NEW YORK (AP) — Oil futures surged to close at a new record Tuesday as traders focused on supply concerns and a bullish stock market rather than renewed signs of a shaky U.S. economy.
Crossing the psychologically significant $100 mark once again — oil prices previously crossed that hurdle last week — in itself may have helped fuel the rally by triggering computer programs set to buy at certain levels and enticing new speculators into the market, said Jim Ritterbusch, president of energy consultancy Ritterbusch and Associates in Galena, Ill..gif)
"You see additional buying among people who think they're missing something," he said. "Any time you move above ($100 a barrel), you're going to ignite some fresh buying."
Light, sweet crude for April delivery jumped $1.65 to settle at $100.88 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. At one point in the session, prices surged as high as $101.15.
Investors who recently were selling on weak economic data seemed to take a spate of bad news in stride.
The Conference Board, a business-backed research group, reported its Consumer Confidence Index fell to the lowest since February 2003, far below what analysts had been expecting, indicating that consumers might continue to curb their spending in the coming months.
Meanwhile, the Labor Department reported that wholesale inflation jumped 1 percent in January, more than twice what analysts had been forecasting. That report, coupled with the consumer confidence index, pointed to an economy that is slowing even as prices are rising.
And Standard & Poor's added to homeowners' angst when it said its quarterly home price index tumbled 8.9 percent in the final quarter of 2007 — the indictator's sharpest decline in its 20-year history.
But traders in both the energy market and the stock market, which also advanced, seemed largely unfazed.
"We're seeing a solid tone to the stock market," Ritterbusch said. "I think the oil market is using the stock market as a proxy for future economic activity."
Last week, March oil rallied to a new settlement record of $100.74 and a new trading record of $101.32 before the contract expired.
Hedge funds looking to cover future positions and foreign buyers, who because of the weak dollar can still lock in oil prices at a relative bargain, may have helped accelerate the day's buying, said Adam Hewison, president of INO.com, a financial Web site that specializes in futures trading.
"In euro terms, oil is not that expensive, and it's likely to go even higher," Hewison said.
Also supporting prices were concerns about supply disruptions from unrest in Iraq, a major oil exporter, and warnings by Iran against further international sanctions. Turkish ground forces pushed their offensive against Kurdish rebels deeper into the north of Iraq, seizing seven guerrilla camps, officials said.
Oil has risen in recent days amid an increase in speculative buying, with some traders believing that global demand will be high enough to support higher crude prices even if the U.S. economy is slowing. That thesis will be put to the test Wednesday, when analysts expect the U.S. Energy Department's Energy Information Administration to report that the nation's crude stocks rose for the seventh week in a row.
The government inventories report also is expected to show supplies of distillates, which include heating oil and diesel, fell by 1.8 million barrels last week, according to a Dow Jones Newswires poll of analysts. Cold weather across the Midwest and Northeast has also helped push heating oil prices higher.
On Tuesday, heating oil futures gained 2.97 cents to settle at $2.8150 a gallon, after earlier setting a new trading record of $2.8188 a gallon.
Gasoline prices rose 0.8 cents to settle at $2.5505 a gallon. Gas prices at the pump rose to $3.142 from $3.137 Monday, according to AAA and the Oil Price Information Service.
The EIA report also is expected to show that crude oil stocks rose last week by 2.4 million barrels, which would be the seventh straight week of gains. Gasoline inventories are expected to rise by 400,000 barrels.
Natural gas futures rose 2 cents to settle at $9.206 per 1,000 cubic feet. Earlier, Gazprom, Russia's natural gas monopoly, again threatened to cut supplies to neighboring Ukraine, according to Russian news agency reports.
In London, Brent crude futures rose $1.78 to settle at $99.47 a barrel on the ICE Futures exchange.
Some similarities between the oil industry and the tobacco industry: They both exploit people's addictions (nicotine in tobacco, the convenience of gas). Also, both industries have stifled better alternatives (not smoking is healthier than smoking, not using gas pollutes less). People have risen up against the tobacco industries... i sincerely hope the same thing happens to the oil industry. It is astounding how much big oil has stolen from the working majority.