"Enter The Dragon" Starring … Gold

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Recognition

Last Monday, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) endorsed the inclusion of the yuan in the fund's Special Drawing Rights (SDR) basket effective on Oct. 1, 2016. The Chinese currency has now joined the elite global currency club and will be the fifth member alongside the US dollar, the euro, the sterling and the Japanese yen.

Beijing has long hoped that the renminbi (another name for Chinese currency) would enter the privileged short list of world currencies, and it finally succeeded last week. But, first and foremost they are celebrating a political victory.

Some experts doubted that the yuan could be judged as "freely usable," which is the main criteria for inclusion to the SDR, but the reality proves that the stronger one is right despite such obvious contradictions as tight currency control and shares sale ban. Continue reading ""Enter The Dragon" Starring … Gold"

Traders and Trendlines: A Match Made In Opportunity Heaven

By Elliott Wave International
It's the start of the winter holidays -- which, if your family is anything like mine, is also the beginning of a long tradition of deeply regrettable line-crossing, i.e.:

  • Crossing that line into interrogating "new" dinner guests as to why they are still single
  • Crossing that line into inviting your recently divorced sister-in-law to "stay as long as" she needs
  • Crossing that line into a third (no, let's be honest) fourth helping of pecan pie

In these cases, crossing "the line" is the first step down a proverbial mine field of emotional and physical discomfort. And there's no going back!

But in the world of technical analysis of financial markets, crossing one kind of line is often the first step to identifying a high-confidence trade set-up. The line I'm talking about is the trendline. Continue reading "Traders and Trendlines: A Match Made In Opportunity Heaven"

Big Moves Can Start When You Least Expect Them

Now that the Thanksgiving holiday is over and we're entering December, traders should take extra care. Historically markets can move rather dramatically in December as trading volume thins out when traders start closing down their trading mindset and move out of the markets and into holiday mode. You do not want to start swinging for the fences to try to make your year in December, the odds are against you.

In addition to looking at the markets in general today, I'm going to take an in-depth look at the gold market. Everyone seems to be bearish on gold and what I have noticed over my trading career is that when everyone feels the same way about a market and is on one side of the trade, watch out!

That is the way the mood is right now for gold and there could be a sharp reversal as the shorts, that is the folks who sold gold short hoping to buy it back at a lower price, scramble to cover (buy back) their short positions. Continue reading "Big Moves Can Start When You Least Expect Them"

Marin Katusa: Follow the Good Guys in Mining

The most valuable resource in a mining company is often the people. Good management can attract the right investors and add value regardless of the market. In this interview with The Gold Report, Marin Katusa, founder of Katusa Research, shares his litmus test for which mining companies are worth his hard-won dollars and which ones he is avoiding for the foreseeable future.

Gold vs. US Dollar YTD Chart

The Gold Report: You seem much more positive about gold right now than when we talked in June. Based on the chart you have on Katusa Research of the U.S. dollar versus gold and in the wake of the Federal Reserve's inaction at its last meeting, what's your thesis for gold for the rest of 2015?

Marin Katusa: As I said in the spring, I don't see the Fed raising rates this year. Using some simple game theory, for the Fed not to raise rates is the best decision. I still believe that. Gold has fared well compared to the price of the U.S. dollar, better than any other hard commodity. Gold is holding its own. The reality is, because the commodity markets are down, very little capital is being invested to replace the production of gold.

In the long run, I'm very bullish on gold. It's something I'm paying very close attention to through my fund. We've started writing checks on assets that I believe are very cheap and well priced in today's currency commodity markets and that I believe a major will want in its portfolio in a few years. Gold is the currency of kings and silver is the currency of gentlemen; it always has been, and always will be. When you see living legends such as Stanley Druckenmiller and well-known successful fund managers plowing hundreds of millions of dollars into gold, it's obvious gold is appealing at these prices.

TGR: Will the power of gold help the majors or the juniors more? Continue reading "Marin Katusa: Follow the Good Guys in Mining"

Gold Update: Space Mission Aborted, Rescue Landing Is Ahead

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


One of our regular readers was among the few who openly rejected the idea of Gold’s reversal to the upside, he sees a lower bottom for the metal.

So let’s see why I changed my mind and now think that we are not going to rocket higher soon. Below is my previous post’s daily chart. I've added remarks to the chart to show what went wrong.

Gold Daily: Post-Mortem

Daily Gold Chart FOREX:XAUUSDO
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

I supposed that after we received the first bull confirmation of higher lows, we can fly higher at a distance of the 1.618 Fibonacci ratio in the green CD segment. One can notice that we hit a new high last Thursday around the $1192 level. So why should we cancel the bullish scenario now? Continue reading "Gold Update: Space Mission Aborted, Rescue Landing Is Ahead"