U.S. Economic Growth Slows To .7% In First Quarter

Hello MarketClub members everywhere. The U.S. stock market is slightly lower this afternoon after data showed that the U.S. economy grew at its weakest pace in three years for the first quarter of 2017. The GDP increased at a 0.7% annual rate, below the 1.2% rise estimated by economists, as consumer spending barely increased and businesses invested less on inventories.

This drop comes on the heels of the 2.1% in the fourth quarter of 2016.

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Image courtesy of Bloomberg

Key levels to watch this week: Continue reading "U.S. Economic Growth Slows To .7% In First Quarter"

Has The Trump Trade Resumed?

Hello MarketClub members everywhere. The NASDAQ has crossed the 6,000 level for the first time, and the DOW has had two straight triple-digit gains leading me to wonder if the Trump trade is back on. What do you think?

Of course, I would be remiss to overlook the slew of positive corporate earnings that have been this released this week with more to come. Home prices and home sales on are the rise as well, according to new data from the S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index.

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However, I believe everyone is zeroed in on Washington, as President Trump is expected to release an outline to potential tax reform later this week. Tax reform expectations have been one of the key market drivers since the presidential election.

Key levels to watch this week: Continue reading "Has The Trump Trade Resumed?"

Oil Falls As Oversupply Concerns Resurface

Hello MarketClub members everywhere. Oil prices fell on Friday as oversupply concerns resurfaced and the euro and stocks dipped ahead of the first round in a too-close-to-call French presidential election.

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After a two-week losing streak, the major indexes are on track to post weekly gains fueled by Thursday's rally, which was largely driven by Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin's comments that the Trump administration would unveil a tax reform plan very soon.

A steady stream of strong earnings through the week continued to bolster market sentiment.

Key levels to watch this week: Continue reading "Oil Falls As Oversupply Concerns Resurface"

The End Of A Stellar Quarter For Stocks

Hello MarketClub members everywhere. Let's take a look at the stellar quarter that was for stocks and the indices. The Dow will finish the quarter up +4.7%, the S&P 500 +5.7% and the NASDAQ with the biggest gain standing at +10% followed closely by gold, which ended with a gain of +8%.

The two markets that suffered and failed to make gains were the U.S. Dollar which lost -2% and of course crude oil, which dropped -9% for the quarter.

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A trade that I've highlighted a few times this quarter is Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA). The Trade Triangle got long based on a new green monthly Trade Triangle on 2/22/17 and had a positive gain of +3.5% for the quarter.

Key levels to watch this week: Continue reading "The End Of A Stellar Quarter For Stocks"

This Stock Could Appreciate 50% In The Next 6 To 12 Months

In case you missed it yesterday, Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA), took a 5% position in Groupon Inc. (NASDAQ:GRPN) which was enough to push this stock up 40%. Yesterday's action by Alibaba was seen as a black swan event that could not be predicted by any indicator. Groupon had been in a steady decline after hitting a peak of over $27 when it began trading. Since that time, the stock has steadily moved lower and recently traded perilously close to the $2 level.

As I have said many times before, perception is very important in stocks. The fact that Alibaba took a 5% stake in this company should not be overlooked.

Technically speaking all of the Trade Triangles turned green and positive yesterday for the first time in a long, long time. You also saw a 12 month downtrend line broken to the upside which also helped change Groupon's momentum.

Daily Chart of Groupon Inc. (NASDAQ:GRPN)

With all of these positives happening to Groupon, how high can this stock go? Continue reading "This Stock Could Appreciate 50% In The Next 6 To 12 Months"