Tag: Fibonacci Analysis

How The Oscars May Affect The Way You Look At The Markets

Posted on by The INO.com Team

This past weekend I saw a great movie titled, The Imitation Game starring Benedict Cumberbatch and Keira Knightley, both of whom are nominated for Academy Awards, as is the movie itself.

The Imitation Game chronicles the life of Alan Turing, who is largely credited with developing the computers we use today. The story revolves around the incredible work that was done at Bletchley Park in England to break the German Enigma code. At the time, the Enigma code and machine were thought to be unbreakable. The breaking of this code helped shorten and end the war. Otherwise, I would be writing this post in German and not English (I was born in England right after WW2).

If you haven't seen the movie, I highly recommend seeing it and witnessing the extraordinary genius of a remarkable man named Alan Turing.

Why would I discuss and recommend a movie when MarketClub and INO.com are financial websites dealing with stocks and futures? The reason I bring this up is because I wanted to share with you some math today that can help you in the market.

Now don't worry this is not high-level mathematics, it has more to do with a remarkable sequence of numbers known as the Fibonacci sequence. Continue reading "How The Oscars May Affect The Way You Look At The Markets" →

Chart of The Week - Corn to Move Higher

Posted on by admin

By: Chris Wilkinson of Longleaftrading.com

Corn has been in an upward trend since it put in its lows at the beginning of October. From there the chart has traded a series of measured Fibonacci levels all the way into profit targets each time. Last week's correction brings us right at the next Fibonacci sequence to take a long position and stick with this trend.

For a review of the previous Fibonacci sequence that traded into profit targets we draw the Fib tool from the lows of November 19th (362.5) up to November 28th highs (393.75). With this drawn you can see the market pulled back and found support right on the 50% level and traded directly into its first and second profit targets, the -23.6% Fib level and the -61.8% Fib level. See the Chart below.

4 Hour Chart Corn

Now that the previous move has corrected we continue to draw the next series until we get to one that fails the 61.8% level. A failure happens when we get a strong close on a large time candle. An hourly close or higher is sufficient to call it a failure. Normally smaller time frames will trade back and forth around those levels so I look to larger time frames for confirmation. If a failure happens it is assumed the trend is over and the next one begins in the opposite direction.

The next move found by using the Fibonacci tool is drawn from the support of the previous move. We use the lows of December 3rd (377.25) and draw it all the way up to the new highs on December 29th (417). See Chart Below. Continue reading "Chart of The Week - Corn to Move Higher" →

This Could Get Very Ugly

Posted on by The INO.com Team

All this week I been talking about how the indices were having problems. It started off with the Russell 2000 index creating a "death cross." A "death cross" occurs when the 50-day moving average crosses below the 200-day moving average.

I also discussed on Monday that negative divergences were forming on many of these indices. That means prices are going higher, but are not being followed by momentum. This can be an early warning sign that a correction is coming.

So today's action comes as no surprise, as I was looking for this market to be on the defensive. The question is, how far can these markets fall?

To answer that question, we can use our Fibonacci tool to help us measure some of the key areas that will lend support to the indices. Judging by today’s market action and the fact that tomorrow is Friday, you may want to fasten your seat-belts. As a trader once told me, "they slide faster than they glide."

Every success with MarketClub,
Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-Creator, MarketClub

How to Find Trading Opportunities in ANY Market: Fibonacci Analysis

Posted on by The INO.com Team

By: Elliott Wave International

Elliott Wave International's Senior Analyst Jeffrey Kennedy is the editor of our Elliott Wave Trader's Classroom and one of our most popular instructors. Jeffrey's primary analytical method is the Elliott Wave Principle, but he also uses several other technical tools to supplement his analysis.

You can apply these methods across any market and any time frame.

Learn how you can get a free 14-page Fibonacci eBook at the end of this lesson.

The primary Fibonacci ratios that I use in identifying wave retracements are .236, .382, .500, .618 and .786. Some of you might say that .500 and .786 are not Fibonacci ratios; well, it's all in the math. If you divide the second month of Leonardo's rabbit example by the third month, the answer is .500, 1 divided by 2; .786 is simply the square root of .618.

There are many different Fibonacci ratios used to determine retracement levels. The most common are .382 and .618.

The accompanying charts also demonstrate the relevance of .236, .382, .500 .618 and .786. It's worth noting that Fibonacci retracements can be used on any time frame to identify potential reversal points. An important aspect to remember is that a Fibonacci retracement of a previous wave on a weekly chart is more significant than what you would find on a 60-minute chart. Continue reading "How to Find Trading Opportunities in ANY Market: Fibonacci Analysis" →