Gold Chart of the Week

Each week Longleaftrading.com will be providing us a chart of the week as analyzed by a member of their team. We hope that you enjoy and learn from this new feature.

Weekly Gold Report 11-12 through 11-16

We begin this week in a light volume trade as the United States recognizes Veterans Day across the country. While the Gold Futures trade inside Fridays range, the market appears poised for higher prices this week.

After collapsing on the first and second day in November, the market has shown strength on a day to day basis. Fundamentally, all markets had to deal with a heated Presidential Election in the United States. The expectation was that a win by Barack Obama would help underpin Gold prices, as his policies would continue to give Ben Bernanke freedom to devalue the US Dollar through Quantitative Easing. Surprisingly, the US Dollar and Gold rallied side by side last week, which caught many traders off guard, but was welcomed by market bulls. This decoupling is not something that we see every day, which probably explains Gold’s cautious rally throughout last week’s trade. One can only wonder how high the price could have gone if the Dollar was down last week! Continue reading "Gold Chart of the Week"

Gold Chart of the Week

Each week Longleaftrading.com will be providing us a chart of the week as analyzed by a member of their team. We hope that you enjoy and learn from this new feature.

Weekly Gold Report (November 5th through November 9th)

It was not until the United States Non Farm Payroll Report on Friday that traders had a clear idea concerning the technicals in the Gold Futures. Prior to the report, futures prices saw higher lows each day throughout the week and even traded up and outside of the range before failing miserably all day Friday.

To begin the week, Gold saw a lift after better than expected news from China was reported and was coupled with additional easing measures applied by the Bank of Japan. The light buying continued despite concerns in Europe over Spain and once again Greece.

Once the labor data was released in the United States that showed a better than expected number, there was a strong rally in the US Dollar which ultimately led to the demise of Gold and most other Dollar-based vehicles. The word is that traders saw a better than expected jobs number as a reason for the FED to scale back on their commitment to Quantitative Easing. Additionally, traders are awaiting important newsthis week from not only the United States but also from Europe and a G20 Summit now in session. Continue reading "Gold Chart of the Week"

Gold Chart of the Week

Each week Longleaftrading.com will be providing us a chart of the week as analyzed by a member of their team. We hope that you enjoy and learn from this new feature.

WEEKLY GOLD REPORT (OCT 29th THROUGH NOVEMBER 2nd)

Before we rush into the pressing news about Hurricane Sandy and the closing of Wall Street today, let us quickly review a bit of the global news from last week. The week began with some promising news from China that suggested it was not in for as hard of a landing as many had previously suggested. We also saw a very surprising and positive GDP report from the UK. Next, the United States FOMC announcement was in line with its mediocre expectations, as economists expected few changes in policy ahead of the Presidential Election. The FED’s stance remained supportive, but the overall commitment was unchanged from the prior meeting. Despite an improvement in the US GDP report, the US markets remained pressured during a poor week of reported earnings and a circulating rumor that Fitch may look to cut ratings from AAA. Continue reading "Gold Chart of the Week"

Gold Chart of the Week

Each week Longleaftrading.com will be providing us a chart of the week as analyzed by a member of their team. We hope that you enjoy and learn from this new feature.

Weekly Gold Report (October 22nd through October 26th)

Last week concluded another five days of mixed data that continues the keep everyone guessing. When it comes to the fundamental side of the current market, traders are left scratching their heads fairly regularly. Each week we have to keep in mind that the US FED has made it clear that they will continue to print US Dollars and purchase debt (QE) which should help global markets avoid total disaster. Much of the sharp rally in Gold prices from late September into early October were in anticipation of this announcement. But it should be noted that the FED’s balance sheet is at the lowest level since June 2011 which means the $40B per month in easing has not yet begun. Last week reported less than favorable earnings for quite a few big names in the US markets, which prompted a hefty correction in equities that wiped out a three day rally in one session. Continue reading "Gold Chart of the Week"

Gold Chart of the Week

Each week Longleaftrading.com will be providing us a chart of the week as analyzed by a member of their team. We hope that you enjoy and learn from this new feature.

Weekly Gold Report (October 15 through October 19)

I stand corrected and I do not mind admitting it. The past few weeks, I have been suggesting that December Gold would see short dips being bought and would likely rally through $1800 an ounce in the near future. We begin this week trading below $1750 an ounce and I am somewhat surprised. While today’s low is seen as a decent support level off of the September 26th price, I am still left questioning whether Gold’s hangover will continue.

Normally I try to fill this report with a review of last week’s fundamentals to explain the trade, but I will spare you the boredom. Here is a “Cliff’s Notes” version of the reports and action last week from the United States, Europe, and China. In the United States, the idea of QE3 (printing US Dollars and purchasing debt) has now officially faded as most markets have corrected the move up. On top of that, the huge Michigan Consumer Confidence number only resulted in a thirty second rally, followed by a selloff to finish the week. In Europe, there is one thing only to report. That is that for the sixth week straight, the market continues to worry about whether or not Spain will request a bailout and allow the ECB to buy Spanish debt and reduce borrowing costs. Thankfully, none of the traders that I know are holding their breath waiting for a final answer from Spain. And in China, the reports continue to be one question mark after the next. So what are we left with? We are left trading technicals in lighter volume that are still driven by HFT programs. I believe that if we do not hear about a formal request for a bailout from Spain soon, that we may have to wait until after the US Presidential Elections before the market environment changes. Continue reading "Gold Chart of the Week"