It's Friday And Things Could Get Very Ugly

Yesterday Janet Yellen, the head of the Federal Reserve Board, did exactly what I expected her to do and that was nothing. As I have said many times, the Fed is out of bullets and out of options.

If you have practically zero interest rates, how much lower can you go?

It's the end of the week and things could get very ugly in the market today. Earlier this week I talked about not getting suckered into the fake rally as the major trend in the indices was and still is on the downside. Today may prove that I was right and here's why. Continue reading "It's Friday And Things Could Get Very Ugly"

Nobody Knows The Data We've Seen

That could well be the Fed's dilemma as it wrestles with the problems it sees with its data series. It's Wednesday and no one has a clue as to what the Fed is going to do. More importantly, no one knows what the market is going to do in reaction to what the Fed may or may not do.

So as traders, what should we be doing?

The important thing to remember is that you have many days to trade the markets and put on new positions, you don't have to do it today or just before the Fed's big announcement. No one is saying that you have to trade today.

The move yesterday in the markets was somewhat surprising, but did not change the overall direction of the Dow or the S&P 500. In the case of the NASDAQ, yesterday's move did change things in terms of the Trade Triangles. The NASDAQ is officially on the sidelines based the new weekly green Trade Triangle. In regards to the other two major indices, everything remains the same, you should either be short or out of the market on the Dow and the S&P 500. Continue reading "Nobody Knows The Data We've Seen"

Can Apple Pull A Rabbit Out Of A Hat?

Today is Apple's big day to show off all its shiny new toys, the only difference this year is that Apple doesn't seem to have any new surprise rabbits (products) in the hat.

You have to ask yourself, has Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) finally reached its zenith? As a longtime Apple fan and user of many of their products, I find that I am just not upgrading as fast as I once did. For example, I still carry an Apple 5S iPhone and not the new 6 or 6+ iPhone.

Research has shown that the smartphone market is leveling off and is not expected to grow as the market is saturated. The only growth area left in the phone market is the low-end, which is not an area that Apple will enter as it will cannibalize sales of its higher end iPhone. This is a huge concern for Apple, who derives two-thirds of its income from the iPhone. Logically if Apple has reached a saturation point in the smartphone market they cannot grow revenues. Then new revenues are going to have to come from a new whiz-bang product. In today's tech-driven world, that is going to be extremely difficult to do even for Apple. Continue reading "Can Apple Pull A Rabbit Out Of A Hat?"

New Week, New Month, New Opportunities

It's hard to believe how quickly this summer has passed, but here we are already in August.

Traditionally August is the hottest month of the year, but the question is, will the markets get hot in August and start moving up?

Let's take a look at what happened in July to find out which markets put smiles on investors' faces and which markets led some investors to the poor house.

The biggest loser last month in the major market category is crude oil, which lost an astounding 21.2% for the month of July. The next biggest loser was gold, which must have put a shudder in the spines of the gold bugs (do bugs have spines?).

The euro, while it lost ground, was nothing compared to the other two markets with a mere loss of 1.4%. All three of these markets did nothing to put a smile on investors faces unless they were either short or you had puts in the options market. Continue reading "New Week, New Month, New Opportunities"

First Greece, Now Iran, The Deals Keep Coming

Yesterday, we saw the first glimmer of hope from Greece and that was enough to push the markets up sharply and optimism once again ruled the markets.

Today's announcement of a nuclear deal with Iran is a different kettle of fish. I do not view the nuclear deal with Iran in quite the same positive light as the deal with Greece. The ramifications are very different and of course, potentially life-threatening for a very sensitive part of the world.

It is going to take the markets some time to digest the ramifications of this deal as it is still way too early and premature to assume either the best or worst scenario for this deal. Putting all that aside, today I'm going to look at the technical aspects of the major indices, crude oil, gold and the euro and time permitting, a couple of stocks that are looking good technically.

Tell us, what do you think of this nuclear deal with Iran? Please feel free to leave your comments below this post. I would be most interested in hearing how you think this will affect the markets, crude oil and of course, the world.

Q3 promises to be a very interesting quarter in many aspects. Q3 happens to be one of the most successful quarters for trading soybeans. You can see all of our soybean entry and exit signals in our World Cup Portfolio, right here.

Every success with MarketClub,
Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-Creator, MarketClub