Chart of the week - Wheat

Each week Longleaftrading.com will be providing us a chart of the week as analyzed by a member of their team. We hope that you enjoy and learn from this new feature.

In the past week of trading, I feel that the most impressive chart in the commodity markets was the July Wheat Futures.

The Wheat has been under pressure for more months than I can remember. The selling in the market has been justifiable from a supply perspective after global yields more than met expectations for global demand. An enormous crop was seen in parts of Europe, which has been the biggest weight on the overall prices. Continue reading "Chart of the week - Wheat"

Chart Of The Week - Euro currency

Each week Longleaftrading.com will be providing us a chart of the week as analyzed by a member of their team. We hope that you enjoy and learn from this new feature.

Since the start of 2012, the June Euro Currency has traded in a range between 126.35 and 1.3496. Most of the time, the price was narrowed into a range that was finally broken last week on Friday after the United States non-farm payroll disappointed. The lackluster report was combined with anticipatory selling ahead of elections in France. The drop in futures prices continued on Sunday night after France elected a member of the Socialist party into office for the first time in over twenty years. Surprisingly, the initial drop on Sunday night was short lived and technical trading took over. The chart below clearly shows the targets that the trade had in its sights. Continue reading "Chart Of The Week - Euro currency"

Chart of the week: Crude Oil

A new feature to the Trader’s Blog will be the addition of the Chart of the week. Each week Longleaftrading.com will be providing us a chart of the week as analyzed by a member of their team. We hope that you enjoy and learn from this new feature.

The June Crude Oil rallied every day last week. The market put in higher lows and higher highs on a daily basis after it tested the support trendline (#3 on the chart) last week on Monday morning. Any technical trader would say last week had all of the necessary ingredients for a bull run.

In today’s trade (Monday April 30th), the Crude Oil has been under pressure following unfavorable reports out of Spain and the United States coupled with profit taking ahead of a Labor Day Holiday in Europe and Asia.

The selloff seemed to be targeting the dominant trendline and the 20 day moving average (#1 on the chart) above the highs on the daily chart that kept Crude Oil in a downward channel until Thursday of last week when it closed above. This line was the dominant resistance for months, and may be the dominant support if the market can stay above in the near term. Continue reading "Chart of the week: Crude Oil"

Chart of the week - Gold

A new feature to the Trader's Blog will be the addition of the Chart of the week. Each week Longleaftrading.com will be providing us a chart of the week as analyzed by a member of their team. We hope that you enjoy and learn from this new feature.

June Gold has been incrementally moved lower since late February. The selloff began after the market failed to break above $1800 and at the same time, investors learned that the US FED planned to participate less in easing our economy. What began as a very sharp drop in the precious metal, then turned into a relatively rangy trade. Traders know that seasonally Gold tends to be a rangy summer market, followed by anticipatory purchases ahead of India’s wedding season. It will be important to watch whether India’s government will impose a tax hike to offset their trade deficit this year, and more importantly traders will continue to watch for any improvements in Europe or hints of easing from the US FED.

Technically, Gold traders are well aware of the narrowing range in the Gold market identified by the red arrows. A firm breakout above or below these trendlines would likely attract more volume to the market to speculate on a direction. Continue reading "Chart of the week - Gold"