Gold Update: Old Is "Gold"?

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals - Gold Update


Recently, I was looking for my school notes amongst my old stuff for my eldest daughter to help her understand chemistry as my school teacher was a real fanatic on this subject. During the process, I found many things with memories from my youth, and it prompted me to call my old friends and discuss those handwritten letters that we used to send by messenger. We couldn’t have ever imagined that the digital era would come.

Quite often things from the past can help us today. I decided to dig deep into the past on the gold chart to understand what is happening with our frozen gold market these days. Bingo! He who seeks shall find.

Below is the chart with my annotations to illustrate the findings.

Chart. Gold Quarterly (Logarithmic): This “Vinyl” Could Play Again

Gold Update
Chart courtesy of stooq.com

First of all, I would like you to pay attention to the word “Logarithmic” in the chart title, which is usually abbreviated as “Log” in the chart options. It means that the Y-axis of the chart has log scale, which is nonlinear and commonly used for the broad range of the data. Continue reading "Gold Update: Old Is "Gold"?"

Gold Failed And Silver Is On The Edge

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals- gold silver prices


As promised in my earlier post I updated the silver chart for you in this post as I spotted some exciting patterns forming on the chart below. But first, I would like to start with the stronger of the two metals, gold.

Chart 1. Gold Daily: Couldn’t Tag Previous Top

gold silver prices
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

Indeed, it was another excellent try when the bulls attempted to break loose from this long-lasting range established between $1046 and $1375 in 2016. But the RSI indicator didn’t agree as lower tops showed a hidden Bearish Divergence and this spoiled this nice bullish attack. The $1375 resistance has been left untouched. Moreover, now this strong indicator indicates that the bears took the ball as it dipped below the crucial 50 level. Continue reading "Gold Failed And Silver Is On The Edge"

Gold Update: Santa Claus Rally You Hoped For

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Two weeks before Christmas I posted the Gold & Silver update, where I asked you about your hopes for the traditional precious metals Santa Claus Rally at the end of 2017. The apparent answer those days was “No” as there was a severe weakness in the market and the price of the top metals was hitting another low. Let’s see in the poll results below what you were hoping would happen.

Chart 1. December 2017 poll results

Santa Claus Rally Poll
Poll courtesy of INO.com

And to no one's surprise, most of you expressed hope for a Santa Claus Rally. Bingo! A Christmas miracle came into the market the next day after the post was published to push the price of the top metals to the upside erasing almost all of the previous losses.

In the updated monthly chart below I would like to add a technical touch to this fairy tale. Continue reading "Gold Update: Santa Claus Rally You Hoped For"

Gold & Silver: Silver Hits Support As Gold Cracks Consolidation

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


The recent collapse of the top precious metals shouldn't be a surprise if you read my previous Gold & Silver update in November, where I called for the upcoming “storm” after the “calm.” In this post, I’ll share with you the updated charts of both metals.

I changed the order of the charts, and this time I would start with silver as it reached the first decision point ahead of gold.

Chart 1. Silver Daily: First Target Reached

Daily Silver Chart (XAGUSDO)
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

Silver has a strong bearish structure as the red long-term trendline keeps the pressure on silver. The second leg of consolidation within the black parallel channel lacked power as the price couldn’t reach even the top of the first leg established in October at the $17.47 per oz. It stalled at the $17.39 per oz. and then collapsed for more than a half of a dollar to check the consolidation support. Continue reading "Gold & Silver: Silver Hits Support As Gold Cracks Consolidation"

Gold & Silver: The Calm Before The Storm

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


In September I warned you about the possible weakness in both gold and silver after a good rally as strong reverse signals appeared on the chart. That warning alert paid well as the metals dropped heavily – gold lost more than 7%, and silver fell more than 10%. I hope it helped those of you who had market exposure that time.

There are updated charts below with further price action forecast, which is based on pattern recognition and market staging approach. I hope my detailed graphs with annotations will help you understand market behavior, training your eyes to recognize patterns and determine market stages with me.

Chart 1. Gold Daily: The Baby Bird Could Fall Out Of The Nest

Gold Chart
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

In the previous gold chart I put two zigzags to show you possible paths for further price action, the red zigzag was the main option, it showed the downside move with a small consolidation inside. In reality, the drop has been even sharper with just a minor correction within. Continue reading "Gold & Silver: The Calm Before The Storm"