MarketClub's "World Cup Portfolio"(WCP - formerly World Commodity Portfolio) returned to its winning ways in Q2 as the markets proved to be in a trending and profitable mode. Just as we predicted in our last report, Q2 put us into the black and on our way to a good year. The return for the quarter was 14% based on the $50,000 needed to fund the "World Cup Portfolio".
With the completion of Q2, we now have three solid years under our belt. The annual return using the "World Cup Portfolio" has produced a return on average of 227% per annum. While this is an amazing return, we do not think it is sustainable, nor should it be seen as a sustainable return in the future.
With another solid winning quarter in our pocket, we have now produced 10 winning quarter's out of 12, something we are very proud of. Altogether, this gives us an 83% win rate on a quarter-by-quarter basis.
For the three years that we've been tracking the "World Cup Portfolio," a $50,000 investment would have turned into $341,586 based on trading one contract per market. We have consistently published our results and our methodology on how these results were achieved. This information is available to all MarketClub members.
The grain markets that served us so well in Q1 turned out to be not so friendly in Q2 and showed losses across the board in corn, wheat, and soybeans. On the other hand, gold, crude oil, and the dollar index all turned in positive performances. The big winner for the quarter was of course gold, which produced a gain of $7,784.50 per contract. The gold market was followed by crude oil, which produced a gain of $4,730 per contract. The third winner out of six in the “World Cup Portfolio” was the dollar index, which produced a gain of $3,070 per contract traded.
What is our secret?
The secret is that there is no secret to being successful in the markets. We have said many times before, consistency and diversification are the key secrets to success in trading. The markets we've chosen to be in the "World Cup Portfolio" will overtime produce gains that we believe will be superior to most other investments. However, it must be said that there are no guarantees in investing or trading.
The results we show in the “World Cup Portfolio” are hypothetical and should not be taken as trades that were actually made in the marketplace. The results however, do reflect how an investor/trader would have done using MarketClub’s recommended “Trade Triangle” approach.
If you’d like to know more about this approach visit our website at MarketClub.com or call us at 1-800-538-7424.
Here’s to a profitable Q3.
All the best,
Adam Hewison
President of INO.com and Co-founder of MarketClub.com
I am intersted. How do I follow the portfolio?
George
George,
I am not sure if you are a member of MarketClub if you are you can easily access all the rules that make up the World Cup Portfolio. We only track six markets in that portfolio.
All the best,
Adam
When do you plan on communicating the results of the Perfect Portfolio for Q2?
Jeff,
Should have it for you next week.
Thanks,
Adam
Is it possible to follow your strategy with only a 15000 dollar account?
Jose,
In my opinion it would be too difficult.
All the best,
Adam
Nice work.
As a newbie to commodities, is it possible to replicate the diversification within Commodity ETFs instead? If so, do you have any recommendations of ETFs that would represent your portfolio well?
Thanks!
Jason K.,
Yes it is possible to replicate the World Commodity Portfolio using ETF's. The results have not been identical to the World Commodity Portfolio however they have been very good over the years. You may want to take a look at our perfect portfolio. Here is the link: http://club.ino.com/trading/2010/04/perfect-portfolio-update-for-q2/
The Perfect Portfolio uses ETF's and you can see the results firsthand.
All the best,
Adam
Thanks Adam
Hi Adam,
Do you actively use the monthy TT's at all in establishing the longer trends in the portfolio? In other words, if you got a green monthly and a red weekly, would you still apply the red daily as the trade entry point and a green daily as the stop?
Thanks
DG,
Thank you for your feedback.
The short answer is yes that is how you would trade futures and Forex in the World Commodity Portfolio. The only difference would be the dollar index which we trade on a monthly /weekly triangle basis.
All the best,
Adam
Hi adam
may I know what is your position size for a 50k portfolio? How much do u place in each of the 6 positions? And do u do any stop loss or your trade purely using trade triangle technology? This portfolio only uses futures? Am I right to say that?
thanks 🙂
Darren,
You divide the $50,000 up in six equal parts, you then commit each part to one of the six commodities that we trade in the World Commodity Portfolio.
Here are the rules for the world commodity portfolio.
In the futures and Forex markets we use the weekly "Trade Triangles" for trend and the daily "Trade Triangles" for timing. Let me give you an example of how that works. If a green weekly "Trade Triangle" is in place it indicates that the trend is positive for that market. Initial entry point would be on the weekly green "Trade Triangle" and then you would use a red daily "Trade Triangle" as a stop. For example if the trend was up on the weekly you would exit a position on a red daily triangle. This is not to go short but only to exit the position and wait for the trend to reestablish itself on the upside. In the event the trend that does not reestablish itself and reverses with a weekly red "Trade Triangle" you would go short on the weekly "Trade Triangle" and use the daily "Trade Triangle"for money management and reentry points.
All the best,
Adam