Is It A Monkey That's Going To Sink The Market?

Let me begin by acknowledging the Chinese New Year. You might ask yourself, "What does that have to do with the markets here in the US?" My answer to you would be everything. Remember how influenced we were with the slowdown in China last year? This slowdown could be exacerbated in 2016, putting even more pressure on our markets here.

2016 represents the year of the "Red Monkey" on the Chinese calendar and it does not auger well for stocks according to "The Business Times" of Singapore.

Here's what they say:

"Do not expect the Year of the Monkey to be easy for investments. You need to outsmart the monkey to do well in the lunar year 2016. Do expect world events impacting stock markets and investments to change sharply and quickly, like the agile monkey."

"Expect markets to be volatile in the first half of the year (we've already got that) and for events to unfold quickly," their Chinese astrology expert says.

"The Year of the Monkey is going to shake, rattle and roil financial markets. One has to be as intelligent, witty and nimble as the monkey to do well in such investment landscape," he writes.

The most-recent Monkey year was 2004. In that year, the Shanghai Composite climbed 36% only to come crashing down in a 44% correction that bottomed in June 2005 (and then rallied 500%).

MarketClub translation - be nimble in 2016. Continue reading "Is It A Monkey That's Going To Sink The Market?"

Did you see LinkedIn (LNKD) Today?

It has been a great week with some strong trades happening. One of those stocks has to be LinkedIn Corporation (NYSE:LNKD), the professional social media site that recently updated its website with a redesign. After the bell yesterday, LinkedIn announced its earnings and future outlook. Upon seeing the numbers, investors bolted to the escape doors as LinkedIn clearly missed its target and future outlook.

Did this come as a big surprise to us at MarketClub? The answer, in all honesty, is no as all of the Trade Triangles were negative indicating a lower trend for LinkedIn.

Daily Chart of LinkedIn Corporation (NYSE:LNKD)

It is hard to ignore the power of the Trade Triangles during earnings season. Continue reading "Did you see LinkedIn (LNKD) Today?"

Major Alert: Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) Flashes Its First Major Sell Signal In 16 Months

In the first 30 minutes of trading today, Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN) triggered a red monthly Trade Triangle indicating a major trend change in this stock. This could be partly due to Amazon's announcement yesterday that it planned on opening 400 brick and mortar bookstores. So after putting almost every bookseller out of business, Amazon is now going into the brick and mortar business. Could that be a big mistake for Amazon?

Daily Chart of Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN)

Technically speaking, Amazon could quite easily fall back to the $441.95 level which represents a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. That is $100 lower than the current price. Personally, I love Amazon, I shop there all the time, but right now I do not like the stock of Amazon. I think that Amazon is setting up to go lower based on the Trade Triangle technology. If my analysis of Amazon is correct, it does not auger well for the rest of the market or the economy. Continue reading "Major Alert: Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) Flashes Its First Major Sell Signal In 16 Months"

Can Google Overcome Apple As The Most Valuable Company In The World?

Welcome to the first day of trading in February. If it is anything like January, it's going to be quite a month.

After the close today, Alphabet, Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOG) will announce its earnings. If it is a blowout and Google surges $25, it will then become the most valuable company in the world - not bad for a company that was founded on September 4, 1998 and has only been around for 17 years. It took Apple, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) which was founded April 1, 1976, almost 40 years to become the world’s most valuable company.

Today, Google flashed a buy signal putting both the monthly and weekly Trade Triangles in unison. That indicates there are good odds that Google will beat its earnings estimates after the close. There are no guarantees, but the odds would favor being long Google before the close.

Let's take a look at the rest of the markets which are not having such a good time of it. The dramatic rally on the last day of trading in January was more a function of short covering than anything else. Most stocks and indices are in a longer-term bearish trend based on MarketClub's Trade Triangle technology. Continue reading "Can Google Overcome Apple As The Most Valuable Company In The World?"

Apple Skids And Amazon Reports Tomorrow, What's Your Strategy?

In yesterday's post on Apple, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) I told you exactly what I was going to do based on the earnings pattern I have seen historically for the stock of Apple.

From yesterday's report:

So here's what is needed to make a trade in Apple before today's earnings report is released. The position is taken the day Apple releases its earnings report.

(1) Both the weekly and monthly Trade Triangles are in sync.

(2) Take a position on the close in the direction the Trade Triangles are indicating.

(3) Exit the position the following day on the close.

Based on this strategy, you should have shorted Apple on the close yesterday at $99.99 and you would cover this position on the close today win, lose or draw.

After the close, Apple did announce its earnings which turned out to be disappointing, pushing the stock of Apple down in the aftermarket.

Tomorrow (Thursday), Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN) reports earnings after the close. I have included a spreadsheet of how Amazon has performed using MarketClub's Trade Triangles in the last 12 quarters. Continue reading "Apple Skids And Amazon Reports Tomorrow, What's Your Strategy?"