If you follow our blog, then you are definitely familiar with trader Larry Levin, President of Trading Advantage LLC. We have gotten such a great response from some of his past posts that he has agreed to share one more of his favorite trading tips as a special treat to our viewers. Determining the direction of the market can be tricky and just plain confusing at times, but Larry’s expert opinion keeps it simple.
If you like this article, Larry’s also agreed to give you free access to his award winning book.
A friend of mine in the pit had been having a rough time of late when he asked me a typical question among us traders - How do I come back from a loss? Since he had been having a "rough patch" and not just one bad trade, I gave him the following advice that is to be used over a period of time.
First I asked him, "What does your trading journal look like - or maybe you don't have one?"
He didn't think it was necessary, which was his first mistake. It is critical to keep a trading journal.
In my journal I ask myself everyday "Did I follow my trading plan properly? Did I do anything wrong and if so, why?" If I did follow my plan correctly but I lost money, I am not hard on myself. Sometimes this happens! If I didn't follow my rules but still made money, however, that's a problem.
I highlight these days so I never repeat this fatal flaw. One of the worst things you can do is ignore your rules and make money, because then you feel that "winging it" is a good plan. It is not.
If this happens, you have to ask yourself; "Why didn't I follow my rules?" Was it lack of confidence in the system? Fear? Or did my ego want to be the hero that sold the high?"
If you lack confidence in a system, paper-trade it religiously and keep a massive amount of statistics on the outcomes. Be honest with each trade and if the results are good, immediately ban all second-guesses.
If you are playing blackjack and the dealer has a six showing while you were dealt a ten & a nine for nineteen, would you HIT IT because "maybe this time the dealer won't bust!?" Of course you wouldn't! You know that the long-term outcome of that decision would be certain disaster.
It is the same with trading: don't question a trade if the statistics show it's a winner over the long term.
Fear also exists when a trader doesn't believe in his system yet. Or it may just be the fear of being wrong, which is another ego-based problem. You have to let go of being right. Trading is about probabilities and making money; not about being right or wrong.
I've found that traders who used ego-based decisions to mess with their system or break their rules added little to no value to their trading. In fact it almost always hurts more than it helps. Trading for ego satisfaction is not a good idea, because your ego risks getting damaged during a rough trading patch.
I like to go back and look at my trades over the last week or the last month to see how they performed. Am I repeating my mistakes? If I bought or sold too soon, I want to find out why. Be honest, and ask good questions: "What worked? What will I do differently next time? What was I feeling when I ignored that trade?"
Keep notes on trades you liked but didn't make. What held you back? Do you notice any patterns causing you to miss opportunities? FIX THEM!
My friend listened intently and took notes. He will be a better trader for it.
Click Here to gain access to Larry's award winning book.
Best Trades to you,
Larry Levin
Founder & President- Trading Advantage
Disclaimer: Futures and options trading involves a substantial degree of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Secrets of Traders LLC provides only training and educational information. By accessing any Secrets of Traders or Trading Advantage content, you agree to be bound by the terms of service. Click Here to review the terms of service.
Great article touching on so many of the thoughts I have experienced. My worst problem is not taking a small (as it usually turns out) loss when I should, and then allowing things really go south. Then I decide I'll have to just hold on to the stock for however long it takes for it to turn around.
I know and feel that pain. I devote 2 hours a day to working on my system/model. My over view is 'A Theory of One' [That everything is connected], I was a loudspeaker designer, I found a unique connection between sound and its waves and a direct parallel in the Great Barrier Reef... I used this model to master loudspeakers, one of these radical designs was used by Tom Dowd when he recorded "Layla" ! In fact this monitor has about 200 gold records recorded on them! Then I saw the connection to the market. I am now refining 'Reef Scape Theory' the more I work on this the more I find the connections. No matter the loss, if you look close enough you made an error on the latest revision of the model ! Again it is about discipline and hard work !