Get Ready For A Buying Opportunity In Gold

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Gold

Is this pullback in gold a buying opportunity or a watching opportunity? I think it's the latter, and here are the reasons why.

Gold (FOREX:XAUUSDO) has had a remarkable rally from early December in 2015 to just a couple of weeks ago when the price of gold peaked at $1260 in the spot market. There are two things that I'm looking at in this market; one is for further consolidation and the second is that I believe that a major cyclic low will be occurring in the near future.

Looking at a chart of gold for the past 12 months you can see that gold had low periods in March, July and December. If that same rhythmic pattern holds true, the next low period should be coming up in April. I expect to see gold remain choppy until that time period.

The major reason why I want to pay close attention to gold is that I believe it is in a longer-term bullish cycle. One area to pay close attention to is the 50 support line on the RSI indicator. You also want to pay particular attention to the monthly RSI, which still remains below the 50 line indicating that it's not fully into a strong upward momentum cycle for gold. I believe that we will see further consolidation below the RSI line before it's broken on the upside. Continue reading "Get Ready For A Buying Opportunity In Gold"

Bull Market Or Bear Market, Which Is It?

There's no doubt that the dramatic 800 point rally we have seen the past three days is practically unprecedented, but did it change the major trend of the market?

The simple answer is no, the longer-term trend for the equity markets at the moment remains negative. But please don't misunderstand what I'm saying, I was as surprised as anybody at the velocity of the rally which exceeded the Fibonacci retracement levels I discussed recently.

Today should be an interesting day to say the least, and I doubt seriously that the market can close higher and would expect to see some sort of pullback from the current levels. There is also what I would consider to be a major resistance based on the highs that were hit on Feb. 1st at the 1939 level on the S&P 500. Providing that level holds, we are still basically in a downward trending market, albeit a choppy one.

Gold

The pullback in gold (FOREX:XAUUSDO) appears to be consolidating, which is good given its rapid move to the upside. In an ideal world, I would like to see gold continue to consolidate around the $1200 level before once again moving higher. I still believe that gold has broken the back of its four-year bear trend and has now embarked on a long-term bullish trend that could take it to the year 2020. Be sure to watch the Trade Triangles for signals that gold has once again embarked on an upward move. Continue reading "Bull Market Or Bear Market, Which Is It?"