Fed Takes On Gold Unintentionally

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


In my previous Gold & Silver post published earlier this month, I promised to update a long-term chart of Gold as I observed some interesting price behavior in a related instrument. But before I do that, let me speak about the Fed’s decision last Wednesday and that “related to gold” instrument first.

The positive dynamics of the US economy underpinned the Fed’s decision to finally start to trim its huge balance sheet next month, besides that there is a big chance of another rate hike this December. It wasn’t a shock to the market, and some big players already started their game weeks before the Fed moved from rhetoric to action.

The Fed’s decision could have a double impact on US interest rates as falling US Treasury notes increase the yields, and the impending rate hike could secure that situation. I was writing about the high possibility of this almost a month ago and last Wednesday we received a first-hand confirmation from the Fed. Continue reading "Fed Takes On Gold Unintentionally"

Gold & Silver: Beware Of Correction

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


What goes up should come down. The precious metals are in a good bullish move, but one should be prepared for the possible downside corrections ahead as the natural phases of market cycles change again and again.

Chart 1. Gold Daily: Channel’s Top Hurdle

Daily Gold Chart
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

When it comes to money, people start to excel in math, even if they didn’t in school. And so did I when it came to the market analysis, I started to understand both the beauty and power of geometry in the trends even though I didn’t like this subject in the school.

The price of gold made a tiny puncture on the upper side of the blue ascending channel but then retraced to close below it It’s another illustration of how powerful the trend channels can be. However, even if it gets broken, again, it will add more value as evidence of an even stronger price move.

There's almost $17 left for gold to hit the previous major top, but it vanished behind the channel’s top as does a setting sun behind the mountains. What’s next? It’s the perpetual question in the markets. Continue reading "Gold & Silver: Beware Of Correction"

Bitcoin Bonanza Rolls On

Matt Thalman - INO.com Contributor - ETFs


As the Bitcoin phenomenon rolls on, we continue to see new prospectuses for possible Bitcoin funds despite the Securities Exchange Commission denying the creation of one Bitcoin Exchange Traded Fund due to the lack of market surveillance and regulation. Oddly enough, the currency was started to give its user autonomy from governments and other regulatory agencies.

So the main reason why the currency grew in popularity is the reason why investors are finding it difficult to invest in the asset. Thus far two different proposed Exchange Traded Funds have been denied in the US, but it would appear the once denied Winklevoss Bitcoin ETF might have a chance of being approved the second time around. What is interesting is that the Winklevoss Twins were not the ones who filed the petition for reconsideration of their ETF, it was the Bats exchange, which the proposed ETF would trade on if approved. Continue reading "Bitcoin Bonanza Rolls On"

Gold & Silver: Gold Breaks Up As Silver Licks Wounds

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


The broad weakness of the U.S. dollar supported precious metals and currencies. Gold has been saved from silver's Flash Crash destiny so far. Below are the updated charts for gold and silver.

Chart 1. Gold Daily: Breaking Upside

Daily Gold Chart
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

The experimental clone chart for gold that I posted in April amazingly finished its move down as planned although later than expected. The anticipated reverse to the upside followed the end of the consolidation highlighted with the gray rectangle. Continue reading "Gold & Silver: Gold Breaks Up As Silver Licks Wounds"

Gold & Silver: Time Machine

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


The Time Machine is the dream of many (especially those who bet on sports) and I’m excited to see if we will be able to travel through time shortly as physics scientists confirmed that it is possible. In the meantime, we could profit or at least be prepared for the future using the market’s time machine.

Last week a textbook example of a “Flash Crash” occurred in the silver market when the price dropped almost 2 dollars (10%) within a minute! It’s amazing that gold was untouched by this event creating an arbitrage opportunity as all discrepancies are subject to speculative trading. That’s why I put the silver analysis first this time to show the map for a possible gold move. By the way, it is quite often that silver is the principal instrument for market movement as it has less liquidity and therefore more opportunities for market “gangsters” or “pirates” to attack it.

Chart 1. Silver Daily

Daily Silver Chart
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

After silver breached the previous major low established last December at the $15.64 mark the map has changed. What was tagged as a first move up turned out to be a tiny countertrend conjunctive move within the small complex correction contoured with the red downtrend. The Flash Crash drop almost reached the downside of the red channel, which could finish that small complex correction. Continue reading "Gold & Silver: Time Machine"