Tag: crude oil futures

Copper Update: Bottomed?

Posted on by Aibek Burabayev

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


If you have read my last update on this metal, you should be aware of a recent miscorrelation between the two core assets. You will see in the chart below that my bold expectations for a rapid recovery of oil didn't come true.

Chart 1 Copper-Oil Comparative Illustration: Investors Choose Metal Over Oil

Comparative Chart of Copper and Oil
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

Neither the first interim low in the middle of December nor the second low in the middle of January could make the much anticipated V-shape rocket reversal. The main reason for that is the oversupply of the oil market. There are rumors that OPEC will soon reach a deal with Russia to cut production for their mutual benefit. This, of course, will cause the price of oil to rise. I think this is a temporary measure and after the short-term rise we will see the price of oil drop again, but it could take some time happen. Continue reading "Copper Update: Bottomed?" →

Copper Update: Metal Signals Short Term Bottom For Oil

Posted on by Aibek Burabayev

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


In my previous update, I recommended covering your short positions in Copper to save a decent profit from the sudden reversal. The next day the price dipped further down to a round figure favoring buyback. Then until today, we saw volatile sideways trading inside of the 2.025/2.125 range. Currently, the metal has traded on the upper side of it. In the meantime crude oil has plummeted to an 11-year low and the two assets have diverged sharply since.

Chart 1: Copper-Crude Oil Comparative chart: The Chain Has Been Broken

Copper-Crude Oil Comparative chart
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

The days following my last Copper/Oil post, Crude oil moved $2 higher as expected, but it couldn't close above the $44 mark and the oversupplied market brought the price down sharply. Despite that, Copper stood still charting a sideways pattern and expanding the triangle. Supply cut fears amid a weakening US dollar have spurred demand for the metal. Continue reading "Copper Update: Metal Signals Short Term Bottom For Oil" →

Copper Update: "Black Gold" Is Too Wild

Posted on by Aibek Burabayev

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Last time I shared with you a clear signal from Crude oil to short Copper for a good dip down. Oil has dropped as foreseen from the $47.7 level. That's down a good $8 (17%) and it dragged Copper down along the way. This confirms Copper's tight relationship with Crude oil. Copper plummeted for a nice gain from a short position which has reached .35 (15% smaller than from Oil short) on Friday's low ($2.03). My original targets haven’t been met in both instruments ($ 37.7 Oil and $1.9 Copper), and that is why I would like to discuss my concerns with you.

Again we will start with the leading instrument in my regular cross-instrument analysis. Continue reading "Copper Update: "Black Gold" Is Too Wild" →

How To Invest In Oil Like A Pro

Posted on by Adam Feik

Adam Feik - INO.com Contributor - Energies


In the last 2 weeks, I've written about oil ETFs and broader energy and commodity ETFs. Interestingly enough, some of those ETFs have switched over to "green triangles" on their MarketClub charts, just within the past few days. Check out USO and DBE for example. DBO (the oil ETF I prefer over USO) has not yet flipped over to a long-term ("monthly") green triangle.

Another way to play oil prices

Today, I'm going to describe a slightly more sophisticated way to bet on rising oil prices. The advantages of this approach, compared to buying ETFs, are these:

• You can place fewer dollars at risk. Yet at the same time…
• You can retain reasonable upside potential, and…
• In combination, you can almost entirely protect your principal, in order to make sure you'll live to invest another day (even if you're wrong about this particular oil bet).

Here's how it works: Continue reading "How To Invest In Oil Like A Pro" →

Weekly Futures Recap W/Mike Seery

Posted on by The INO.com Team

We’ve asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Cotton Futures-- The cotton market continues its downward trend finishing lower for the 9th consecutive trading session in New York breaking major support at 78 currently trading at 76.65 trading below its 20 and 100 day moving average hitting a new 10 month low and in my opinion prices are possibly heading down the 70 in the next several weeks. The problem with cotton as with many of the soft commodities as there is very little demand at this time continuing to pressure prices & I recommended selling this market when it broke 82 and this has been successful trade at this point but remember to place your stop above the 10 day high in case the trend changes but I do believe prices are headed substantially lower as harvest is progressing on a daily basis bringing in more and more supply. The chart structure in cotton when prices broke out at 82 was outstanding risking around $1,200 at that time so I hope some people are listening out there and continue to stay short as prices are still expensive in my opinion. TREND: LOWER –CHART STRUCTURE: EXCELLENT Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap W/Mike Seery" →