Gold/Silver Ratio: Another Chance To Short?

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


In February I posted an idea to short gold and buy silver simultaneously at the 79 oz level as the ratio hit the top of the multi-decade range. The progress was surprisingly good and I wrote about it in July update and then the ratio stalled. Today I would like to show how we can use this respite to pocket gains.

Below is the ‘face-lifted’ February chart where I put focus on the main idea.

Chart 1. Gold/Silver Ratio: Mid-Range Set Strong Barrier

Gold/Silver ratio Chart Mid-Range barrier
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

This is the so-called ‘bird’s-eye’ view of the ratio. Twenty years in the range with rare overshoots beyond the range and the single ultra-strength of silver in 2011, this could be titled as the fearless or careless time as you wish. Continue reading "Gold/Silver Ratio: Another Chance To Short?"

Gold/Silver Ratio: Halfway To The Target

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


In my February post I called for the topping of the ratio as it hit the upside of the long-term range. The idea was to short gold and buy silver simultaneously at the 79 oz level. It's gone very well, and you can see it in the following charts.

Below is the reconstruction of the February chart to refresh your memory.

Chart 1. Gold/Silver Ratio Monthly: Half Of The Range

Gold/Silver Ratio Monthly
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

I changed the color of my old remarks to black to stress your attention to the new colored annotations. The post-idea ratio dynamics are highlighted with the orange rectangle. Continue reading "Gold/Silver Ratio: Halfway To The Target"

Gold/Silver Ratio: Gold Loses Its Shine

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Back in August, I updated my gold/silver ratio chart with conservative bullish targets. Today I would like to share my growing concerns about the ratio's dynamics as fresh highs haven't appeared since my first post. As I've said many times before, let us not to be biased. Change the charting when the chart changes!

Chart 1. Gold/Silver Monthly: Tarnished Diamond

Monthly Chart of Gold/Silver
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

Above is the reconstruction of the chart from the previous post about the ratio. I added several remarks in red the call-outs and also put the middle of the green channel in a dashed line. But the most important addition is the simple, classic Momentum indicator below the chart with remarks. Continue reading "Gold/Silver Ratio: Gold Loses Its Shine"

Gold Update: Bulls Have The First Confirmation

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


One month ago I dared to call my Gold update "Major reversal," but I have enough reason for that. Today I prepared a short term daily chart with the focus being on the first bullish move and its correction.

GOLD (FOREX:XAUUSDO)
Chart courtesy of Tradingview.com

Like a tree starting from a sprout, the new trend starts from the first counter trend move that has its threshold at the end of July. Gold's price has gained a weighty 9% (almost $100) in one month and has stalled at the $1170 level ahead of resistance. The gold market has been treading water within the 1077/1110 range for two weeks in a row and it looked like another consolidation was going to happen before the new drop down. But, surprisingly the price broke the upper bound and quickly cut through the $1100 level. It then had a small four-day break before it made the final jump to the $1170 level. This is the first serious counter trend move which I have labeled as the large green AB segment. Continue reading "Gold Update: Bulls Have The First Confirmation"

Gold Ratios: Gold Is A Top Killer When You Need Safety

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Gold/Silver Ratio: "Shines Bright Like A Diamond."

Chart 1: Gold/Silver Ratio Monthly

FOREX:XAUUSDO/XAGUSDO
Chart courtesy of TradingView.com

Last December I had written my first post with quite an ambitious target for this ratio at the 109oz level as a possible outcome of a very rare diamond reversal pattern (highlighted in blue lines and the target is highlighted in blue horizontal dashed line). At that time the ratio was at the 72oz level and it has advanced 11% now to the 80oz level. Continue reading "Gold Ratios: Gold Is A Top Killer When You Need Safety"