Gold And Silver: The Bulls Failed

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Gold - Classic Chart

Daily Gold Chart

Another profitable week for the bulls ended and so did the upward momentum. Price elevated for a decent $40 from my last post and almost touched the $1223 resistance area on Thursday, but failed below $1220 and then quickly retraced down for $15 to a $1204 close.

The rule of the game is set so that if you don’t keep buying to push the market up, sellers will appear and you would be buying all the way down. Once weakness appeared, the bears took the ball and started their own game, pulling the price down from recent highs. Monday brought more selling pressure to the game and the price is now below the first support level at $1190 (former resistance, highlighted in green). If we close below $1190, then I would not rule out price reaching $1170/$1131 supports. Sellers can benefit from the trade lower, with a stop set just above $1200 and take profit put above $1131. $20 of risk versus $55 of profit, a sound ratio. Continue reading "Gold And Silver: The Bulls Failed"

Metal Tactics: Gold And Silver

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Gold

Price is still above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement line on the monthly charts at the $1155 level.

Gold - Classic Chart

Daily Gold Chart

The bulls have scored $25 from the close of the week ending on March 13, 2015 and that sent Gold above the short term downtrend beyond $1180 (highlighted in red on the chart above), which started in January when the metal hit $1300. Continue reading "Metal Tactics: Gold And Silver"

Is Gold Foretelling An Impending Greek Disaster?

Today is the first day of spring and maybe this is the cause for the spring in the markets. March 20th also happens to be "International Happiness Day" and I'm sure that many investors have a smile on their face today with the way the markets are acting in Europe, Asia and the U.S.

Today, I'll be looking at gold prices because they are acting and doing something that they haven't done in a long time and I want to share that with you in today's video. It is impossible to pinpoint what is causing gold to rally, whether it is short covering or the potential that Greece is going to implode any day now. Either way, it's not important what is causing the rally. The important thing to remember when trading is to get the direction right and not worry about what is causing the trend. I remember when I was in the trading pits in Chicago, I asked someone why the market was going up and he said to me, "It doesn't matter, it's going up". There is a lot of truth in that comment. That's one of the big takeaways in trading, don't over think markets.

As I write this commentary before the market opens, we could be seeing the equity markets close well towards the end of the day and possibly closing in new high ground on short equities before the weekend. The NASDAQ is very close to breaching the 5000 level, a close over that area today can be viewed as being very positive for the weekend.

Crude oil also appears to be finding some support at lower levels but has not yet reversed trend and turned around. I will be looking at that market to see where the key points are for a trend reversal to the upside. Remember markets can get very crowded on one side of the ledger when everybody believes that the trend will continue and go on forever. When that happens, a market tends to reverse and go the other way. The reason that happens is because markets are forward-looking trading instruments.

I will be getting into the recent Trade Triangle scan today to find new trades that may be just emerging. You won't want to miss that part of today's video.

This being Friday, I will of course, be looking for weekend trades using our "52-week highs on a Friday" strategy.

Every success with MarketClub,
Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-Creator, MarketClub

Short Copper, Pray For Gold, Watch Ratio

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Dear INO.com Readers,

Today, I'm reviewing three metals based on short-term analysis.

Copper Is A Good Sell

Daily Copper Candlestick Chart

In my January post, I recommended selling copper above $2.75 and I hope you enjoyed a nice profit. For those of you who didn’t take that chance, below is my new one for you.

In December, copper entered a small steeper downtrend (highlighted in red) as the falling price accelerated. After breaking below the descending triangle’s base at $3.02 on the monthly charts, this red metal hit a multi-year low at $2.42, unseen from 2009, losing an impressive 20% in just 2 months. The price met the downside of the channel and quickly bounced off for a $0.20 gain and I will show why you should consider it a dead cat bounce. Continue reading "Short Copper, Pray For Gold, Watch Ratio"

Gold Update: Total Recast

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Dear INO.com readers,

Today Gold hit the $1300 level and I updated my chart for Gold, as it was price trigger for my previous bearish scenario.

In my first article last December I charted the line graph for Gold with a descending triangle pattern detected on this metal. My projection for the mentioned pattern was bearish with quite bold target levels.

What is up today?

The main rule for success is to not to be biased and always challenge yourself with making a brand new analysis from time to time, and surely when market is not going your way.

Today I prepared an absolutely new Gold graph to put fresh eye on it, now with candlesticks.

Gold Chart, small and big wedge chart patterns.

This time I detected a very interesting chart pattern called the “wedge.” This type of patterns is outstanding as it has an ambiguous impact on the market with either a continued or reversed outcome. Luckily, we have two wedges on the same time frame at once. Both are the falling wedge type because of the descending highs and lows. The big one is highlighted in green and the small is in black. Apart from it, we have two more rare technical species on the chart. Continue reading "Gold Update: Total Recast"