Assessing The Short-Term Outlook For The Precious Metals And The Miners

Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger assesses the gold-silver ratio and its ramifications for the market.

Gold-Silver Ratio Chart

I want to go on the record and state categorically that, in my opinion, technical analysis is of limited value when trying to predict the short-term movements of precious metals. However, there are millions of traders and investors out there who believe that it does work despite interventions, manipulations, and the ability of the bullion banks to fabricate a surrogate for actual physical gold by way of paper futures. In light of that, the short-term technical set-ups for gold and silver and the miners are all different in that after Friday's month-end bombardment, which originated in the London options market, that formidable uptrend line that began in December 2015 has finally been vanquished. The ramifications could be nasty next week because for the second year in a row, the seasonally strong month of September failed to shine (at least for gold). The big question is now whether or not we get a follow-through to the 200-dma at $1,252 before resuming the uptrend or will that large Commercial short position serve as a demand catalyst and limit any meaningful downside? Continue reading "Assessing The Short-Term Outlook For The Precious Metals And The Miners"

Mining Leaders Have More Room To The Downside

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Back in August of this year, I shared with you the comparison charts of gold and silver stocks. The precious metals hit the new highs before that, and so did the mining stocks. After that, the prolonged correction of underlying assets (gold and silver) put pressure on the mining stocks. Below is the chart showing you the 6 stocks’ behavior.

Chart 1: Top Mining Stocks: The Leaders Lost The Most

Chart 1: Top Mining Stocks
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

The 3 top gold stocks by past performance: Continue reading "Mining Leaders Have More Room To The Downside"

It's January 2013, With A Twist

The title was not meant as a play on words in reference to Operation Twist, but now that I think about it, maybe it should be.  The Post-Twist financial world is far different than it was before the genius that is Ben Bernanke’s ‘bigger than yours or mine’ brain concocted a maniacal plan that would “sanitize inflation” signals from the bond market and break the then highly elevated yield curve.*

So, why is today like early 2013 and why is there a twist to that view?  Because two indicators have come together to point to economic stability (at least) in the US, with the twist being that other indicators are pointing to a potential unchaining of inflation this time, unlike the 2013 time frame, which was in the grips of global deflation (and Goldilocks in the US).

So gold bugs, don’t get too concerned just yet.  The sector has been overdue for a correction and that is what it has been getting.  Speaking of sanitizing things, over bullish gold sector sentiment has needed a good clean out.  The 2013 signal immediately preceded the worst of the precious metals bear market, but the 2016 signal need not for reasons explained later in the article. Continue reading "It's January 2013, With A Twist"

The Big Non-Event

Hello MarketClub members everywhere. Like the other 84 million Americans, I watched the presidential debate and I have to say it was as boring as watching an uneventful Super Bowl. The interesting thing is the next day the stock market had a very healthy bounce. I don't think there is one particular event you can point to that caused the bounce, but nonetheless, it was a bounce.

MarketClub's Mid-day Market Report

The question is, should you buy stocks now? The answer will be if you are long-term trader it may be a good time to be a buyer. On the other hand, if you're an intermediate or shorter-term trader it would be best to wait for a green weekly Trade Triangle in the Dow or the S&P 500 to be a buyer of stocks in those indices. The NASDAQ is a different kettle of fish as that is clearly in a strong upward trend.

Let's begin by looking at the major indices and see what they're doing trend wise. Continue reading "The Big Non-Event"

Amazon Soars To The Chagrin Of These Two Companies

Hello MarketClub members everywhere. There is no doubt about it; Jeff Bezos has built a fantastic company. When he first started selling discounted books, he wanted to give his company a big name. The biggest thing he could think of at the time was Amazon which is the largest, mightiest river in the world. Jeff's premonition for calling his company Amazon turned out to be very fortuitous as Amazon is without question the biggest online store in the world.

MarketClub's Mid-day Market Report

I have to admit; I'm a customer of Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN) like millions of other people who love the service. What Amazon does better than anybody else is sell products and deliver them and make it all incredibly easy and pain-free.

There is a catch, however, in the marketplace and in life there is no such thing as a free lunch, someone has to pay. Continue reading "Amazon Soars To The Chagrin Of These Two Companies"