I'm currently not involved in this market with gold being incredibly choppy over the last six months. Gold prices are trading above their 20 and 100-day moving average telling you that the short-term trend is higher. Gold has had a significant rally over the last six weeks due to the U.S. dollar has hit a fresh 14 month low. That is definitely a fundamental bullish factor towards gold and the precious metals across the board. The United States added 209,000 jobs last month sending prices slightly lower in Friday's trade and the next major level of resistance is around the 1,300 level. That has to be broken to continue with its bullish momentum as the chart structure is poor at present due to the moves that went straight down and then straight up. I'm advising clients to look at other markets with better potential than gold at the current time.
TREND: HIGHER
CHART STRUCTURE: POOR

Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery"

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

S&P 500 Futures

The S&P 500 in the September contract settled last Friday in Chicago at 2468 while currently trading at 2465 down slightly for the week. I remain very bullish the equity market & if you are long a futures contract the stop loss has been raised to 2448 and in 2 more days that will be raised to 2457. The chart structure has turned excellent because volatility is relatively low except in Thursday's trade when we saw a significant price swing. The Vix, which measures the volatility in the stock market hit a 10-year low in yesterday's trade down to the 11 level which is shocking in my opinion. The bias is to the upside at this time as extremely low-interest rates coupled with a weak U.S. dollar continues to prop up equity prices and I think this trend is going to continue. I'm certainly not recommending any type of bearish position. The S&P 500 is trading far above its 20 and 100-day moving average as this trend is very strong and seems to get stronger on a weekly basis with excellent earnings coming about. This is the perfect storm for higher prices in my opinion so stay long and place the proper stop loss.
TREND: HIGHER
CHART STRUCTURE: SOLID - IMPROVING

Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery"

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

U.S. Dollar Futures

The U.S. dollar in the September contract settled last Friday at 94.93 while currently trading at 93.77 down about 115 points for the trading week continuing its bearish momentum hitting and 11 month low. I'm currently not involved in this market, but I do think prices are heading out towards the 90/92 level in the coming weeks as the bearish momentum is getting stronger on a weekly basis. The Dollar index traded as high as 102 in the month of March as low-interest rates in the United States continues to push this market lower. If you are short a futures contract place the stop loss above the 10-day high which stands at 95.96 as the chart structure will start to improve in next week's trade, therefore, lowering the monetary risk. The currency market is one of the trendiest markets as picking a bottom, or a top is extremely dangerous as some of these trends can last for long periods of time just like this one has in 2017. I'm certainly not recommending any type of bullish position that would be very dangerous as this market is trading far under its 20 and 100-day moving average telling you that this trend is the downside so if you are short stay short as you're on the right side in my opinion.
TREND: LOWER
CHART STRUCTURE: IMPROVING

Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery"

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the August contract is up $10 an ounce, and I am now recommending a bearish position. As I stated in yesterday's blog from around the 1,228 level if you took the trade, continue to place the stop loss at the 10-day high standing at 1,243. However, in Tuesday's trade that could be lowered to today's high around 1,233 as the chart structure is outstanding therefore the risk/reward is highly in your favor in my opinion. Gold prices rebounded sharply earlier this morning due to an abysmal retail sales report which was the 2nd consecutive report that was negative. However, the U.S. stock market is hitting all-time highs once again today as they were not considering this valuable information so stay short & place the proper stop loss risking 2% of your account balance on any given trade. Gold prices are still trading under their 20 and 100-day moving average as prices settled last Friday in New York at 1,209 while currently trading at 1,226 up to about $17 for the trading week. I think this is just a kick back due to oversold conditions as the major support still lies around the 1,200 level & if that is broken this bearish trend could get ugly to the downside in my opinion so stay short.
TREND: LOWER
CHART STRUCTURE: EXCELLENT

Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery"