aibek burabayev Archives - Page 50 of 59

Weak Euro Keeps Gold Afloat

Posted on January 23, 2016January 22, 2016 by Aibek Burabayev

One of our readers asked if I would do a Gold/EUR analysis when I posted my last Gold/$ update. Today I will cover this instrument and show its comparative dynamics for a broader view from the opposite side of the Atlantic.

Chart 1. 5-year Comparative Dynamics: Gold/Dollar Vs. Gold/Euro

5-year Comparative Dynamics: Gold/Dollar Vs. Gold/Euro
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

As seen on the chart above, both Gold crosses have a very strong correlation over the past 5 years. Same peaks and troughs, US gold slightly overshot the European gold at all-time high in 2011; however, it proved to be short-lived.

At the end of 2014, we can see the sharp divergence of crosses (highlighted in red arrow) amid a deep devaluation of the EUR which caused a rocketing of Gold/EUR beyond the 1100 EUR mark. The elevation was short and in 2015, we saw a sharp drop back down in both markets.

There are two things worth mentioning: Continue reading "Weak Euro Keeps Gold Afloat" →

This Coin Beats All!

Posted on January 18, 2016January 17, 2016 by Aibek Burabayev

Break Rules, Change The World!

Indeed, we are living in an exciting time of dramatic changes in our world. Nowadays, when you talk about the channel, it can be YouTube, not MTV. When you need a ride, it can be Uber, not a taxi. When you are going to shop it can be on Amazon or Alibaba, not at Wal-Mart and we can count on further changes in the future.

By the way, Uber is the largest taxi company, but it has no cars, same as Alibaba which is the largest retailer, but it has no stores. Today I want to review the currency that has no controlling government, but has the value, the value that people are ready to pay for with real fiat money.

Cryptocurrency, digital currency, virtual currency are all the names of Bitcoin (BTC), the digital asset as described in Wikipedia. It doesn't matter what you call it as long at it performs well. Let's look at how it has been behaving for the last year on the chart below. Continue reading "This Coin Beats All!" →

Metals Illustrated: Past And Future

Posted on January 11, 2016 by Aibek Burabayev

In my first post this year I will show you how metals have been moving the last 5 years and which levels you should watch in 2016 to be ready for actions. More illustrations, fewer words are ahead.

Metals Performance For The Past 5 Years

Metals Performance For The Past 5 Years
Diagram by Aibek Burabayev; data courtesy of tradingview.com

Out of the past 5 years the following two years are outstanding: in 2012 all metals were in green and showed from 6% to 9% positive dynamics, and last year was totally red with double-digit percentage negative dynamics. Continue reading "Metals Illustrated: Past And Future" →

Top Forex Pairs VS. Gold: Another One Bites The Dust

Posted on December 30, 2015December 30, 2015 by Aibek Burabayev

A year ago I wrote a post to compare the top currencies dynamics against Gold inside of the year. Today I want to repeat the experiment to see which one could beat the safe haven and which one couldn't. This time, you will see a modified version of the chart where the inverse metal crosses show not Gold's (last year version), but the currencies' dynamics for easier eye perception.

To remind you of the short list, there are seven currencies compared: US dollar (USD) and 6 components of the US dollar index placed by weight: Euro (EUR), Japanese yen (JPY), British pound (GBP), Canadian dollar (CAD), Swedish krona (SEK) and the Swiss franc (CHF). Continue reading "Top Forex Pairs VS. Gold: Another One Bites The Dust" →

Copper Update: Metal Signals Short Term Bottom For Oil

Posted on December 24, 2015December 23, 2015 by Aibek Burabayev

In my previous update, I recommended covering your short positions in Copper to save a decent profit from the sudden reversal. The next day the price dipped further down to a round figure favoring buyback. Then until today, we saw volatile sideways trading inside of the 2.025/2.125 range. Currently, the metal has traded on the upper side of it. In the meantime crude oil has plummeted to an 11-year low and the two assets have diverged sharply since.

Chart 1: Copper-Crude Oil Comparative chart: The Chain Has Been Broken

Copper-Crude Oil Comparative chart
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

The days following my last Copper/Oil post, Crude oil moved $2 higher as expected, but it couldn't close above the $44 mark and the oversupplied market brought the price down sharply. Despite that, Copper stood still charting a sideways pattern and expanding the triangle. Supply cut fears amid a weakening US dollar have spurred demand for the metal. Continue reading "Copper Update: Metal Signals Short Term Bottom For Oil" →

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