Whack-a-Mole (Japanese Nikkei is the Latest Bubble)

Alan Greenspan gave them the playbook (Credit & Debt Manipulation 101) and now Ben Bernanke and global inflators everywhere have taken the ball and run with it in new, innovative and levered up ways.  Actually it’s a game of Whack-a-Mole and they play it well, these inflating moles.  The minute you think you’re going to drop the hammer on one of their heads, he’s gone and another one pops up elsewhere.

So how can we follow all the data points that hands-on, manipulative policy has introduced and forecast conclusions with accuracy?  The answer is that it is difficult in the short-term, but in the long-term we are all dead anyway, so we might as well use some inflationary bubbles of the past as a road map to what may be ahead.

There are currently several bubbles (and one anti-bubble*) in play over varying time frames.  These bubbles are the direct result of policy actions.  Last weekend we reviewed the bubble in Japan’s Nikkei in relation to its policy-induced crashing of the Yen and then last week wouldn’t you know that the Yen caught a bid and the Nikkei suffered an incredibly bearish day? Continue reading "Whack-a-Mole (Japanese Nikkei is the Latest Bubble)"

Today's Video Newsletter: A Snake, an iWatch and the State of the Union

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, co-founder of MarketClub with your mid-day market update for Monday, the 11th of February.

2013-THE YEAR OF THE SNAKE
Yesterday was the beginning of Chinese New Year, the year of the snake. Traditionally, the Chinese set off fireworks to mark this holiday and celebrations take place throughout China. This year, sales of fireworks were 37% less than in previous years. This was said to reflect a government appeal to ignite fewer fireworks to avoid more pollution in the cities. The year of the snake means it's going to be a year of steady progress, focus and discipline for the nation of China. Given the crazy world that we are living in, steady progress, focus and discipline are not a bad way to go IMHO. Continue reading "Today's Video Newsletter: A Snake, an iWatch and the State of the Union"

Today's Video Newsletter: The market takes a pause before the State Of The Union Address on Tuesday

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, co-founder of MarketClub with your mid-day market update for Friday, the 8th of February.

*TO ALL OUR CLIENTS IN THE NORTHEAST, STAY WARM AND SAFE THIS WEEKEND*

THE STATE OF THE UNION ADDRESS ON TUESDAY
I think this week is pretty reflective of a wait-and-see attitude the market is taking to see what Pres. Obama is going to say on Tuesday with his State of the Union address.

I will be on CNBC Asia live from Washington DC shortly after the State of the Union Address on "Cash Flow" around 10pm ET, next Tuesday night (Feb 12th). I will be addressing what the President said and how the markets are likely to respond. With the State of the Union address and the sequestration at the end of this month, there are a lot of uncertainties in most investors' minds. I think that the markets next week and even perhaps for the rest of the month are going to be choppy. Let's check the trends carefully and see how some of the key markets react to these two important events. Continue reading "Today's Video Newsletter: The market takes a pause before the State Of The Union Address on Tuesday"

Today's Video Newsletter: Did Yahoo Strike a Deal with The Devil?

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, co-founder of MarketClub with your mid-day market update for Thursday, the 7th of February.

YAHOO STRIKES DEAL WITH GOOGLE - GOOD OR BAD?
On the job for a little over 6 months, Yahoo CEO Marissa Mayer turns to her old employer Google and signs a deal to help bump up Yahoo's advertising revenues. Will this strategy help or hurt Yahoo?

Yahoo's revenues have been steadily declining until last year, when magically there was a small up-tick. In the non-exclusive deal with Google, the revenue split could be as much as 68% in favor of Yahoo. On the outset we cannot see how this could hurt Yahoo, but is it a long term solution to sustained profitability? Yahoo already depends on Microsoft for most of its search-driven advertising as part of a long-term deal executed back in 2009. Continue reading "Today's Video Newsletter: Did Yahoo Strike a Deal with The Devil?"

MarketClub TV: Clash of the Titans

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, co-founder of MarketClub with your mid-day market update for Wednesday, the 6th of February.

CLASH OF THE TITANS
I know it sounds like a cheap B movie title, but the reality is this is a very real clash between Rupert Murdoch with his powerful NEWS Corp holdings and John Malone with his equally powerful Liberty Media Empire.

Today Liberty Media announced that it had purchased Virgin Media in the UK for a deal valued around $16 billion dollars.

Sir Richard Branson, who is a part owner of Virgin Media, walked away with a cool $316 million in his pocket after handing over his shares. Nice work if you can get it. Today we will be looking at both Liberty Media Corp (LMCA), and News Corp (NWSA) to see which is the best bet in media. Continue reading "MarketClub TV: Clash of the Titans"