With All Eyes On Equities - You May Have Missed This Sleeper

Call it the Trump Rally, or any name you like, but the stock market certainly came alive when the election swung in Donald Trump's favor. While all eyes are on equities, other things are going on in other markets that you should be preparing for.

Today, I'm going to take an in-depth look at the gold market that has been out of favor the last several years. Gold (FOREX:XAUUSDO) did enjoy a strong rally in the first half of the year and was a top performer. Since moving close to $1400 in July, gold has steadily eroded down to around the $1,180. The question now is, is gold going to continue on the downside or begin to stabilize and start looking forward to what could be an inflationary future? With that in mind, I decided to look at three market keys that could unlock gold and determine its future.

Long-Term Negative Force Line

FIG 1. I have drawn a long-term down sloping trendline starting from gold's all-time high of around $1900 and connected it to several other high points over the years. To be a valid technical trendline, it must touch three points. When that happens, it confirms the validity of the line. The long-term negative force line seen in FIG 1 is the dominant and number one element that will determine which way gold is headed in the future. I would consider a move over the $1375 - $1400 (3) levels on spot gold as a major signal that gold has changed direction to the upside. When this happens, and it will happen sometime in the future, gold will enter into a multiyear bull market. FIG 1 is the number one technical aspect for gold and should be watched closely in 2017.

Gold (FOREX:XAUUSDO) Trendline

Continue reading "With All Eyes On Equities - You May Have Missed This Sleeper"

Gold Takes Bugs On A Roller Coaster Ride

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


What is fear? It’s our emotion about something uncertain or unknown as it is natural for human beings to avoid risks. Someone said that to stop fearing it is good to face it as quite often it is only our mental illusion and has nothing common with reality. Another wise person advised looking at a larger perspective to cut the noise of the market to keep above the vanity.

I took both pieces of advice and combined them into a single weekly chart below.

Chart 1. Gold Weekly: Roller Coaster – Let’s Face The Maximum Fear

Weekly Gold Chart
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

On the multi-year chart above, we can clearly see that the global map of the market didn’t change for the past 3 years and we are still at the levels seen in the three previous years. Almost a year ago at the end of November 2015, gold hit a new low and set the new edge of the range with a fresh downside at $1046 and the upside at $1434 (August 2013 maximum). Right now the price is almost at the center of the range. Continue reading "Gold Takes Bugs On A Roller Coaster Ride"

Gold Bulls Have Last Fifty Bucks To Survive

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


The current situation in the precious metals markets very well illustrates how patience in trading can save money for the trader. It means that a trader who waits for the confirmation of the price action has an ample advantage compared to those who choose assumption mode entering the market without confirmation. In other words, the ‘trade what you see’ method is way safer than the ‘trade what you assume’ method. For many years in trading, again and again, I see how true the words said above, especially during market consolidations.

The corrective chart structures are unpredictable though very dangerous, especially for newcomers. As I wrote earlier such structure shows the market’s indecision with a lot of hesitant zigzags which have no clear ending point both in time and in the price level and therefore are risky. Continue reading "Gold Bulls Have Last Fifty Bucks To Survive"

Gold's Next Big Move

Hello MarketClub members everywhere. Good to be back, I was away visiting family and unfortunately I picked up a really bad cold. I'm sure you had times like this yourself when you just feel lethargic and don't feel like doing anything. Well, that was then and this is now so let's get the show on the road.

MarketClub's Mid-day Market Report

In today's video update, I'm going to be analyzing gold (FOREX:XAUUSDO) and I am going to be share with you something that I noticed that has been 100% accurate this year in gold, I'm sure you'll find it interesting.

Of course, I will be covering the other markets and the choppy action we are seeing in most of the major indices. A great deal of this indecisive market action I believe has to do with the general uncertainty that's pervasive in the US right now. The main culprit is the upcoming presidential election which is less than 30 days away.

I will also be taking a look at Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN) and Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL). Both the stocks look very interesting particularly as Amazon reentered the music market today. Amazon is tying music subscriptions both to its Prime accounts as well as ECHO its Alexa-driven knowledge machine both could, in fact, catch the imagination of many Amazon Prime ECHO users.

Stay focused and disciplined.

Every success with MarketClub,
Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-Creator, MarketClub

Gold Falls on Rate-Hike Fears

Gold fell below $1,300 yesterday for the first time since the Brexit vote in June, as the dollar index rose to a two-month high.

The dollar rose amid increasing speculation that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by December. Both Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Loretta Mester and Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Jeffrey Lacker have come out in favor of higher interest rates. Manufacturing data released Monday was stronger than expected.

Also pushing down gold is the U.S. dollar's rise against the British pound, which fell to a 31-year low against the dollar after the release of a timeline for Britain's exit from the European Union. Aiding gold's woes is a rise in Deutsche Bank shares today, signaling at least a temporary easing of worries over the bank's liquidity, and lessening gold's role as a safe haven. Continue reading "Gold Falls on Rate-Hike Fears"