Yellen, Yahoo and Yikes!

Hello MarketClub members everywhere, it's the last day of trading for the week and it has been quite a week.

Yesterday, Janet Yellen, the head of the Federal Reserve Board, came out late in the day and said that things were getting stronger economically and that the job picture was improving. It was a rare appearance by Ms. Yellen as normally the head of the Federal Reserve does not come out to make any statements, except official ones. That one statement alone was enough to evaporate most of yesterday's losses in overnight trading. It is all about free money folks and the Federal Reserve has no more rabbits to pull out of its hat.

MarketClub's Mid-day Market Report

Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE:VZ) indicated that it plans to make a bid for Yahoo! Inc. (NASDAQ:YHOO). I find it interesting that the Trade Triangles picked up that something that was going on with Yahoo on March 29th, 10 days before the Verizon news came out. This is one of the big secrets in the market, someone (and insider) always knows what’s going on. Because of this inside knowledge, they see an opportunity to make money and they buy either options or shares in that company, in this case, Yahoo. That translates into market movement and plays into the algorithm used for the Trade Triangle technology. Yahoo is up this morning in early trading and I believe that this stock can move higher from current levels.

It seems as though 100 point swings in the Dow have become the norm at least for the moment. However, as you know, I tend to look at the bigger picture and what's going on. I do that by looking at how the markets are closing compared to last Friday's closing. Continue reading "Yellen, Yahoo and Yikes!"

Jack Chan Sees New Major Buy Signal For Gold But Is Patient

Technical analyst Jack Chan has examined the charts and says the gold sector is on a new major buy signal, which could signal a new bull market. But he is patiently waiting for confirmation.

Chart 1

The gold sector is on a new major buy signal, therefore opening the opportunity of a new bull market. However, Commitment of Traders (COT) data remains in bear market values and is now at levels of previous tops. I remain patient and wait for confirmation, which is when speculation according to published COT data has returned to bull market values, and the 2015 high in gold prices near $1,300/oz is exceeded to the upside.

$HUI is on a new long-term buy signal, ending the sell signal from early 2012. (See chart above).

Long-term signals can last for months and years and are more suitable for the long-term investors. Continue reading "Jack Chan Sees New Major Buy Signal For Gold But Is Patient"

The Great Uncertainty

Hello MarketClub members everywhere! How do you feel about the economy, the world, the elections, ISIS or ISIL...? Take your pick.

The other day at a general staff meeting I posed that same question to our amazing team here at MarketClub. I have to say that it was no surprise that they felt there was great uncertainty in the air. It wasn't just one thing, it was a combination of things that made them feel a little uneasy.

MarketClub's Mid-day Market Report

So the question is, how do you feel about the markets?

To me, something just doesn't seem quite right. It's not just one thing, it seems to be a combination. The reality is, the markets cannot keep going higher based on cheap money because sooner or later it's going to implode unless the Fed wakes up and gets real. On the fringes you have Puerto Rico running out of money and who's going to bail them out? Across the ocean, Greece is once again close to imploding. Who's going to bail them out? The IMF?

Are stocks at a tipping point? Continue reading "The Great Uncertainty"

A Very Massive Recession Is Coming

This past weekend, Donald Trump, the leading Republican candidate for the Presidency of the United States, predicted in a Washington Post interview that we are headed for "a very massive recession." His prognostication goes against what most analysts are forecasting and the fact that the stock market is within 500 points of its all-time high.

Now, Donald Trump is many things. But, he is not stupid and we should not rule out anything in today's marketplace. You don't become a billionaire by doing stupid things and certainly I think he has an interesting take on the current economic environment. Just as he has tapped into the anger of the average American citizen and his unlikely rise to the top of the Republican Party, don't dismiss what he is saying because you may or may not like him personally.

MarketClub's Mid-day Market Report

What has been fueling this market to the upside is free money from the Fed. It certainly hasn't been corporate profits. Most corporations have wrung out the last few vestiges of efficiency in their companies expenses.

Having said all that, I'm not totally convinced the market is going to go a lot higher. At the moment, the major indices are giving mixed signals, the Dow and the S&P 500 are positive while the NASDAQ is in a broad trading range. All three indices are very overbought and are due for some form of correction, in my opinion.

NEVER BUY STOCKS ON A MONDAY... Continue reading "A Very Massive Recession Is Coming"

The Gold-to-Silver Ratio: A Truly Generational Opportunity

Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger says that owning silver versus owning gold is a high-probability trade that could be the 2016 Trade of the Year.

Daily GDX Chart

This week's Gong Show in the global financial markets reminds me of the early 1980s before the advent of the Internet or online trading or blogs and especially before 30-something financial "advisors" were allowed to go on the national (and international) airwaves or Internet websites and babble on for what seem like days how "The Fed has our back!" as an excuse for buying stocks at 23 times forward earnings.

Back then, at 4:15 every Friday night, there would be a line-up of brokers and analysts (even the janitor) next to the old teletype machine (I am imagining more than a few raised eyebrows among the kids out there as they quickly Google search "teletype machine" on their Smartphones while sipping a $10 cup of fancy-ass coffee) in expectation of the all-important "Money Supply" numbers that everyone supposed was going to give them a hint as to when interest rates would start to decline from 16%-plus nosebleed levels of the early 1980s. Continue reading "The Gold-to-Silver Ratio: A Truly Generational Opportunity"