Tag: fibonacci retracement

On My Radar Today - Solarwinds, Inc. (NYSE:SWI)

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Today, I'm going to be analyzing the stock of SolarWinds (NYSE:SWI).

SolarWinds, Inc. designs, develops, markets, sells, and supports enterprise-class information technology (IT) and infrastructure management software to IT professionals in various organizations worldwide.

Solarwinds SWI Analysis

The most outstanding chart feature to me is the 10-month long term downtrend line, which has seen a breakout to the upside. This trend line touches three price points, making it a valid and important trend line. Continue reading "On My Radar Today - Solarwinds, Inc. (NYSE:SWI)" →

3 Stocks To Watch This Week

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, President of INO.com and co-creator of MarketClub, with your video update for Monday, the 6th of January.

2 Stocks To Watch

Eli Lilly and Company (NYSE:LLY), developer, manufacturer and seller of pharmaceutical products worldwide, had a new monthly Trade Triangle today at $51.62 and in doing so also broke above an 8-month long-term downtrend line. This stock is clearly in an uptrend and I would want to treat it and approach it from the long side.

My upside target for this stock is $57-$58. As always, I will be using the weekly Trade Triangle for any subsequent exits and entries.

Information technology (IT) and infrastructure management software company, Solarwinds (NYSE:SWI), appears to have completed a 61.8% Fibonacci correction from its highs set back in September of 2012 around the $60 area. Continue reading "3 Stocks To Watch This Week" →

Carl Icahn Buys 6% Stake In Talisman Energy (NYSE:TLM) - Should You Buy?

Posted on by The INO.com Team

This morning as I was looking over the news, I read with interest that Carl Icahn had taken a 6% stake in Talisman Energy Inc (NYSE:TLM). Talisman Energy is a large Canadian energy company.

On October 1st, the Trade Triangles flashed a major buy signal for Talisman Energy at $11.95. I suspect that this was partly due to the price action that was reflected by Mr. Ichan's purchase of Talisman shares.

1.All Time High. (2) 12 Month Base. (3) +(4) Double Bottom. (5) Trade Triangle Buy at $11.95.

(6) Major Pivot Point. (7) 50% Fib Retracement $17.41. (8) 61.8% Fib Retracement $19.21.

What is also interesting is how Mr. Icahn picks stocks like Talisman Energy. I have witnessed the same actions in play in several other stocks that Mr. Icahn has purchased in the past 12 months. Stocks like Apple, Netflix, Herbalife, and most recently, Talisman, all display similar characteristics. I suspect that the technicals play a part in his overall approach to the market. The timing of Mr. Icahn's stock purchases are amazingly close to the timing of our Trade Triangle buy signals.

Today, we are looking at a chart of Talisman Energy and the stock action looks good from a technical viewpoint, as well as from our Trade Triangles. The potential for this market to go significantly higher is there, in my opinion. Of course, I will be using our Trade Triangles for money management to exit this position, should it not work out the way I expect it to.

As always, please share your thoughts with us on this or any other market.

Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-Creator, MarketClub

Is Wal-Mart in trouble?

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (NYSE:WMT) is the largest retailer in the world, and if they are have problems, then we really have to examine and be concerned about what is really happening to the economy.

Yesterday, it was reported that Wal-Mart stores were cutting back on U.S. orders amid an inventory backlog. It was later denied by David Tovar a spokesperson for Wal-Mart. However, true or false it managed to push the stock of Wal-Mart down over 2% on the day.

That is a fundamental viewpoint. What is interesting technically about Wal-Mart is the fact that it recently broke below a 25 month trend line.Trend lines are enormously important for determining the momentum and trends of stocks, commodities, and any number of items that can be charted. In order to be a valid trend line, it must touch three points along the line to be truly meaningful. The longer the time frame, the more meaningful and powerful the trend line becomes. A two year trend line like Wal-Mart recently broke thru to the downside is significant and should not be ignored.

Continue reading "Is Wal-Mart in trouble?" →

Is it time to start looking at gold?

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Gold (FOREX:XAUUSDO) has been so much out of favor over the last couple of years that it seems like no one is really looking or talking about this market anymore.

I was looking through a bunch of charts last night and I found some interesting technical aspects to gold that I would like to share with you today. Looking at the chart below, we can easily see the Fibonacci correction in gold. The gold market retraced back to an area of natural Fibonacci support, which is between the $1,170 and $1,308 levels. This represents major 61.8% and 50% Fibonacci retracements on the chart.

The gold market also found support in a long-term trend line, which started in 2005. This is extremely important in my view as the trend line is in an upward trajectory. We would need to see gold move into some sort of consolidation pattern before we would see a reversal to the upside in this market.

At the moment, all of our Trade Triangles are negative and I do not recommend going against these indicators. As you can see by the trading results, just by following the Weekly Trade Triangles, you do so at your own peril.

One of the hardest things for most investors and traders to do is to buy something that's been going down for a long time, investors are just not mentally prepared to do that. The purpose of today's posting is to mentally prepare you to start thinking about gold and putting gold on your radar screen for a future move. When it begins, I believe we could see a significant upside rally in this metal.

So let's wrap up with the positives and negatives for gold. Starting with the potential positives, the Fibonacci numbers and the long-term trend line from 2005 all support the long-term upward trend in gold. On the negative side, all of our Trade Triangles are red, indicating that the trend is still down.

Ideally what I would like to see in gold is a combination of the market moving out of its support area and our long and intermediate term Trade Triangles turning green and positive.

Have a great trading day.
Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-Creator, MarketClub