Closing the 2008 'Gap'

A disclaimer:  I am long and/or trading several regular 'bull stocks' (as well as short a couple).  Don't interpret the sober message below as a 'sell your stocks right now!' style bearish warning.  Indeed, after an expected choppy start to December I think more bull market mania, errr… rally, could still be ahead.  But it would be just dandy if people would keep their perspective along the way.

From the December 1 edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole (NFTRH 267):

In 2008 market and economic participants suffered a hard downside 'gap' in the prices of their assets and in the levels of their expectations.  The bull market that began in March of 2009 is doing a fine job of closing that gap and fully resetting the herd from the utter fear mode of Q4, 2008 to a 2007 or even 1999 style greed mode today. Continue reading "Closing the 2008 'Gap'"

Gold Chart of The Week

Each Week Longleaftrading.com will be providing us a chart of the week as analyzed by a member of their team. We hope that you enjoy and learn from this new feature.

Weekly Gold Report (December 2nd through December 6th)

We begin the final month of 2013 with a week full of important economic data. From every major market in the world, there are reports and interviews scheduled that collectively should provide some nice volatility over the next five trading days.

In the United States, we will hear from multiple FED Members throughout the week, including Bernanke, Fischer, and Evans. There are also scheduled releases of manufacturing, GDP, Consumer Confidence, and most importantly Unemployment figures from the Government and the Private Sector. Continue reading "Gold Chart of The Week"

Gold Chart of The Week

Each Week Longleaftrading.com will be providing us a chart of the week as analyzed by a member of their team. We hope that you enjoy and learn from this new feature.

Weekly Gold Report (November 18th through November 22nd)

Welcome to another week that have the US FED in the drivers seat from beginning to end. I would love to take time to forecast a few economic figures released this week in Europe and the United States, but there is little reason to do so.

Last week we heard from Janet Yellen regarding the FED and the economy, and her dovish rhetoric stole the show. Traders and investors began buying equities the day prior to her speech and that continued during and after she made it clear that her stance was one that would be supportive of further easing. Continue reading "Gold Chart of The Week"

Indicator Shows Gold Could Finally Be Bottoming

By: Michael J. Carr of Street Authority

Stocks moved up the fourth week in a row and have delivered a large gain in the first 10 months of the year. For now, there is no reason to expect a reversal in the trend.

Stocks Continue Setting New Highs SPDR SP 500 (NYSE: SPY) added another 0.15% last week and is now up 25.55% for the year, including dividends.

To put this performance into perspective, we can review data for the SP 500 index going back to 1928. This year's performance would be the 22nd best year out of 86. After such a strong performance, many investors expect a decline, and the question becomes, "How bad will the decline be?" Continue reading "Indicator Shows Gold Could Finally Be Bottoming"

Gold Chart of The Week

Each Week Longleaftrading.com will be providing us a chart of the week as analyzed by a member of their team. We hope that you enjoy and learn from this new feature.

Weekly Gold Report (September 16th through September 20th)

Out of the fifty-two weeks each year, this upcoming week is one that I personally look forward to the most. Since the financial crisis several years ago, this week has been a standout year after year. There are several reason for all the hype, which I will share in the next few paragraphs.

First and obviously most important is the fact that the September FOMC Policy Statement is shared on Wednesday afternoon. We will hear about the FED’s decision on Interest Rates and whether or not they plan to taper their Bond Purchase Program (QE) from 85 Billion, or if they feel it is necessary to stay the course. Without having the ability to sit in this important meeting, traders will either begin speculating on the outcome before Wednesday afternoon, or they will keep the proverbial powder dry until after the announcement is made. Either way, I expect steady volume to return to the markets leading up to, and after Wednesdays disclosure. Continue reading "Gold Chart of The Week"