The More Things Change, The More They Stay The Same

Hello traders everywhere. As we start this shortened trading week with Thanksgiving coming on Thursday, I thought it would be a good time to give thanks to you for your business and the trust you have placed in our company and services.

You may have heard the expression, "the more things change, the more they stay the same" and that same metaphor can be applied to today's markets.

A market can only do three things, it can go up, down or sideways, that's it! How many things in life do you know that are that simple? The problem we have as human beings is that we tend to overthink situations and the market certainly is a subject that is made complicated by overthinking.

This week leading up to Thanksgiving I'm going to feature a series of lessons to help get back to the basics and understanding what moves a market. Starting today, I will feature two lessons for you to watch and learn from. It doesn't matter if you're a novice trader just starting out, or a professional trader, sometimes it is just good to go through the basics to understand what makes the markets move.

The lessons come from a series of videos I did titled, "Traders Whiteboard." There are six lessons in all and we will go through them all by Wednesday of this week.

Here are today's two featured lessons: Continue reading "The More Things Change, The More They Stay The Same"

Three Reasons For The Collapse Of Gold Prices

Many of the gold bugs cannot understand why gold prices keep falling. One would think with all the strife around the world, the financial crisis in Greece, plus the stress and conflict in the Middle East and various other countries that it would be an ideal time for gold prices to go higher. That, my friend, was the old way of thinking, that is not the way the markets really work.

Let's take a look at what's really happening and the three main reasons for the collapse in the price of gold.

(1) We had seen very strong equity markets around the world which gave an opportunity to investors to make money. Remember, gold pays no interest and in fact, you have to pay money to store gold. So in that sense it's a little like holding insurance for a catastrophic event.

(2) Gold has failed to respond to any of the traditional triggers, such as financial unrest and uncertainty. What this signifies is that the perception of gold, at least for the moment, has changed. In any market, perception is perhaps one of the most important elements for dictating price direction. Continue reading "Three Reasons For The Collapse Of Gold Prices"

The "NO" Vote Heard Around The World

I am sure by now you have heard that the citizens of Greece voted no to austerity and the latest deal that was presented to their country.

Here's a question for you, how is it that a small country like Greece with only 6.6 million people can suck in so much money from the international banking community?

It may be just a normal part of the Greek culture that they use deception to get what they want. Look back in history it started with the Trojan horse that the Greeks used to enter the city of Troy and win that war.

More recently in order to gain entry and acceptance into the European Union in 1981 and to later adopt the euro as its official currency in 2001. This was all done with deception, as the Greeks stated that their debt to GDP was 5% when in reality it was 15% and on an unsustainable track. I am sure that the Greeks looked upon it as another Trojan horse and they got what they wanted.

To put this perspective, the Greek economy only accounts for 2/10 of one percent of the world economy. In other words, it's not an economic powerhouse by anyone's imagination.

The question now is with the contentious Greek finance minister Yanis Varoufakis resigning shortly after the 61.3% NO vote, can Greece make a deal. His departure/removal was a clear gesture by Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras that he wants to begin fresh debt renegotiation.

The vote is indicating that Greek people did not want, nor would accept more austerity for their poor beleaguered country. Who in their right mind would vote to hurt and punish themselves? It was a brilliant political move by Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras to call the referendum when he did.

Okay, now for the big question, what's this No vote going to do to the markets? Continue reading "The "NO" Vote Heard Around The World"

Did You Catch The Netflix Move Like The Trade Triangles Did?

By now you have probably seen the extraordinary move that Netflix Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX) has made this year. But did you see how well the Trade Triangles captured the timing on these moves?

Netflix announced after the close yesterday that it is creating a seven for one stock split. This is a good move for Netflix as it was the fourth highest priced stock in the Standard & Poor's index.

Based on yesterday's close of $681.19, it would drop the share price down to $97.31. For the average investor, this makes Netflix shares a lot more palatable as it will probably generate a lot more activity in this stock.

Today, I would like to share with you how you would have fared using the Trade Triangle technology to time your moves in and out of Netflix.

The first chart shows the results using the monthly/weekly Trade Triangle strategy. This strategy produced a robust 32% return as of June 23rd.

NASDAQ:NFLX

The second chart shows how you would have fared using only the monthly Trade Triangles. This strategy produced a return of 49% as of June 23rd. Continue reading "Did You Catch The Netflix Move Like The Trade Triangles Did?"

Continuation Patterns Work – And Here's Why

I learned about continuation patterns many years ago and it was an expensive lesson. Before I share that with you, let me explain to you what a continuation pattern is and what it does.

A continuation pattern is one where you have a move out of the base, which is called a breakout, and the market moves up rather sharply and then stops and move sideways. The reverse is true when a market breaks down from a top and then forms a continuation pattern to the downside. Traders in a bear market will either sell short or buy puts looking for the market to move lower.

Well, many years ago I was one of those rookie traders and it was a lesson that I've never forgotten to this day - don't try to pick tops or bottoms on continuation patterns.

Talking about a classic continuation pattern, the stock of Under Armour Inc. (NYSE:UA) broke out of a continuation pattern today. UA now looks poised to move much higher. I've talked about this stock before and pointed out that it was a continuation pattern to the upside in several of my previous videos, I hope you were able to catch the move. Certainly, the Trade Triangle technology did not miss this move and is sitting with some nice profits at the moment.

What has your experience been with continuation patterns? Do you trade them, or were you unaware of this recurring phenomenon? Either way, I would like to hear what you think. Leave your comments below this post.

Every success with MarketClub,
Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-Creator, MarketClub